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War and Freedom
 How to Have Both
- Sunday Times, (November 13, 2005)


The End of Gay Culture
 And The Future of Gay Life
- The New Republic, (November 1, 2005)


An American Hero
 Ian Fishback Steps Forward
- Sunday Times, (October 2, 2005)

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Wednesday, April 30, 2003
 
INCEST AND GAME THEORY: James D. Miller talks about the externalities of incest and homosexuality. He argues, persuasively to my mind, that allowing private incest, even among consenting adults, undermines the trust necessary to form families for all of us. He fails to see how allowing gay people private relationships does the same thing. I think the core issue is actually a simple one: many social conservatives think that homosexuality is something you do; others believe it is something you just are. I'd argue further that it is as critical a part of who you are as being heterosexual. (I explain why in the introduction to Virtually Normal.) Actually, I wouldn't just argue that. I know that. And once you do know that, equating it with things like incest - which are choices, not orientations - appears offensive and wrong. That's why I wonder if Santorum has ever had such a discussion with an actual gay person. While I'm at it, here are gay conservative Bruce Bawer's reflections on the affair.

- 10:45:08 AM
 
POOR MAILER: Norman Mailer used to be an actual writer and thinker. Some of his prose in the past has been peerless, if, to my taste, overly-swaggering. But his recent piece in the Times of London gives hackery a bad name. His theory is that this country went to war in Iraq for the sole reason of appeasing the battered ego of the white American male. For Mailer, the symbol of the WAM is the military. But isn't the military actually one of the most racially integrated institutions in American life? At one point, presumably after having written half the column, this dawns on Mailer. But he carries on nonetheless. Ironically lamenting the rise of ethnic minorities in many parts of the culture, Mailer argues that
the good white American male still had the Armed Forces. If blacks and Hispanics were numerous there, still they were not a majority, and the officer corps, (if the TV was a reliable witness), suggested that the percentage of white men increased as one rose in rank to the higher officers. Moreover, we had knock-out tank echelons, Super-Marines, and-one magical ace in the hole — the best air force that ever existed. If we cannot find our machismo anywhere else, we can certainly settle in on the interface between combat and technology. Let me then advance the offensive suggestion that this may have been one of the cardinal reasons we went looking for war.
Yes, it is offensive, in as much as it is offensively stupid. Mailer also ignores the other obvious facet of the new military: the presence of women. So apart from the fact that the military is a showcase for feminism and racial integration, it's a symbol of white male supremacy? Does no-one even edit this drivel?

- 12:38:08 AM
 
TARANTO VERSUS KURTZ: James Taranto had a very sane column yesterday rebutting Stanley Kurtz's tireless efforts to describe homosexual equality as inevitably leading to polygamy, bestiality, incest, prostitution, child-abuse, or whetever the latest bogey-man might be. (Isn't it strange that the only thing some conservatives never associate homosexuality with is the one thing it is most like: heterosexuality?) Taranto makes a sharp point in this respect:
Echoing Santorum, Kurtz raises the possibility of a "slippery slope" leading from same-sex marriage to polygamy. But one can easily draw a distinction. The widespread practice of polygamy would have great social costs. It would distort the sexual marketplace by creating an undersupply of marriageable women. (Polyandry, the practice of women having multiple husbands, is too rare to be worth discussing.) The result is the creation of what Jonathan Rauch calls a "sexual underclass" of "low-status men" whose prospects for marriage are virtually nil... By contrast, it's hard to imagine any great social harm arising from official recognition of same-sex unions. Just about anyone who would consider "marrying" someone of the same sex is outside the ordinary marriage pool anyway...
Precisely. Taranto sees no real social costs to encouraging this formerly marginalized group to have relationships that are recognized and faithful and durable. But then he says he doesn't see any actual social advantage for granting gays marriage either. But surely the obvious conservative reason to back same-sex marriage is that it would encourage gay couples to care for each other, build responsible families and reduce promiscuity. All of these are conservative goals. So why can't conservatives endorse them for homosexuals? I made this point way back in 1989, and I still haven't heard a convincing argument against it. Taranto posits a compromise for those who worry that marriage would somehow be tainted by the inclusion of gays. He suggests 'civil unions' as an alternative way to foster gay responsibility and ensure gay equality, while leaving 'marriage' exclusively heterosexual. I disagree, but I can certainly see the rationale for such a proposal. Civil unions are backed by almost every Democratic candidate, and by many consistent conservatives. If I were trying to avoid gay marriage, I'd push civil unions as an obvious alternative. But the religious right won't even tolerate that. If they have to choose between exclusion and true conservative principles, they pick exclusion every time.

- 12:36:16 AM
 

QUARANTINING DISSENT: More evidence of the secret service and local cops policing free speech. Did this happen to some extent under Clinton as well? Either way, the notion that people trying to express their opposition to the president's policies must be shepherded into areas where the president could never see them strikes me as deeply worrying.

THERE GOES THE NEIGHBORHOOD: A mischievous emailer informs me that Senator Rick Santorum's Scranton District Office is located at 527, Linden Street. At 523, Linden Street, there's the "Silhouette Lounge," apparently recently named the "Best Gay Bar in Northeastern Pennsylvania." Not that there's that much competition, I'm afraid. I hope Rick drops by sometimes for a cocktail. It might be a good thing for there to be a bit of dialogue there.

- 12:35:17 AM
 
CAFETERIA RELIGION: There are, it seems to me, two big trends going on in religious faith right now. The first is an obvious upswing in fundamentalism, Islamic and Christian, a fundamentalism that challenges the separation of church and state, and that opposes internal debate about theology in favor of the rigid imposition of orthodoxy. But the other trend is that many faithful believers are working out their own views within their own religious traditions. Those who mock this development call it "cafeteria religion;" I'd prefer to think of it as religion informed by reason and individual experience. In America especially, new religions are popping up all over the place that partake of this cafeteria paradigm. A lively piece in the recent Reason magazine provides an overview of some of the wackier as well as more mainstream versions of this:
There is a wide gulf, of course, between someone who merely fine-tunes her Catholicism and someone who replaces the Virgin Mary with the goddess of chaos; between a Jew who mixes milk with meat and a Jew who practices witchcraft. If I am describing a trend, it is one that covers a wide spectrum of behavior, from the ordinary to the outré. As a journalist, I have naturally focused on the latter - but it’s the former, obviously, that is reshaping society.
Well worth a read.

FEMINISM AND LACROSSE: Some fascinating discussion going on at the Ms Magazine bulletin board. It's a classic feminist controversy: are we for gender equality or for protecting girls from big bad boys? Oddly enough, some of these anti-male feminists might have some allies on the far right. They wouldn't want a boy playing on a girls' lacrosse team either.

CIRCUMCISION DATA: It behooves me to link to a new study arguing that there is no difference in sensitivity between circumcized and uncircumcized men. The Reuters piece doesn't tell us exactly how such things were measured and the squeamish probably don't want to know. My own anti-circumcision view, however, is not based on the idea that mutilated men have less pleasure. It's based on the simple notion that individuals' bodies should not be permanently altered without their consent, unless the medical evidence for such a procedure is overwhelming. It isn't. So I'll stick to my guns.

ANOTHER BUSH NOMINEE: This time to the 4th Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals, former Jesse Helms campaign press secretary, Claude A. Allen. According to the Washington Post,
A Senate Judiciary Committee aide said Democrats are scrutinizing Allen's statements about abortion and gays. During the 1984 campaign, Allen was criticized for his response to Hunt's description of Helms's backers as right-wingers. Allen said Hunt had links "with the queers."
Inclusion just keeps getting better, doesn't it?

- 12:31:16 AM

Tuesday, April 29, 2003
 
HE'S ALIVE!: Baghdad Bob is apparently negotiating surrender. Will Roger Ailes offer him a talk show before the military nabs him?

BAGHDAD BROADCASTING CORPORATION: Guess what term they use to describe one Osama bin Laden? Sit down:
It is one of the main reasons given by the Saudi-born dissident - blamed by Washington for the 11 September attacks - to justify violence against the United States and its allies.
Sakharov, Walesa, bin Laden. That's the mind of the BBC.

BUSH AND "INCLUSION": The Washington Post nails it. The president's rhetoric simply doesn't match his own reality. On April 9, for good measure, the president nominated Bill Pryor, Alabama attorney general, to a seat on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit. Pryor is a strong defender of anti-sodomy laws, wrote an amicus brief defending the Texas law for the Supreme Court, fought for the discriminatory Colorado law that was struck down by the Supreme Court in Romer vs Evans, and has associated homosexual relationships with "prostitution, adultery, necrophilia, bestiality, possession of child pornography, and even incest and pedophilia (if the child should credibly claim to be 'willing)." Does president Bush believe that Pryor is "an inclusive man?" Or will he and his defenders keep saying they don't even have to answer that question?

- 1:50:41 PM
 
ON THE RECORD: The only real guessing game about U.S. foreign policy in the next year or so regards Israel and the Palestinians. My bet is that the president is serious about the roadmap, supports Colin Powell and is going to make some neoconservatives somewhat uneasy in the coming months. Why do I think that? Because the president has said so. I take his words seriously. So does Tony Blair. I thought this comment of his yesterday was revealing: "President Bush himself is completely committed to taking the Middle East peace process forward. I would take the words of President Bush, they are good enough for me, and I think they are good enough for you." My guess is that this explicitly was the price for British support in Iraq. Yes, it's important that new Palestinian leadership actually emerge that can make a land-carve-up credible at all. If that leadership does emerge, it will also be because of president Bush's under-rated insistence and patience. But if that really does happen, I have no doubt that Bush will move. Iraq has made the matter far more pliable. And vice-versa.

THE FIRST POLL? I don't know exactly what to make of this, but the first poll of Iraqis by an Indian outfit, NDTV, has found that a clear majority support the U.S. invasion. More worryingly, the younger they were, the less pro-American. But there is considerable support for a lengthy U.S. presence, making this a kind of requested temporary neo-colonization. Is that a first?

STICKING IT TO TITLE IX: Here's a fascinating example of genuine gender non-discrimination: a boy allowed to play on a girls' high school lacrosse team, because there were no real spots for the guy on local boys' teams. Actually, there were no local boys' teams. They key, I guess, is that he weighs 140 pounds. But he's still the biggest scorer, so to speak. And the experience brought out some choice quotes: "We were checking the heck out of his stick," opined his female coach. I bet you were, girls. I bet you were.

THOUGHT FOR THE DAY: "What rankles Frenchmen is the decline of France relative to other European countries. France wants to be not a world power but the foremost European nation. If the present fuel debacle brings about a decline of Western Europe, France wants to make sure that it ends up sitting on top of the heap. To solve the fuel problem by force would result in a situation in which France could not play a paramount role. Hence France will urge submission to Arab dictates. It will also be for the abandonment of Israel and the cold-shouldering of the United States." - Eric Hoffer, "Before the Sabbath," written in 1975. Give the guy the reverse of the von Hoffman award.

GRRRR: I've always been a fan of dragons, so this article today riveted me. It never occurred to me to ask why human beings had fantasized and feared such mythical creatures for so long. I assumed that the world was a scary place and that imagination had simply run wild. Nuh-huh:
In "An Instinct for Dragons" (Routledge, 2000), Dr. David E. Jones, a professor of anthropology at the University of Central Florida in Orlando, posits a biological explanation that jibes with the Jungian notion of unconscious collective fears. He argues that the dragon image, fermented in the primal soup of man's first nightmares, is a composite of the carnivores who fed on human ancestors when they were tree-dwelling monkeys: the pythons, the big cats and the raptors.
I feel robbed. Then there's this banality:
Bones exposed by storms, earthquakes or digging were well known to the ancients, said Dr. Adrienne Mayor, a professor of folklore at Princeton and the author of "The First Fossil Hunters" (Princeton, 2000). She argues that the myth of gold-guarding griffins arose in the red clay of the Gobi Desert, a landscape literally scattered with white Protoceratops skulls, with parrot beaks and bony neck frills.
I guess it makes sense now. But don't we as humans simply need to create terror at the end of the world, even if only to make our everyday fears seem more manageable? Humans live in relative space and time. The avoidance of dragons makes mere survival seem like security. And without them, whom would our heroes have to slay?

REALITY CHECK: "One of your letter writers asked, 'Do any of the other three states with sodomy laws impose jail time?' In 1999, the state of Oklahoma raised the prison term for consensual sex by gay couples from 10 years to 20 years. A felony, consensual sex between two adult men or between two adult women in Oklahoma carries the same penalty as same-sex rape." Just more "inclusiveness" out there. More feedback on the Letters Page.

- 1:35:06 AM

Monday, April 28, 2003
 
QUESTIONS FOR ABDULLAH: Great editorial in the New York Sun today (reg. req.) about the criticism of Ahmad Chalabi by King Abdullah II of Jordan. Abdullah complained that "if you look at a potential future for Iraq, I would imagine that you'd want somebody who suffered alongside the Iraqi people. This particular gentleman, I think, left Iraq when he was, I think, 11 or 7. And so, what contacts does he have?" The Sun retorts to the King:
You yourself left Jordan before age 10 to attend St. Edmund's School in Surrey, England, and then Eaglebrook School and Deerfield Academy in Deerfield, Mass. Then you went to the Royal Military Academy in Sandhurst, England.You also spent years taking degrees at Oxford, England, and at the Georgetown University School of Foreign Service. Isn't it hypocritical of you to criticize Mr. Chalabi for not suffering alongside the Iraqi people? After all, you weren't exactly suffering alongside the Jordanian people.
Actually, Abdullah's case is worse. Chalabi, if he were to run Iraq, would be elected. Who elected the smug Jordanian king? And Chalabi, if he had stayed behind these past few decades, would have been imprisoned or murdered. Abdullah would only have missed a few summer cocktails at Oxford.

BERKELEY LIBERATED: Just weapons of mass distraction found.

JOHN LEO'S ERROR: I respect John Leo a great deal but I think he's simply wrong about something in the Santorum case, and it's important to correct it. I agree that the quote is a bit confusing, but it's important to see it in its full context. Here it is:
In every society, the definition of marriage has not ever to my knowledge included homosexuality. That's not to pick on homosexuality. It's not, you know, man on child, man on dog, or whatever the case may be. It is one thing. And when you destroy that you have a dramatic impact on the quality _
John argues that Santorum is distinguishing between homosexual sexual acts and "man on child" or "man on dog." But when you look at the full context, I think it's clear that he isn't; in fact, he's equating bestiality and child abuse with homosexuality. The referent throughout is to "marriage." That's what isn't "man on child, man on dog," and that is what Santorum means when he says "when you destroy that," meaning marriage, "you have a dramatic impact..." It's not eloquent, of course. But its meaning is pretty clear to me. Santorum himself could clear it up, but won't. He could also clarify things and say he's against sodomy laws, but just doesn't think they should be broadly struck down by the Supreme Court, another completely reasonable position. But he won't say that because he doesn't believe it. One question in my mind: Santorum started this discussion with regard to contraception and the Griswold case. He believes that using contraception is a sin. Does he believe it should be a crime? If not, why not? If he supports sodomy laws because they violate Church teaching, then why does he not suppport laws banning contraception? Or masturbation, for that matter? These are all sins on exactly the same level as homosexual sex. Why do Santorum and other theo-conservatives want to make gay sex illegal but not the others? This is the crux of the matter. In the Texas case, the issue is even clearer. The law bans sodomy for three percent of the population but keeps it legal for 97 percent. Is it really judicial over-reach to protect a small minority from unequal treatment under the law? Someone should ask Santorum directly the criteria by which he distinguishes between all these issues. My guess is that he has no good argument except prejudice. But I'd be thrilled to be proven wrong.

- 3:14:13 PM

Sunday, April 27, 2003
 
THE CLINCHER: Several reports over the weekend, barely covered in the mainstream American press for some reason, strike me as blockbusters. The Sunday Telegraph's scoop of documents in Baghdad clearly linking al Qaeda with Saddam, if verified, means that an essential debate is over. Even opponents of the war against Saddam's dictatorship said they would be more inclined to support war if there were proof of a link to al Qaeda. Now, it seems, there is. But the manner in which we found this out after the event, raises a more complicated question about foreign policy in the age of terror. We know that Saddam had elaborate designs to make chemical and biological weapons. No serious person doubts that - although whether he tried to destroy evidence before the war, how extensive it was, what exactly it amounted to, are still questions in search of good answers. (But we're getting warmer, it seems.) So what does a free country do when confronted with an enemy state, with WMDs, that we strongly suspect is in league with terrorists like al Qaeda, but cannot prove without invading? It's tough. My view is that, after 9/11, we have little option but to launch a pre-emptive strike and hope for retroactive justification. But I understand why people demand proof before such action. This new finding - and I bet there will be more like it - strengthens my position, I think. The threat was not the weapons as such; it was the regime, its capacity to make and use such weapons and its potential or actual alliance with al Qaeda. We had to make a judgment about how likely it was that such a link existed. We bet right. Bush clearly didn't create that alliance. It existed long before he came long. It's clearer and clearer that we did the right thing. And this debate is even more important to have now when we can look at the evidence than before, when we couldn't.

PUNISHING FRANCE: I agree we shouldn't engage in petty payback in foreign policy, especially when it might hurt us. But now we have more evidence that France acted in bad faith; that it passed on secrets of U.S.-French communications to Saddam; that it tried to undermine, at Saddam's behest, a conference designed to highlight human rights abuses in Iraq; that it acted in ways that make it clear that the country is not an ally of the U.S.. It's increasingly clear that the French veto "under any circumstances" of the enforcement of Resolution 1441 was motivated in part by the now-revealed deep ties between Paris and Saddam. Tony Blair is absolutely right to worry about France's long term ambitions and policy. And the U.S. needs to develop a policy toward the E.U. and Europe in general that breaks free of wishful thinking about a country that is essentially and actively hostile to the United States.

- 11:04:08 PM
 
HUBRIS ASCENDANT: Is the G.O.P. getting too cocky, after a deserved moment of triumph in Iraq? The signs are not looking good. My take posted opposite.

BAGHDAD BOB AND THE BLACK KNIGHT: Finally, a cartoon.

AMERICAN EMPIRE: As a practical matter, I agree with Niall Ferguson (and not just because we're old friends). The concept is an oxymoron. But it is a necessary oxymoron. I have no more helpful suggestions than Niall does on how to make sense of this, except the obvious. American imperialism will be an essentially negative rather than positive phenomenon. It will intervene to remove dangerous threats, and its overwhelming military power will, with any luck, deter such threats from achieving critical mass in the future, thus minimizing still further intervention. That's the best we can hope for. The guarantee of control is a solid military presence. Look at Germany. It's not a colony, but it does house many American troops. That's more like the model we're looking at than the Brits in India. Is Iraq more like post-totalitarian Germany than eighteenth century India? The answer to that question is what we're about to find out.

- 11:03:11 PM
 
A REAL CHILL: There's been a huge amount of phony posturing by some people - Tim Robbins, Susan Sarandon, the Dixie Chicks, et al. - about how their free speech has been trampled by robust criticism and even boycotts. That's hooey. The government hasn't touched them; and, of course, shouldn't. But it's perfectly legit for other citizens to speak out, boycott, blog, and so on. But in yesterday's New York Times, there really was something that troubled me. Last October, an aging peacenik hippy protested president Bush's visit to South Carolina, and was arrested for trespassing by holding his sign too close to the president. The charges were then dropped. Here's the gist of what happened next:
[L]ast month, the local United States attorney, J. Strom Thurmond Jr., brought federal charges against Mr. Bursey under a seldom-used statute that allows the Secret Service to restrict access to areas the president is visiting. He faces six months in jail and a $5,000 fine... A spokeswoman for the airport said officials there had established a protest area on the verge of a highway, a good half mile from the hangar where the president would be speaking... The police in Charleston and Greenville had been accommodating, [Mr. Bursey] said, when he had asked to avoid the protest zones, which he described as being "out there behind the coliseum by the Dumpsters." It did not work this time. "We attempted to dialogue for a while, them telling me to go to the free-speech zone, me saying I was in it: the United States of America," Mr. Bursey said. Finally, he said, an airport policeman told him he had to put down his sign ("No War for Oil") or leave. "'You mean, it's the content of my sign?' I asked him," Mr. Bursey said. "He said, 'Yes, sir, it's the content of your sign.'" Mr. Bursey kept the sign and was arrested.
Now I can't vouch for every detail of this case, but there's clearly a trend going on that strikes me as truly chilling of free speech. These distant "protest zones" are phony attempts to insulate politicians from the rowdiness of their fellow citizens. Half a mile away? Who does W think he is? A monarch? I heard complaints of this kind throughout the campaigns in 2000 and 2002. This one looks legit. Those of us who rightly debunk phony charges of First Amendment violations need to be all the more vigilant when real ones emerge.

- 10:56:58 PM
 
BLOGGING AND SANTORUM: Well, over the weekend, after my cri de coeur on Saturday morning, I received another avalanche of emails, this time overwhelmingly supportive. I've tried to respond to most but forgive me if I haven't. There were almost a thousand. There's nothing much more to say. But I do think this last week has given me more appreciation for the blogging medium. I was able to write throughout an unfolding media and political event. I was able to link to the full remarks of Santorum, while almost all his defenders just ignored them. More to the point, your responses both informed, chastised, and then uplifted me - in real time. Nothing like this has occurred in the media with such immediacy and speed before. The criminalization of private sex is obviously an explosive issue, and emotions were very near the surface. But I think that's all to the better. Emotion should never replace argument; but it's more deceptive if we pretend it doesn't exist at all. We're all human. And I've learned a lot this past week - especially about elite conservative indifference to limited government, if it means offending the religious right. One factual note: I don't consider myself a Republican. Never have. Given what some of the party base represent, I'm relieved not to carry that burden. It may be necessary to support Republicans at times - in the war on terror, for example, we have precious little choice right now. But no-one should ignore the dark thread of big-government intolerance that exists in the G.O.P. It's still there; and it threatens you and me.

- 10:56:08 PM
 
HEADS UP: I'm on the road. Tonight, I will be part of a discussion at Boston College, on the topic, "Homosexuality in a Catholic Context: What Has Been Said About It? What Else Can Be Said?" It's at 7 pm at the Robsham Theater on campus. On Wednesday night, I'll be speaking at the University of Delaware in Newark, Delaware, on the case for same-sex marriage. That's also at 7 pm at the Perkins Student Center. All are welcome. I had a wonderful time meeting blog-readers in Austin. So please come if you're nearby and say hello.

- 10:53:58 PM

Saturday, April 26, 2003
 
AUBADE: The response to my offense at Senator Santorum is overwhelming, at least as far the emails are concerned. Around seven out of ten say: I'm crazy. I need to take my meds. I'm distorting what the guy said. I'm playing into the hands of the left. I should shut up, already. I'm a hysteric. I take these things too seriously. Okay, okay. I get the message. I've made my point. I don't have anything else to say. Except perhaps this. The anger and, yes, hurt that I have expressed these past couple of days comes from a sincere moral conviction equal to that which animated my much more extended attempt to expose Trent Lott's remarks. Of course, the hostility directed toward the intimate lives of gay people by Senator Santorum affects me more deeply, because I am gay. How could it not? Being gay my whole life is a huge blessing but also, of course, a difficult path. To try and reconcile it with a faith that is deep but a Church that refuses to support the innermost longings of my body and soul is not easy either. To square it with a belief in individual freedom and limited government, when so many of my gay brethren have embraced a wounded rejection of all traditional authority, and backed a radical politics in its stead, is not exactly a cakewalk either. To attempt both, and then to see that people you admire or support can actually endorse criminalizing you for expressing physical love in private, or see no problem with others' saying so, or see adult gay love casually associated with the abuse of children and not notice, is so downright dispiriting it's enough to make you despair. I'm writing this at 5.30 in the morning. When you feel this isolated, it isn't easy to sleep. Sometimes you not only try to argue things (and I retract not a word of what I have argued). You feel them. The simple truth is that I and many others feel immensely wounded not so much by some clumsy, ugly remarks by someone who might even in some way mean well; but by the indifference toward them by so many you thought might at least have empathized for a second. Has that made me lose perspective? I don't think so. I think it means I simply have a different perspective - one born out of pain and honesty and disappointed hope that we might eventually help people understand better the dignity and equality of homosexual persons. I know we have made many gains. I know Santorum represents very few. I know also that many, many good people - in the Republican party and elsewhere - do not wish gay people ill. But it is hard to express fully the sheer discouragement of this past week, capped simply by a calculated and contemptuously terse political gesture by a president I had come to trust. It makes me question whether that trust is well founded. And whether hope for a more inclusive future among conservatives is simply quixotic.

- 5:59:15 AM

Friday, April 25, 2003
 
"AN INCLUSIVE MAN": It hurts me to say this, Mr President, but your spokesman's statement today on your behalf has just made matters far worse. Senator Santorum believes that gay people should be subject to criminal prosecution for their private, adult consensual relationships. He has equated homosexuality with the abuse of minors. He has associated homosexual relationships with bestiality. If that is an example of "inclusiveness," then what would exclusiveness be? For the president to call the criminalization of an entire group of people the position of an "inclusive man" leaves me simply speechless. It indicates that the White House still doesn't understand the damage that this incident is doing, the fact that it is beginning to make it simply impossible for gay people and their families - or any tolerant person - to vote for the president's party.

NOW IT'S A CRISIS: Look, it's possible to tolerate differences of opinion within the Republican party over homosexuality. It's absolutely legitimate for some religious people to hold that gay sex is immoral, or to oppose marriage rights, and so on. I can happily live with that, and benefit from the dialogue. I defend their right to believe it and to say it. We can agree to disagree. But Santorum has gone far further than disagreement. He let it slip that he believes gays should be put in jail for our relationships. I'm sorry but that kind of statement is unacceptable, non-negotiable, intolerable. The Senator must withdraw it. I worry that the president means well but just doesn't get it. So let me put it another way: Senator Santorum believes that the vice-president's daughter should be made a criminal for her relationship. A criminal. Now do you see what I mean? Here's what the newspaper, the Chicago Sun-Times said today, in a classic statement of conservative principles:
We do not think Santorum should be stripped of his Senate leadership role for expressing deeply held religious views. But we do believe he does his nation and particularly the Republican Party a disservice by bracing himself in the door of society and trying to keep gay people out. They're already in. The high schools where gays were terrorized when Santorum was a student now have gay/straight fellowship leagues. And one last point. How can we have any hope of creating a democratic government in Iraq free from domination by repressive religion if we cannot free our own laws of official faith-based biases inflicted on our fellow citizens?
Exactly.

SANTORUM'S THEOCRATIC RADICALISM: To see how radical Santorum's position is, compare him, as this piece in today's Washington Post does, with John F Kennedy. Kennedy drew a distinction between his public role as the president of a diverse country and his own private religious convictions. Santorum explicitly argues the opposite:
Santorum has declared that President John F. Kennedy's vow to separate his faith from his policies was wrong. That approach has caused "much harm in America," Santorum said in an interview with a Catholic newspaper last year. "All of us have heard people say, 'I privately am against abortion, homosexual marriage, stem cell research, cloning. But who am I to decide that it's not right for somebody else?' It sounds good. But it is the corruption of freedom of conscience," he told the National Catholic Reporter.
Not only is Santorum damaging the Republican position among gays and their families, he is busy damaging it among Catholics. Most Catholics support John F Kennedy's position; in fact, they take it for granted. It was a critical event in the emergence of Catholics as an equal, proud minority. Now Santorum, with Bush's apparent blessing, is intent on destroying that compact. In fact, in this case, he is going much further. Even strict Catholics who believe homosexual sex is a grave sin nevertheless draw the Thomist distinction between sins and crimes. Just because something may be a sin doesn't mean it should mean jail. In fact, many things - especially in the private realm - fall into that category. But by arguing for the criminalization of gay sex, Santorum goes beyond even the traditional position and heads for a theocratic one. The more he seems to represent the face of the Republican party, the more fair-minded people will simply leave it, fear it, or vote against it. As they should.

- 7:11:16 PM
 
A DEMOCRATIC PLANT? That's Jim Pinkerton's explanation for Santorum's outburst against privacy in people's bedrooms.

- 10:01:29 AM
 
THE LIST: Here's a roster of the people whom Fidel Castro now has arrested for political opposition. You know. Fidel Castro. Socialite friend of Graydon Carter, Leslie Moonves, Oliver Stone, and on and on. (Thanks to Matthew Hoy's superb blog.)

- 12:49:07 AM
 
POPE'S FRIEND ARRESTED: The good buddy of the Holy Father, Tariq Aziz, a man who abetted the torture and murder of countless innocents, has finally been brought to justice. Meanwhile, Garner promises an interim authority by next week, which I take as a preliminary indication that the Pentagon is winning the battle for influence over State. At the same time, Garner has ruled Chalabi out as leader, which might indicate the opposite. But since Chalabi has never proposed being leader, this seems superfluous news. Impossible to read from this distance, but I see no real problem with various U.S. factions interplaying with various Iraqi factions to grope toward some kind of new leadership. That's how these things emerge; too much control is as dangerous as too little. But one thing I can tell from this end is that the media has been waging an almost incessant campaign of character assassination against Chalabi, especially in Howell Raines' newspaper. Hitch has caught on to this, although it certainly doesn't require much brilliance to figure it out. Why such contempt? The more I see it, the more inclined I am to think that Chalabi, about whom I confess I know little, is obviously a good thing.

GALLOWAY ON THE GALLOWS: Maybe the American press will begin to cover this story properly now. The Christian Science Monitor has become the second news organization to find documents that indicate that Saddam authorized huge pay-offs to the major anti-war leader in Britain, George Galloway. This time the sums are even more staggering, totalling $10 million in almost three years:
The three most recent payment authorizations, beginning on April 4, 2000, and ending on January 14, 2003 are for $3 million each. All three authorizations include statements that show the Iraqi leadership's strong political motivation in paying Galloway for his vociferous opposition to US and British plans to invade Iraq. The Jan. 14, 2003, document, written on Republican Guard stationary with its Iraqi eagle and "Trust in Allah," calls for the "Manager of the security department, in the name of President Saddam Hussein, to order a gratuity to be issued to Mr. George Galloway of British nationality in the amount of three million dollars only." The document states that the money is in return for "his courageous and daring stands against the enemies of Iraq, like Blair, the British Prime Minister, and for his opposition in the House of Commons and Lords against all outrageous lies against our patient people..." ... An Iraqi general attached to Hussein's Republican Guard discovered the documents in a house in the Baghdad suburbs used by Qusay, who is chief of Iraq's elite Guard units.
If you want further evidence that Galloway is guilty, here's a piece by Scott Ritter, defending him. I wonder if Galloway will decide to sue the Telegraph now, after all. And I wonder if the anti-war movement could be more damaged. (The news is also retroactively embarrassing for Diane Sawyer, who cited Galloway as emblematic of British anti-war sentiment earlier this year.) When I first mentioned the possibility of a fifth column, I presumed it would be fueled by ideological fervor. I didn't contemplate it could be fueled by the mighty dollar. You've got to love these Marxists, don't you?

THOUGHT FOR THE DAY: "In high school, I had to worry about nosy parents barging in if I was with a girl in my room. In college, I sometimes fear an overzealous roommate who forgets to knock when I am getting my game on. And now, according to Rick Santorum, when I graduate in May, I should have to worry about cops banging down my door if I am getting (or giving) head. Perhaps I'll stay another year in school. And never, ever, vote Republican." - just one email from over 1500 now edited on the Letters Page.

- 12:37:35 AM
 
A SHITTY LITTLE RUG: Okay, so it's ironic that Madame Chirac might have stolen a rug that wasn't hers'. But it stretches irony to new levels to find out it's actually Nazi loot stolen from murdered Jewish families. Oh, France. Could it get any more, well, French?

YELLOW PERIL: One good reason to be glad you don't live in Cameroon.

CHUTZPAH AWARD: The BBC head accuses the U.S. media of right-wing bias. Who does he think he is, Howell Raines?

- 12:36:25 AM
 
WHY I QUIT THE G.O.P.: A somewhat typical email I have received this last week:
I was raised during the '80s in the midwest in a moderately Republican family. Conservative enough, but not rabidly so. Anyway, after the brief fliration with leftism that's obligatory for all normal people in their early '20s, I eventually drifted back to the GOP. That was until I met my wife ... let me add my black Democrat wife. She thought I was insane when I told her what my affiliation was; she herself was pretty traditional, but couldn't countenance how any decent person could belong to that party. I defended my affiliation strongly; I told her that the GOP had finally come around. It was enlightened enough to believe that limited government and free markets were good, that morals should be traditional but that one could be gay but still be sober, hard-working and responsible; but most importantly that those principles had gradually overcome whatever residual racism and religious extremism that may still have existed. Whatever, she said; just you wait and see. After having been with her for seven years, and having gotten too many dirty glares during both our trips together to Texas, I finally had to give it all up earlier this year. I defended Bush and the party as best I could, even during the Bob Jones fiasco, Bush's statement that the unsaved don't get into heaven, and his mocking of Karla Tucker. However, the Trent Lott episode finally did me in. Of course Bush told him to step down, but clandestinely so. However, there has been no denunciation over Santorum's remarks from the White House yet, nor will there be anytime soon. I know there are plenty of intelligent, open-minded people in the party, and that they're fighting the good fight. However, I cannot, on principle, belong to a party that still has someone as high up as Santorum believing and saying the things he does. I refuse to support an organization that pursues American economic and military hegemony overseas in the name of freedom, but will not disown the most reactionary of social principles at home. I will never be a Democrat, but I'm afraid that only my (bi-racial and possibly gay, as my wife has a late gay uncle) great-grandchildren will be secure in a credible Republican party.
I hope Marc Racicot understands why so many want to support this party, but, under the current circumstances, simply cannot. I hope the president does too. People like Santorum and Lott are a big part of the reason. They make tolerant people who support Republicans look like fools.

- 12:35:30 AM

Thursday, April 24, 2003
 
SNOWE AND CHAFEE CHIDE SANTORUM: The first Senate Republican repudiation of Senator Santorum's disgraceful comments about gay people's relationships emerged today. Here's Snowe: "Discrimination and bigotry have no place in our society, and I believe Senator Santorum's unfortunate remarks undermine Republican principles of inclusion and opportunity." You can say that again. But Chafee gets the real issue, which is not about gays as such, but about privacy and the power of government to police everyone's bedrooms: "I thought his choice of comparisons was unfortunate and the premise that the right of privacy does not exist - just plain wrong. Senator Santorum's views are not held by this Republican and many others in our party." What a relief that some leaders are prepared to take this extremism on. And what does it say about the president and Bill Frist that they won't?

KURTZ PUNTS: Stanely Kurtz's critique of the New York Times' coverage and defense of the "slippery slope" argument in terms of constitutional law are completely fair enough (even though I disagree). But they are not the point. Stanley simply ignores the implications of Santorum's full comments, which clearly place Santorum in the position of believing that homosexual relationships should be criminalized, as well as equating homosexuality with child abuse and bestiality. Santorum's full remarks reveal exactly that. Why does Stanley ignore what is clearly in the public record? Why is it up to decent Republicans like Tony Blankley and Jonah Goldberg to state the obvious? The answer is that many establishment Republicans believe that the criminalization of private gay sex is a legitimate position, even when they personally disagree with it. That's how close they are to the fundamentalist right. That's how little they care about individual liberties. I guess, as so many gloating liberals have emailed me to point out, I have been incredibly naive. I expected a basic level of respect for gay people from civilized conservatives. I've always taken the view that there are legitimate arguments about such issues as marriage rights or military service and so on; and that fair-minded people can disagree. And, of course, there are many fair-minded people among Republicans and conservatives who do not agree with Santorum, and I am heartened by their support, especially the Republican Unity Coalition and Marc Racicot, RNC head. But something this basic as the freedom to be left alone in own's own home is something I naively assumed conservatives would obviously endorse - even for dispensable minorities like homosexuals. I was wrong. The conclusions to be drawn are obvious.

- 3:11:51 PM
 
NO APOLOGIES: The blog today is again devoted to the now-amplified comments of the third leading Republican in the Senate. I make no apologies for this. This is not about homosexuality as such. It is about the principles of limited government, tolerance, civility, compassion and the soul of the Republican party. There are no deeper political issues. No war is worth fighting if our political leaders feel contempt for basic liberties at home. I realized this more profoundly after reading Santorum's full remarks, which are far more alarming than the small, doctored quote that created the immediate fuss. If you care about basic liberties in the privacy of your own home, read Santorum's attack on them, my arguments below, and make your own mind up. My own position is similar to this reader's:
As a Christian, a conservative, and a registered Republican, I am shocked and appalled (well, maybe appalled and a little less shocked than I'd like to be) at Senator Santorum's comments. I cannot believe that this is what passes for conservative thought these days. I was raised a conservative by two very conservative parents who always told me that they were conservative because they didn't like the government telling them what they could and could not do, especially in the privacy of their own home. Being a conservative always seemed to be about individual freedom and liberty to them, and it is one of the things that has led me back to conservatism after a brief (and fictitious, ultimately) hiatus somewhere left of center. Now, I feel ashamed to be a registered Republican and am beginning to regret that post-9/11 moment when I decided that the Republican party was dead right on international and foreign affairs and headed in the right direction on domestic issues, headed back to their conservative roots on issues such as these sodomy laws. To deny those who might choose, as free adults, in the privacy of their own home, to engage in behavior that is opposed to another's morality, whether they are heterosexual or homosexual, is repugnant to my notions of conservatism. If Santorum is somehow representative of what is conservatism in the United States today, then I say no thank you to it.
Me too.

- 12:05:36 AM
 
SANTORUM AND THE CONSTITUTION: There are a couple of points about the Santorum controversy that are worth re-examining. The first is his problem with the Constitutional right to privacy. As I said yesterday, this is a perfectly respectable position, and one with which I have some sympathy. My preference would be for Texas voters to throw out this invasive and discriminatory law. My second choice would be for the Court to strike down the law on the grounds of equal protection, in as much as it criminalizes the same "offense" for one group of people (gays) but not for another (straights). But as a simple matter of constitutional fact, the right to privacy is very well entrenched. More to the point, one critical precedent for it, as Santorum concedes, is the Griswold ruling, protecting couples from state interference in their use of contraception. Now what is the real difference - in Santorum's moral universe - between contraception and non-procreative sex, i.e. sodomy? I don't see any myself. From a Catholic viewpoint, they are morally indistinguishable. So the question emerges: if Santorum believes, for religious reasons, that people should be jailed for private gay sex, why does he not think people should be jailed for the use of contraception? If his goal, for civil reasons, is "strong, healthy families," then contraception might even be more problematic than gay sex. It actually prevents heterosexuals from forming families at all. Does Santorum therefore endorse making contraception illegal? Would he allow the cops to police this in people's bedrooms? Will anyone ask him these obvious questions? Of course not.

SLIPPERY, SLIPPERY: The second issue is whether his point about a "slippery slope" from non-procreative sex to incest to polygamy, and so on, is valid. Where do we draw the line in policing private sexual behavior? My golden rule in matters of limited government is an old and simple one. It is that people should be free to do within their own homes anything they want to, as long as it is consensual, adult and doesn't harm anyone else. Bigamy and polygamy are therefore irrelevant here. Bigamy means being married to more than one woman; polygamy, likewise, means being married to more than two women. There's nothing inconsistent between saying you don't want such marriages to be legal (I don't) and also saying that what people do sexually in their own homes should be their own business, and not the government's. Do I think it should be a crime for a man to have sex with two women at once? Or an orgy? Nope. It's none of mine or the state's business. And that applies to having live-in long-term girlfriends, or any other type of consenting private relationship people might want. The only relevant issue is if a child - an involuntary participant in this private set-up - is the result of such relationships, in which case, we have another party involved, who might be harmed in some way. (This is also, for many, the issue with abortion and privacy.) That changes the equation, and makes some state interference defensible. Incest is more complicated, but it also fails the test because it involves the possibility of a child, in this case subject to physical problems as well as severe emotional ones. What these cases show is that the state's interest in policing private sex should only be related, and then only at some considerable distance, to the protection of children. But all this shows is that the case of private gay sex is perhaps the relationship that the government should be least concerned about. Why? Because it's the one least likely to involve children. In fact, as a sexual act, it's the only one that will never lead to children. So why, one wonders, is it the relationship that Santorum most wants to police? Hmmm.

CRIMINALIZING ADULTERY? Now let me turn the slippery slope argument around. Santorum argues that I should be jailed for having private consensual sex with my boyfriend in my own home. (He lets it slip at the end of the interview when he says: " If New York doesn't want sodomy laws, if the people of New York want abortion, fine. I mean, I wouldn't agree with it, but that's their right..." [My italics.]) Why does he believe this? Because, somehow, my relationship prevents others from forming "strong, healthy families." I have no idea how my relationship has such a bad effect on others - but leave that for a moment. If that is the criterion for the government to police our bedrooms, then why should not adultery be criminal? It has a far, far more direct effect on "strong, healthy families". It's far, far more common than gay sex - hurts children, destroys families, wounds women, and on and on. To argue that gay sex should be illegal but adultery shouldn't be, makes no sense at all. Again, Santorum must be asked if he believes adultery should be criminalized. Will anyone ask that? Not on Fox News.

- 12:04:56 AM
 
IS HE A BIGOT? Which gets us to the question of bigotry. I hate this term; and very rarely use it. But that doesn't mean it doesn't exist. If you care to, read Santorum's full remarks again. When you do, you begin to understand why he was the protege of Trent Lott. His first comments about homosexuals relate to the recent crisis in the Catholic Church:
In this case, what we're talking about, basically, is priests who were having sexual relations with post-pubescent men. We're not talking about priests with 3-year-olds, or 5-year-olds. We're talking about a basic homosexual relationship. Which, again, according to the world view sense is a a perfectly fine relationship as long as it's consensual between people.
"Post-pubescent men." What a bizarre term. They were minors! Doesn't that make a difference? In fact, isn't their being under-age the entire criminal issue here? Not to Santorum. In his view, the abuse of minors is a "basic homosexual relationship." In this quote, Santorum conflates the abuse of minors with adult homosexual relationships. He calls every homosexual in a relationship the equivalent of a child-molester. That is a despicable charge and Santorum must withdraw it. For good measure, Santorum then equates any same-sex relationships - faithful or unfaithful - with adultery. Subsequently, his attention wanders onto marriage where he opines:
In every society, the definition of marriage has not ever to my knowledge included homosexuality. That's not to pick on homosexuality. It's not, you know, man on child, man on dog, or whatever the case may be. It is one thing.
Here, homosexual relationships are associated with bestiality and - again - child abuse. (In the sentence beginning, "It's not, you know, man on child, ..." the "It's" clearly refers to marriage, not homosexuality. The referent is picked up again with: "It [i.e. marriage] is one thing.")

YOU DECIDE: Santorum, of course, doesn't believe he's prejudiced against gay people. I wonder if he knows any, or any work for him, or have ever worked for him. He claims his remarks are only pertinent to the Texas case before the Supreme Court. That's a lie, as anyone reading the transcript can attest. He further says he has nothing against homosexuals, except that if they ever want to express their homosexuality in an actual intimate and physical love, it's the equivalent of molesting a child or having sex with a dog, and they should be put in jail for it. That's what the Christian far-right means by "compassion." In the abstract, I suppose you could argue that if you have no problems with celibate homosexuals, then you're not a homophobe. Some saintly people might fall into that category, and I wouldn't like to say it isn't possible. But in practice, I'm really not so sure. It's hard to find the right analogy, but it's not that far from saying that you have nothing against Jews, as long as they go to Church each Sunday. (Which was, of course, the Catholic position for a very long time.) Worse actually. It's like saying that, even if Jews practised their religion at home, in private, they could still be arrested for undermining the social order. Their very persistence in their identity - which harms and could harm no-one else - is a threat. Do you think someone who said that would remain a leading pillar of the Republican Party?

- 12:01:10 AM

Wednesday, April 23, 2003
 
BUCKLEY VS SCALIA: It behooves me to mention William F Buckley's recent National Review column where he seems, in his usual elegant fashion, to side against sodomy laws. Good for WFB. (He tries to imply, however, that the Texas case was a set-up by pro-gay advocates looking for a test case. In fact, the arrests were the result of a malicious neighbor with a grudge against the couple.) Buckley has true conservative principles, of course. And he has a long history of defending private consensual adult behavior in which neither party is harmed. His critical sentence is: "The Texas law says that gays cannot do what non-gays can do, and the facts of the matter weigh against Texas." Exactly. Santorum avoids that issue entirely, and seems to know next to nothing about the Texas case. The real question for Santorum is whether he supports the enforcement of sodomy laws for straights. I presume he does. After all, if you're really interested in maintaining public morality and strong families, why would you allow sodomy for straights (for whom it is a choice over reproductive sex) and ban it for gays (who couldn't reproduce or have biological children if they tried.) Think about that: the number three Republican senator wants to allow the cops to police the bedrooms of straight couples to make sure there aren't any blowjobs. That's how far out there he is. The rest of the GOP is maintaining silence. Thanks, guys. We get the message. As one reader put it, "I was warming to the Republicans over Iraq. But statements like these have me running back to the Democrats." I can fully see why.

- 2:48:52 PM
 
PONNURU'S PIROUETTE: Good for Romesh Ponnuru, who at least manages to say something about Santorum. But then he says that I'm exaggerating. Ponnuru should become a lawyer his parsing of Santorum's comments are so, well, fine. Ponnuru says that all Santorumm is saying is that no courts should stop people from selectively (or even unselectively) enforcing sodomy laws and that there's no "valid moral principle that prohibits the governmental policing of consensual sexual behavior." That, according to Ponnuru, isn't radical or extreme at all. I guess that depends what you mean by moral or valid. Could there be such a "valid, moral" principle barring the state from arresting people in their own homes for consensual sex? How about the dignity and freedom of the human person - that he or she should be allowed a zone of privacy, especially in sexual affairs, that is immune from government intervention? Does Ponnuru think that moral case is invalid?

THE BACK-FLIP: But then he contradicts himself by conceding that Santorum - as a simple practical, empirical matter, regardless of any such "valid moral principles" - supports anti-sodomy laws. Ponnuru disagrees with Santorum on this: "Wrong, Santorum may be. I think he is wrong on the question of whether states should ban sodomy." Ponnuru lets Santorum off the hook because he doesn't see any evidence of Santorum wanting the laws enforced. Don't you love this new conservative approach to the law - that it can be ignored if necessary? I don't remember them making that argument during president Clinton's impeachment. But the real problem is deeper. Like so many other conservatives, Ponnuru stays mum on the question of sodomy laws except deep in a defense of someone attacking them. But if National Review had a shred of consistency in its own arguments, it would take on sodomy laws as a matter of conservative principle. Even Stanley Kurtz opposes them. Even Bill Kristol. I've personally asked Kurtz several times to write about the subject. Silence. I've asked other conservative editorialists to do the same (those who agree with me on the subject). Silence. The best you can hope for is the Wall Street Journal referring to these laws as an "anachronism," an anachronism that recently threw two people into jail. What exactly would it take to get conservatives to defend the principle of limited government and individual privacy? That it not involve any defense of homosexuals? Look at their defense of privacy when it comes to "outing" people. They have a fit (and rightly so) when some journalist dares ask questions about someone's sexual orientation. But when the government comes crashing through someone's bedroom door, they look politely the other way. Don't they see how transparent their double standards are? Or do they only care about these issues when it could affect "someone like them"?

AVOIDANCE ISSUES: It seems to me that the genteel form of conservative obtuseness to homosexual dignity and freedom now comes in this form (these are, obviously, my words):
I don't personally want to jail people for private sex; but as long as it's homosexuals alone who are subject to this invasion of privacy, I'm not going to get too exercised about it. If I did, I'd upset a few of my friends on the far right, and, heavens, we cannot afford a real fight over this. And, anyway, they don't enforce these laws, do they? Except when they do. They're being abolished anyway. Why should I add my voice to a chorus that's winning? And, (now talking to himself) isn't good for the homosexuals to be just a little scared that they could get arrested? Deters a few. Sends the right message. Keeps them in their place, after all. Ensures that our public morality is, well, heterosexual. This is the status quo and it's not too uncomfortable, is it? Well, I don't find it uncomfortable. That Sullivan, fine fellow in some ways. What a pity he's so obsessed by these personal issues. A few people's lives ruined for doing something I've sometimes done with my girlfriend isn't too high a price to pay for conservative unity, is it? It's not as if there's a valid moral principle involved here.
This is the voice of conservative excuse-making. It sickens me.

- 12:38:05 PM
 
NEW SANTORUM QUOTES: It's really helpful to read Senator Rick Santorum's full remarks to the AP reporter Lara Jakes Jordan. (My piece for Salon, posted opposite, was based on the truncated version released two days ago.) It turns out that once again, an important quote has been bungled by a journalist. Here's the critical quote:
[I]f the Supreme Court says that you have the right to consensual sex within your home, then you have the right to bigamy, you have the right to polygamy, you have the right to incest, you have the right to adultery. You have the right to anything.
Santorum did not say, as the AP had it, "the right to (gay) consensual sex within your home," and it's clear he didn't mean it either. (In a good piece, the New York Times' Sheryl Gay Stolberg, gets the quote right). Santorum meant any sex outside heterosexual, married, procreative sex. And he's insistent in opposing any tolerance by the government of sexual desires or wants that the government deems a threat to society:
The idea is that the state doesn't have rights to limit individuals' wants and passions. I disagree with that. I think we absolutely have rights because there are consequences to letting people live out whatever wants or passions they desire.
Wow. I've long heard of people talking about individual rights against the government. I have rarely heard about the government's rights against the individual. And from a Republican! Notice how Santorum uses the pronoun "we" when referring to the state. He's been in power too long. Has Santorum heard of limited government? It was once a conservative idea, you know, Senator.

CRIMINALIZING SEX: Now there are two issues here: there's a Constitutional issue about whether the Constitution enshrines an absolute right to privacy, which is a matter of genuine scholarly and legal debate. Then there's a political issue about whether as a political matter, voters should support laws that criminalize private adult consensual sexual activity. Santorum is clear in his remarks that he neither believes that the Constitution protects such privacy; and that he would support laws that would criminalize many private consensual sexual acts. He backs sodomy laws. ("If New York doesn't want sodomy laws, if the people of New York want abortion, fine. I mean, I wouldn't agree with it, but that's their right." [emphasis added]) He therefore believes that if I were to have sex with my boyfriend in my own bedroom, I should be liable to cops' raiding my apartment and throwing me in jail. (At the same time, he says he has "absolutely nothing" against homosexuals. Nada.) His subsequent comments also strongly imply that he would allow the cops to come into private homes to police heterosexual adultery as well. Or, in Santorum's world, the cops could enter someone's house to see whether a man was having sex with two women or more than two women on a continuous basis (that would be private "bigamy" or "polygamy"). In fact, any activity that could be construed by Santorum as "antithetical to strong, healthy families" could theoretically be outlawed. I don't know about you, but this vision of what should constitute government power in a free society worries the bejeezus out of me. In fact, it's one of the most extremist, big-government comments I've ever heard from a sitting U.S. Senator. And he's not even a liberal.

NOT ABOUT GAYS: The response to Santorum has been primarily that his remarks were bigoted about gays. Santorum claims they weren't. I disagree but, as with Trent Lott, I can't look into a person's heart and know whether he is animated by hate or not. But homosexuality isn't the real point here. The point is that Santorum is proposing a politics that would essentially abolish domestic sexual privacy - for all of us, if we deviate from "correct" sexual practice. Many social conservatives, I think, may oppose same-sex marriage or gays in the military, but most don't want to send the cops into bedrooms across America to jail gay citizens. They may disapprove of adultery, but still not want the police investigating. They see the difference between what is publicly normative and what is privately permitted. They adhere, like the vast majority of fair-minded people, to the very American notion of live-and-let-live. Even Bill Kristol has publicly said he opposes anti-sodomy laws. But Santorum, in these remarks, clearly doesn't. What he disapproves of mustn't only be denied public recognition; it must be criminalized. If you think I'm exaggerating, read his full comments. They are not a relic of a bigoted past, as Trent Lott's were. But they are an expression of a bleak future, in which tolerance and privacy are subject to the approval of "moral" majorities and enforced by the police. If that truly is his view, he needs to explain it further. And the Republican party has to ask itself if it wants an unconservative extremist as one of its leaders.

- 12:44:37 AM
 
FRANCE BLINKS: Kinda. Meanwhile, a "French official" tells the International Herald Trib that Chirac is about engage in a period of "rhetorical adjustment." Heh.

HITCH IN TROUBLE: He's been haranguing the missus again.

NOT SANTORUM: These Republicans are, well, psychedelic.

THE ALLEGED TRAITOR: Intelligence experts say the documents apparently incriminating anti-war campaigner George Galloway check out. Was he paid off by Saddam? The British government starts to investigate his "charity" and its funding. The Labour Party starts an investigation into what it calls "extremely serious" allegations. FYI: The Treason Act 1351 is still active, making it a crime, punishable by life in prison to "be adherent to the king's [now queen's] enemies in his realm or elsewhere". If he's guilty, send him to the Tower!

- 12:41:22 AM

Tuesday, April 22, 2003
 
GALLOWAY UPDATE: The Labour deputy has now redoubled his denials and is threatening to sue the Daily Telegraph. I can't say his statement settles the matter. It sure doesn't convince me. The reporter explains to the Guardian:
"Nobody steered me in that direction at all. We just went and purely by chance we stumbled across this room which had these files in it, and again purely by chance we came across these files which carried the label Britain. And it was two days before we had actually gone through the contents and found this document. I find it very hard to believe that this document is not authentic. I think it would require an enormous amount of imagination to believe that someone went to the trouble of composing a forged document in Arabic and then planting it in a file of patently authentic documents and burying it in a darkened room on the off-chance that a British journalist might happen upon it and might bother to translate it. That strikes me as so wildly improbable as to be virtually inconceivable."
The story is now leading every major British news source, so we'll find out soon enough. But the full implications of this story for the anti-war movement are epic.

DEAN, THE E-CANDIDATE: ABC News asks an interesting question: how come outsider, purist know-it-all candidate Howard Dean has amassed $2.6 million already? The answer is partly the internet. I smell a McCain-like campaign.

THE FAR RIGHT'S ANGER: One sign of the domestic moderation of the Bush administration is that some elements of the religious right are furious. Not so long ago, RNC chair Marc Racicot visited the Human Rights Campaign, the major gay rights group. The Family Research Council has gone nuts about this. FRC's head, Kenneth Connor, claims that the party chair shouldn't meet with groups who disagree with official party platform policy. Does that mean that no Republican president should ever address the NAACP, I wonder? Or Hispanic or Jewish groups who don't agree with everything in the GOP platform? Connor further says that the GOP believes that homosexuality is incompatible with military service. But even the Pentagon doesn't believe that, and allows closeted homosexuals (and increasingly some not-so-closeted ones) to serve their country. Rcaicot was right to reach out to gays and lesbians. He's right to implicitly deny that being gay-inclusive and pro-family is somehow an incoherent or un conservative position. Gays are members of families;they always have been and always will be. The question is whther they will be pushed out of family life or included in it. In his private email, Connor calls HRC "a radical organization working to advance an extremist agenda." This is baloney. I know the gay left; and HRC is the gay center. They increasingly understand thay many gays are conservative and moderate and have intelligently reached out to conservative thinkers, writers and politicians. Heck, Jonah Goldberg and David Brooks addressed the same conference as Racicot. The Bush administration needs to know that its impulse for inclusion is the right one; in fact, it's the only one that will give the GOP a healthy and moral future.

BBC WATCH: They also tend to get their basic science reporting wrong.

- 12:41:36 PM
 
PAID BY SADDAM? If this turns out to be true, it's a bombshell. The chief left-wing anti-war campaigner in Britain's parliament, Labour Party MP George Galloway, has his name on several documents discovered in Baghdad by the Daily Telegraph. The documents allegedly show a huge pay-off scheme from Saddam's oil profits to the anti-war activist - worth up to $500,000 a year - in return for his political work in defense of Saddam. Here are the relevant documents. Here are details of the alleged Jordanian go-between. Galloway has denied the allegations thus:
Asked to explain the document, he said yesterday: "Maybe it is the product of the same forgers who forged so many other things in this whole Iraq picture. Maybe The Daily Telegraph forged it. Who knows?" When the letter from the head of the Iraqi intelligence service was read to him, he said: "The truth is I have never met, to the best of my knowledge, any member of Iraqi intelligence. I have never in my life seen a barrel of oil, let alone owned, bought or sold one."
Not exactly a clear denial, I'd say. Notice the Clintonian "maybes" and "to the best of my knowledge." Notice that Galloway doesn't clearly deny receiving laundered oil money either. I imagine the Telegraph must be pretty confident of its source materials, but I cannot independently verify them, of course. And I haven't seen the story picked up yet by anyone else. But this is the lead story in the largest-selling quality newspaper in Britain. If confirmed, it couldn't be more damaging to a man synonymous in Britain with the anti-war movement. It will be fascinating to see how that movement responds in the coming days to the notion that one of its key figures may actually have been on the dictator's pay-roll. It will be even more fascinating if any other such documents turn up.

- 12:38:12 AM
 
THE GOOD NEWS: I was heartened to read Kanan Makiya's latest missive in the New Republic. There are some memes in the liberal media I just don't buy - i.e. all exiles are bad; Islam will destroy Iraqi democracy; we'll be hated soon; we're hated already, etc., etc. Kristof has absorbed, as usual, all the defeatist talking points, but at least he has conceded he got almost everything wrong last year. In contrast, here's the money Makiya quote:
Garner was an enormous hit with the Iraqis present at the meeting. He wisely stayed very much in the background, judging that the key task at hand was having Iraqis speak to one another, rather than having them hear speeches from representatives of the U.S.-led coalition. When Garner did finally speak, it was to make a direct, honest, straight-from-the-heart appeal to the participants that won them over instantly. He said, simply, that his role was to support Iraqis in the reconstruction of their country, and that he plans on leaving as soon as Iraqis themselves find it appropriate. "He really means it," a businessman from Mosul said to me after the conference. "This man is the genuine article."
I remain an optimist about the Iraqi future - and America's critical role in it. Yes, there have been some obvious screw-ups - the failure to protect Baghdad's museums strikes me as damn-near indefensible. But the direction is clear. And if the U.N. is successfully kept at the margins, we can work this out.

SO BLAIR WAS RIGHT? Remember the furore over whether prime minister Tony Blair was lying when he claimed that two British POW's had been executed by the Saddam regime? New evidence - in shallow graves - looks like it supports Blair. No proof yet - but this is a depressing find.

- 12:34:51 AM
 
A BAD QUOTE WON'T DIE: It appears that the Oxford Dictionary of Quotations no less is still repeating the lie. The Times of London reports that among the listed future quotations from the Iraq war, one is
from Lieutenant-General William Wallace, Commander of the US Army Fifth Corps: "The enemy we are fighting is different from the one we'd war-gamed."
Aaaarghhh.

NUTS ON CIRCUMCISION? A reader makes his case against mine. We only cut a few lines.

HOT DATE: Drudge and Camille. Philly. V. hot.

CHIRAC WARNED: From L'Express in Paris: "If Jacques Chirac persists in making the UN the field of his next battle, he has been duly warned by Washington. It will be worthy, glorious and solitary, perhaps even moving. But irrelevant." Some of the French are beginning to understand their predicament. Alas, Le Figaro has just made Johny Apple look on the ball.

- 12:33:34 AM
 
THE LEFT'S DESPAIR: I was walking through my neighborhood the other day - in D.C.'s hyper-p.c. Adams Morgan - and I swear I've been seeing a few more anti-war posters since the war ended. The signs are perhaps expressions of some kind of rage at reality, especially a reality that has surely undermined some of the anti-Bush left's cherished nostrums - that American military intervention is always evil, that nothing good can come from any Bush policy, that Iraqis will loathe being liberated, and so on. Some people on the left whom I respect have also gone off what can only be called the deep end. Michael Lind is sadly one. Paul Krugman is another. And now Harold Meyerson, the newish executive editor of the American Prospect joins the frothing fray. Meyerson has often been a thoughtful, lively writer of the left, and I was proud to run his often-provocative pieces at The New Republic. But his latest cover-story for his own magazine is just, well, er, you read it. It's titled, "The Most Dangerous President Ever." Ever. Worse than Nixon. Worse than the left's previous nemesis, Reagan. Worse than Hoover. In fact, Meyerson can think of only one precedent as horrifying:
He, too, had a relentlessly regional perspective, and a clear sense of estrangement from that part of America that did not support him. He was not much impressed with the claims of wage labor. His values were militaristic. He had dreams of building an empire at gunpoint. And he was willing to tear up the larger political order, which had worked reasonably well for about 60 years, to advance his factional cause. The American president - though not of the United States - whom George W. Bush most nearly resembles is the Confederacy's Jefferson Davis.
Yes, we've now sunk to another level of demonization, as Bush seems to be doing to the left what Clinton did to parts of the right: make them so nuts they cannot even think straight.

WHY? Yes, I can see why the left will disagree with Bush on certain issues: judicial restraint, tax cuts, a pro-active, rather than defensive, war on terror. I share concern about rising deficits, a weakening of the church-state divide, and fraying civil liberties. But the domestic record of Bush doesn't begin to justify the hysterical opprobrium thrown at him. Some of it is the system working: the man has gotten precious few judges through the Senate (and some of his picks have been dreadful); his tax cuts have been mercifully restrained by more fiscally prudent Republicans; his (good) proposals to shore up social security are on hold; there will be no drilling in protected Alaska; his faith-based initiative has been watered down to almost nothing. Other signs of moderation come from choice: there has been a consolidation - not a reversal - of gay rights; in contrast to Bill Clinton, Bush has proposed a serious effort to fight AIDS globally; the repudiation of Trent Lott solidified the inclusive message of the Bush-led GOP; some of his environmental proposals have been downright green; and the two wars that this president has fought have been remarkable military successes, whose consequences are yet to be fully known. Moreover, Bush has had to cope with the gravest threat to this country's security in its history and, since 9/11, has not seen another serious terrorist attack on American soil. He also inherited a post-bubble slump. And yet this is "the most dangerous president ever." Again, I'm not saying that there isn't a liberal case against this president. What I'm saying is that the level of animosity has now gone to truly unhinged levels. This, of course, is good news for Bush, who is busy turning his opponents into shriller versions of Ann Richards. But it's bad news for Democrats and worse news for anyone who believes, as I do, that an intelligent opposition helps good government, rather than hinders it.

- 12:32:05 AM

Monday, April 21, 2003
 
THOUGHT FOR THE DAY: "France is like someone who’s been given a glimpse of the future, sees himself committing suicide, and resolves to spend his remaining days making it look like murder." - Lileks, of course.

- 2:55:05 PM
 
SARS AND HIV: SARS is obviously a huge worry. But it still makes sense to recall that many more people have died of the flu recently than of SARS - and almost certainly will do in the coming months. But what does worry me is the possibility of a combined SARS and HIV epidemic across the developing world. People with weaker immune systems, as Luc Montagnier has just pointed out, are far more vulnerable to viruses like SARS. Healthy HIV-positive people in the West might do okay (fingers crossed), but the death-rates in Africa or Southeast Asia could surely soar from the double-whammy.

RAINES AWARD NOMINEE: This time for the headline writer for the Sydney Morning Herald. Their summary of Iraqi Christian sermons yesterday: "US occupation like crucifixion, Easter mass told." Then, when you read the story you find something a little different:
"I told the faithful that Iraq lived through its passion in recent weeks with the American invasion," said Father Butros Haddad, priest at the Church of the Virgin Mary in central Baghdad. "But it will be reborn like Christ was resurrected," the cleric told hundreds of Chaldean Catholic faithful. "The resurrection comes always after the passion, joy comes back always after the pain."
So the pain of war was necessary for the rebirth of a nation. Slightly different gloss, don't you think?

THE WAR IN BRITISH JOURNALISM: The pro-war papers stood still in circulation. The tabloid anti-war paper, the Daily Mirror, went into free-fall. Even Robert Fisk's former promoter concedes Fisk had a "pretty dreadful war."

- 12:56:04 PM
 
THE FRUITS OF WAR: There seems to be a real power struggle among the Palestinians. The golden rule is that if Arafat opposes any change, it's worth supporting the change. Without Bush's firm stand, no change - and therefore no prospect for a real peace - would have happened. Ditto Syria, which seems to be getting the message of the Three Week War. There's a dynamic here, and one that surely should challenge conventional views of what a "just war" is. Would a peaceful ouster of Saddam have been possible? I think we now know that war was the only way. Was the war fought with an attempt to minimize civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure? Yes, on an historic scale. Is the outcome in Iraq more just than what preceded it? Without a doubt. Will the war prod the rest of the region toward more positive change? It certainly looks possible. Yes, war is awful. But 21st century warfare has now demonstrated its capacity to flummox centuries of "just war" theologians and philosophers. We need a new debate - because the terms of the last one have just become extinct.

UNBOUND: What the war means for America's future. Empire? Not in the DNA. But something much more promising beckons. My take - now a week old - posted opposite.

- 12:03:30 AM
 
GIVE BURNS A PULITZER: I know I'm not out on a limb here, but John F. Burns' reporting for the New York Times from Iraq is up there with the greatest. What he was able to do was to report factually, carefully, objectively, while still giving the Saddamite police state no quarter. He saw what tyranny does to people, and his obviously deep love of human freedom enabled him to get at deeper truths than so many others did. Now we find that he was targeted by Saddam and lived in fear of his life in the final days of the war:
At midnight on April 1, without warning, a group of men led by Mr. Muthanna, identifying themselves as intelligence agents, broke into my room at the Palestine Hotel. The men, in suits and ties, at least one with a holstered pistol under his jacket, said they had known "for a long time" that I was an agent of the Central Intelligence Agency, that I was from that moment under arrest, and that a failure to "cooperate" would lead to more serious consequences. "For you, it will be the end," Mr. Muthanna said. "Where we will take you, you will not return."
Burns, mercifully, endured till the end, decried by one Iraqi Information Ministry official as "the most dangerous man in Iraq." Not quite. But truth is always a danger to tyrants. And Burns carried it high. Kudos to him and, yes, to Howell Raines, for giving him the prominence and space he so richly deserves.

THE MEANING OF FAMILY: Sometimes a picture says it all.

- 12:02:49 AM
 
WHILE I WAS AWAY: I'll never forget my once-in-a-lifetime meeting with Michael Oakeshott. I'd written most of my doctoral dissertation on the great man's work by the time I actually met him so you can imagine the pressure of the day and the anticipation. He didn't disappoint me but I think I disappointed him. At one point he asked me what I was intending to do after graduate school. "I think I'll be a journalist," I said. "Oh dear," he replied, his pixie-smile suddenly collapsing. "I've always thought that the need to know the news every day is a nervous disorder." Can you imagine what he'd say about blogging? It was indeed wonderful for the nerves to spend a few days without the newspaper or the internet. I took in a fabulous trip to Austin, a riveting "Richard III" at Washington's Shakespeare Theater (if you want to see good Shakespeare, it's far better to live in D.C. than in provincial New York City), and then, last night, the deliriously delicious "A Mighty Wind." (Conspiracy theorists will be thrilled to know that I went with Ken Adelman, James Taranto and Richard Miniter to R3. We all took notes. What a master propagandist that Shakespeare fellow was. And of course Henry Tudor won in a cakewalk.)

BUT I DIGRESS...: Still, I now know, after catching up a bit, that plenty of non-U.S. companies will have a share in Iraqi reconstruction, that, among other pro-environment decisions, the Bush administration has proposed some of the greenest diesel fuel standards in history, and that the New York Times continues to bleed talent in the wake of the Raines reign of terror. So pretty much what you'd expect, no?

- 12:01:07 AM

Sunday, April 20, 2003
 
BBC WATCH: Two small items from last week. As this blog recently lamented, the BBC has just produced a dramatic series designed to defend and glamorize the famous Communist spy ring that infiltrated M.I.6 during the Cold War. One astute analyst of the script has described it as little more than "KGB propaganda." Stalin, Saddam ... idealists and patriots all. Then there was the classic BBC description of the looting that occurred after the liberation of Baghdad. The news organization pronounced that Iraqis were now living in "more fear than they have ever known." The Blair government protested the coverage.

- 11:58:26 PM
 
"TONY THE HAT": Not a mobster, Just a priceless, British obit.

THE BEEB APOLOGIZES: From Private Eye (Britain's Onion), an apology from the BBC:
In the light of recent events, we now accept – albeit with a very bad grace – that the coalition forces seem for the time being to have got away with it, and that large numbers of Iraqis, though clearly paid by the CIA to do so, may have appeared to be not entirely displeased at the downfall of a regime which, whatever its faults, did at least for 30 years guarantee the stability of a potentially explosive mix of Shias, Sunnis and Kurds, who will now undoubtedly plunge the whole region into a state of chaos which will threaten the peace of the world.
Whilst apologising for any confusion to which our reports may have given rise (and allowing for the fact that they could be broadcast only under monitoring restrictions imposed by the Iraqi authorities), we now realise that the only hope for future peace is for the hated Bush/Blair imperialist aggressors to be replaced at once by a French-led UN force of Russian troops of the type who were so successful in bringing peace to the Muslims of Groszny.
Yep, that just about sums it up, doesn't it?

- 11:57:40 PM
 
POSEUR ALERT: "The truth about my name is that... I believe that people choose their names and that our names say a lot about what our destiny in life is. So I discovered that my birthday was October 3rd and Mahatma Gandhi was October 2nd. But when I discovered it I knew there was something to it. Once I started making music I started to understand that the political statements I make in my music and doing it in an honest but non-offensive way said a lot about his character and the peaceful protests. And my brother's also born on Martin Luther King's birthday. So I think it says a lot about my mother and my father's children and who we are. I got my name because I chose it in Heaven." - India Arie, on the BBC's "Woman's Hour," radio show, noted by Private Eye (whose "Pseuds' Corner" concept this blog shamelessly ripped off).

BAY AREA SECESSION? Independence for "weirdoes and misfits"? Nah. We need them. We love them. They're part of the mix. And without the rest of us, they wouldn't be misfits, would they?

AFTER ENABLING SADDAM: Some peaceniks even side with Mugabe, if it means swiping at Bush. Way to go, guys!

- 11:56:50 PM

Tuesday, April 15, 2003
 
CAN'T HELP MYSELF: This passage from the BBC about Abu Abbas simply defies belief. No use of the term "terrorist," of course:
A wanted Palestinian fugitive, Abu Abbas, has been detained by US forces in the Iraqi capital, Baghdad. He led the Palestinian Liberation Front, which hijacked a US cruise ship, the Achille Lauro, in 1985. During the hijack, an elderly American passenger died. Abu Abbas had been mentioned by US President George W Bush as an example of the kind of figure given refuge by the former regime of Saddam Hussein.
In subsequent versions, the BBC seems to have substituted the term "was killed" for "died." I guess even they have their limits in terrorism apologetics.

- 6:52:15 PM

Monday, April 14, 2003
 
JUST ONE THING: If you live in or near Austin, Texas, I'm going to be speaking at the University of Texas on blogging and the media tomorrow night, April 15. It's at 7pm at the Texas Union Ballroom. Always happy to meet readers. So drop by, if you feel like it.

- 9:11:00 PM

Sunday, April 13, 2003
 
SPRING BREAK: I'm taking a breather this week. After round-the-clock blogging since the new year, it's time for a break. Thanks for being there each day and night. Have a great week. See you next Monday, bright and early.

Easter Bunny

- 11:51:24 PM

Friday, April 11, 2003
 
JUSTICE: "Among the attacks that had a strong political edge were those on the German Embassy and the French cultural center, both in east Baghdad. Few Iraqis were unaware, in the weeks preceding the war, that France and Germany were leading international efforts to force President Bush into accepting an extension of United Nations weapons inspections here, and to delay military action against Mr. Hussein. The French and German buildings were stripped of furniture, curtains, decorations, and anything else that could be carried away. At the French cultural center, where looters burst water pipes and flooded the ground floor, books were left floating in the reading rooms and corridors, and a photograph of Jacques Chirac, the French president, was smashed. French reporters said the French Embassy, also on the Tigris's east bank, appeared to have been spared because it remained under the protection of French military guards. The German Embassy was unprotected." - John F. Burns, New York Times today.

- 1:49:30 PM
 
THOUGHTS FOR THE DAY: "Perhaps we cannot make this a world in which children are no longer tortured. But we can reduce the number of tortured children," - Albert Camus.

"The prison in question was inspected by my team in Jan. 1998. It appeared to be a prison for children - toddlers up to pre-adolescents - whose only crime was to be the offspring of those who have spoken out politically against the regime of Saddam Hussein. It was a horrific scene. Actually I'm not going to describe what I saw there because what I saw was so horrible that it can be used by those who would want to promote war with Iraq, and right now I'm waging peace." - Scott Ritter, Time Magazine.


- 12:47:34 PM
 
NOT A VON HOFFMAN: Rick Hertzberg would never be so crude as to get something so obviously wrong. But this piece is so revealing about the mindset of the Manhattan chattering class that it deserves re-reading in the aftermath of liberation. Beneath the polished prose, unvarnished partisan glee.

- 12:45:33 PM
 
KUDOS TO KAMIYA: Anti-war writer, Gary Kamiya, does some admirable soul-searching in Salon:
I have a confession: I have at times, as the war has unfolded, secretly wished for things to go wrong. Wished for the Iraqis to be more nationalistic, to resist longer. Wished for the Arab world to rise up in rage. Wished for all the things we feared would happen. I'm not alone: A number of serious, intelligent, morally sensitive people who oppose the war have told me they have had identical feelings.
Some of this is merely the result of pettiness -- ignoble resentment, partisan hackdom, the desire to be proved right and to prove the likes of Rumsfeld wrong, irritation with the sanitizing, myth-making American media. That part of it I feel guilty about, and disavow. But some of it is something trickier: It's a kind of moral bet-hedging, based on a pessimism not easy to discount, in which one's head and one's heart are at odds.
Let me say I'm disturbed by some of what Kamiya confesses, but extremely heartened by his honesty. It seems to me that a real anti-war liberal, with a heart and a head, is bound to feel deeply conflicted by all this. Contrast Kamiya with the apparatchik Krugman this morning and you see the difference between someone trying to figure this all out and someone who thinks he figured everything out years ago. (And notice Krugman's use of the term 'conquest' rather than liberation. Telling, don't you think?)

- 11:44:06 AM

Thursday, April 10, 2003
 
THE COMING SPIN: You can see it now. Chaos. Looting. Disorder. Losing the peace. It's not that there won't be some truth to these stories; and real cause for concern. The pent-up fury, frustration and sheer anger of three decades is a powerful thing, probably impossible to stop immediately without too much force. And the last thing we want is fire-power directed toward the celebrating masses. The trouble is that they could become the narrative of the story, especially among the usual media suspects, and erode the impact and power of April 9. By Sunday, or sooner, you-know-who will probably have a front-page "news analysis" that will describe the joy of liberation being transformed into the nightmare of a Hobbesian quicksand of ever-looming cliches. Speaking of whom ...

... BAKED APPLE: The only good thing about R. W. Apple still producing his "stories swollen to the point of corpulence with clichés, platitudes, and the most foolish sort of conventional wisdom," is that Jack Shafer is around to write about them. If this piece doesn't have you on the floor laughing, then I guess ... it's just me.


- 11:39:22 PM
 
SHOCK AND AWE: Now we're seeing it. This piece from MEMRI makes for encouraging reading. It's a piece of withering criticism of the Arab media by the editor-in-chief of the London-based Saudi daily Al-Sharq Al-Awsat, Abd Al-Rahman Al-Rashed. Maybe the Arab populations will realize that their media simply spews lies and begin demanding greater accuracy and accountability. Money quote:
I know that adopting an impartial stand in the [Arab] media world is akin to suicide, because there are many who push the media into extremes, and take 'nationalistic' positions, and maintain that whoever thinks differently is committing treason against the [national] cause. [They maintain] that lying for the sake of the cause is moral and honorable. The Arab media [of today], in these hard times, is slowly turning into the 1967 media; at that time, radio announcers, analysts, and journalists exaggerated acts of courage and covered up defeats, which - historically - became a mockery... The Arab media today, with its clear inclination towards exaggerations and false promises of victory, is feeding the public stories that have nothing to do with the real events in the field. Hence, it is replicating the old media, despite the fact that it is broadcasting in color and using electronic technologies ...
And so the effort for a real change begins.

- 11:38:34 PM
 
THE ANTI-WAR RIGHT: Here's a blast from far-right Catholics, who seem to have more sympathy with the Taliban than with the evils of pluralist America. How fitting that they're now in league with A.N.S.W.E.R.

RUMMY'S SEX ADVICE: Yes, this made me laugh.

- 11:38:01 PM
 
SONTAG AWARD NOMINEE: "In Britain, we call this sort of thing criminal damage, and you can get three months in jail for it, as 37-year-old Paul Kelleher discovered recently when he beheaded a marble effigy of former prime minister Margaret Thatcher. Poor Mr Kelleher: wrong time, wrong place, wrong statue." - Brian Whitaker, in the Guardian, comparing the toppling of Saddam's statue with British vandalism.

RAINES WATCH: Guess which story the NYT submitted for a Pulitzer? Their brave, pioneering, completely unhinged coverage of the Augusta Golf Tournament "controversy"! I'm not sure if they submitted the columns they originally spiked.

A PLURALITY: More Massachusetts residents now support equal marriage rights than oppose them, according to a new poll. I point this out so that when the hard right claims that the courts are subverting popular opinion, you'll know they're projecting.

BEGALA AWARD NOMINEE: (for extreme liberal hyperbole) "No doubt Kristol, with his censorious, antidemocratic instincts, would have risen high in the apparat of the old Soviet Communist Party. But there may be a larger, more ominous parallel here: Once upon a time, the Kremlin also used force to try to remake the world in its own image. Conservatives claim to learn from history. Kristol's outburst-one of many such dissent-is-unpatriotic statements issued by pro-White House cheerleaders in the media - is more evidence that the people who now control America's national security policy are not really conservatives but extremists." - Katrina vanden Heuvel, the Nation, equating current U.S. policy with that of the Soviet Union (which, paradoxically, she provided excuses for at the time).

- 11:36:55 PM
 
IS THIS IT? Fox News reports on a labyrinth of tunnels and labs in Southern Iraq, where buildings are testing positive for radiation. This may not turn out to be a nuclear research facility. But it strikes me as a sign of what we might soon find.

- 1:41:58 PM
 
VON HOFFMAN AWARDS - THE SEQUEL

V-H AWARD I: "Gruesome days for the German foreign minister: Every morning at nine, his staff briefs him on the situation in Iraq in the ministry's underground situation room. His worst fears are coming true: The US military appears to be stuck in its tracks in the desert, and civilian casualties are multiplying. It has never been so painful to have been in the right, murmurs the foreign minister, with a worried look on his face." - der Spiegel, March 31.

V-H AWARD II: "I bet you in the Pentagon the military planning assumes 5,000 to 10,000 American casualties and at least 100,000 to 250,000 civilian casualties in downtown Baghdad. All on CNN." - Gary Hart, Denver Post, March 30, 2001.

V-H AWARD III: "The United States is going to leave Iraq with its tail between its legs, defeated. It is a war we cannot win. "We do not have the military means to take over Baghdad and for this reason I believe the defeat of the United States in this war is inevitable. "Every time we confront Iraqi troops we may win some tactical battles, as we did for ten years in Vietnam, but we will not be able to win this war, which in my opinion is already lost." - Scott Ritter, South African TV.

V-H AWARD IV: "Iraqis, very clearly, do not want to be 'liberated,' even many who had long opposed Saddam's brutal regime. To the contrary, the US-British invasion appears to have ignited genuine national resistance among 17 million Arab Iraqis, just as the 1941 German invasion of the USSR rallied Russians and Ukrainians behind Stalin's hated regime. ... The nasty, bloody urban warfare the Americans and Brits sought to avoid at all costs is now confronting them." - Eric Margolis, ForeignCorrespondent.com.

V-H AWARD V: "Though Operation Iraqi Freedom has been underway for only two weeks, Rumsfeld's "shock and awe" strategy was a flop. Pentagon strategists expected to have taken Baghdad by Mar. 27. Best-laid plans and all that: U.S. generals, worried that they don't have enough men on the front lines, are considering whether to lay siege to Baghdad, bomb it to ruins or take it one block at a time. Basra hasn't fallen. Suicide bombers are on the loose, we're offing civilians and the Iraqi army has gone guerilla. And we hold a mere 4,000 Iraqi POWs. Only 45 Americans and Britons have died so far--compared to 112 total combat deaths in 1991--but allied casualties will soar if and when ground troops are ordered to take Baghdad... In this respect, Iraqis are no different than we are. Millions of Americans consider Bush to be a hateful, extremist dimwit who seized power twice, once in an unconstitutional judicial coup d'état and again by using the Sept. 11 attacks as a pretext to expand his personal power and gut the Bill of Rights. They call him names, like the Resident and Commander-in-Thief. But even the most passionately anti-Bush Americans would eagerly join their W-loving compatriots to fight any army that invaded the United States in the name of some theoretical 'liberation.' I know I would." - Ted Rall, April 2.

V-H AWARD VI: "Meanwhile, a German government report due to appear in a newspaper on Monday says that up to two million people could die in a war on Iraq. The report released by the Environment Ministry says many civilians would be unable to get food or clean drinking water. The paper quotes the report as saying that a quarter of the population in southern Iraq already has no access to drinking water." - Deutsche Welle.

V-H AWARD VII: "These are the last days of relative calm before we start bombing and massacring hundreds of thousands of people and in so doing enter into what many believe will a very long, drawn-out, insanely expensive, volatile, destabilizing, completely unwinnable war against a cheap thug of an opponent who has negligible military might and zero capacity to actually harm the U.S. in any substantive way. U-S-A! U-S-A! This will not be Desert Storm. This will not be quick and painless. This will be 3,000 guided missiles launched on the first day of the war, 10 times that of Desert Storm, turning Iraq into an instant wasteland." - Mark Morford, Sfgate, March 5.

V-H AWARD VIII: "Have you ever seen such amazing arrogance wedded to such awesome incompetence?" - Molly Ivins, March 16, 2003. No, Molly, I haven't. The liberal media have had a terrible, terrible war.

- 12:49:52 PM
 
NOW, SOBRIETY: Yes, we should celebrate, and I still am. After choking up much of yesterday afternoon, and being a little dazed watching the news last night, it's hard to do anything but celebrate. This resembled the end of the Cold War because it was, in a different context, exactly the same thing. It's the end of a vicious, oppressive dictatorship, that had clung on to power, with the help of the Soviet Union and France and China, well past its due date. As freedom has reached Eurasia, South America, and parts of the far east, since the end of Soviet communism, the Arab world remains cut off. We've just opened a supply line. It will be up to us and the Iraqis to make sure the freedom sticks, the line stays open, the tyranny doesn't return - and that's something that most of us, anti-war and pro-war, can surely agree on and do something to bring about. But, today, this morning, the war isn't fully over; Tikrit hasn't fallen; order hasn't been restored; Saddamite remnants could still wreak havoc. None of this detracts from the victory. None of it. But it surely cautions us against hubris or over-confidence. We now have a country to restore and a long war still to wage.

- 1:29:02 AM
 
THOUGHT FOR THE DAY: "We will confront weapons of mass destruction, so that a new century is spared new horrors... The enemies of liberty and our country should make no mistake: America remains engaged in the world by history and by choice, shaping a balance of power that favors freedom. We will defend our allies and our interests. We will show purpose without arrogance. We will meet aggression and bad faith with resolve and strength. And to all nations, we will speak for the values that gave our nation birth... And an angel still rides in the whirlwind and directs this storm." - the inaugural address of president George W. Bush, to whom above everyone else, the Iraqi people owe their new freedom.

RAINES WATCH: Almost every single newspaper in the country declares yesterday a turning point, an historic moment, the critical end of the Saddam regime. "U.S. Troops Sweep Aside Hussein Rule," thunders the Washington Post. The Guardian hails: "An End to 30 Years of Brutal Rule." "Saddam 'Defeated Militarily,'" says USA Today, with the subhead, "Jubilant Crowds Tear Down Statue." The L.A. Times: "U.S. Troops Free Iraq From Hussein's Control." What does Howell Raines come up with? "Iraqi Government Apparently Breaks Down But Fighting Persists in Parts of Capital." At least that's the headline in the online edition at around 1am. No, you couldn't make this up. They just can't stand the news at 43rd Street, can they?

- 1:27:00 AM
 
VON HOFFMAN AWARD I: Conventional Wisdom Watch, by Newsweek. A down-arrow for Dick Cheney: "Tells 'Meet the Press' just before war, 'We will be greeted as liberators.' An arrogant blunder for the ages." Nope, Newsweek. Yours was the "arrogant blunder for the ages." And on April 7!

VON HOFFMAN AWARD II: "In Baghdad the coalition forces confront a city apparently determined on resistance. They should remember Napoleon in Moscow, Hitler in Stalingrad, the Americans in Mogadishu and the Russians at Grozny. Hostile cities have ways of making life ghastly for aggressors. They are not like countryside. They seldom capitulate, least of all when their backs are to the wall. It took two years after the American withdrawal from Vietnam for Saigon to fall to the Vietcong. Kabul was ceded to the warlords only when the Taleban drove out of town. In the desert, armies fight armies. In cities, armies fight cities. The Iraqis were not stupid. They listened to Western strategists musing about how a desert battle would be a pushover. Things would get 'difficult' only if Saddam played the cad and drew the Americans into Baghdad. Why should he do otherwise?" - Simon Jenkins, the Times of London, in an article called - yes! - "Baghdad Will Be Near Impossible to Conquer," March 28.

VON HOFFMAN AWARD III: "[Al-Jazeera has shown] the resistance and anger of the Iraqi population, dismissed by Western propaganda as a sullen bunch waiting to throw flowers at Clint Eastwood lookalikes ... The idea that Iraq's population would have welcomed American forces entering the country after a terrifying aerial bombardment was always utterly implausible ... One can only wince at the way weak-minded policy hacks in the Pentagon and White House have spun out the 'ideas' of Lewis and Ajami into the scenario for a quick romp in a friendly Iraq ... pity the Iraqi civilians who must still suffer a great deal more before they are finally 'liberated'." - Edward Said, London Review of Books, April 17.

VON HOFFMAN AWARD IV: "It looked grimly like that scene in A Bridge Too Far, Richard Attenborough's epic on the Arnhem disaster, in which a British officer walks slowly up the great span with an umbrella in his hand to see if he can detect the Germans on the other side. But I knew the Americans were on the other side of this bridge and drove past it at great speed. Which provided a remarkable revelation. While American fighter-bombers criss-crossed the sky, while the ground shook to the sound of exploding ordnance, while the American tanks now stood above the Tigris, vast areas of Baghdad – astonishing when you consider the American claim to be "in the heart" of the city – remain under Saddam Hussein's control." - Robert Fisk, the Independent, April 9, i.e. the day of liberation.

VON HOFFMAN AWARD V: "The huge psychological victory for the coalition produced by the arrival of US tanks in front of the media centre in Baghdad has not finished off the regime, even though this coup came so soon after their shock arrival at the international airport. A compilation of the military detail in reports from journalists in Baghdad and an ear for the changing spin from Centcom gives a less victorious picture of the battle for the Iraqi capital than is shown in the media. For example, for three hours on Saturday Centcom said the US was in Baghdad to stay, not on a raid. Then, after some armoured vehicles had been damaged and some troops killed and injured, it became a raid as the troops withdrew. The selective and censored TV coverage obscures a military reality that has been neither as successful nor as difficult as it has seemed. Now, reports of total victory may be premature." - Dan Plesch, the Guardian, April 9, the day of liberation.

VON HOFFMAN AWARD VI: "As the war drags on, any stifled sympathy for the American invasion will tend to evaporate. As more civilians die and more Iraqis see their "resistance" hailed across the Arab world as a watershed in the struggle against Western imperialism, the traditionally despised Saddam could gain appreciable support among his people. So, the Pentagon's failure to send enough troops to take Baghdad fairly quickly could complicate the postwar occupation, to say nothing of the war itself." - Robert Wright, Slate, April 1.

VON HOFFMAN AWARD VII: "Is Wolfowitz really so ignorant of history as to believe the Iraqis would welcome us as 'their hoped-for liberators'?" - Eric Alterman, The Nation.

P.S.This award (for awful wartime predictions) is still wide open. Send me your late entries, with a URL address to verify. There's more accounting to do.

- 1:24:29 AM
 
AND NOW A WORD FROM UNDER A ROCK: How did Michael Moore and Eric Alterman mark victory in Iraq? Moore's latest posting is as follows:
My Oscar "Backlash": "Stupid White Men" Back At #1, "Bowling" Breaks New Records... Dear friends, It appears that the Bush administration will have succeeded in colonizing Iraq sometime in the next few days. This is a blunder of such magnitude - and we will pay for it for years to come. It was not worth the life of one single American kid in uniform, let alone the thousands of Iraqis who have died, and my condolences and prayers go out to all of them ... Can I share with you what it's been like for me since I used my time on the Oscar stage two weeks ago to speak out against Bush and this war? I hope that, in reading what I'm about to tell you, you'll feel a bit more emboldened to make your voice heard in whatever way or forum that is open to you. When "Bowling for Columbine" was announced as the Oscar winner for Best Documentary at the Academy Awards, the audience rose to its feet. It was a great moment, one that I will always cherish. They were standing and cheering for a film that says we Americans are a uniquely violent people, using our massive stash of guns to kill each other and to use them against many countries around the world.
Yep, it's all about Michael Moore. All the time. And here's Eric Alterman, spending liberation day writing about Lou Reed. Hmmm. What kept him quiet for a change? Mercifully, in the New York Observer, we find Alterman reflecting on why he has been so opposed to the military liberation of Iraqis:
Mr. Alterman told me he was "enormously gratified" by the reception to his book (good review in The Times), but added that he was also disappointed because the book had "been crowded out by the war," and thus it had been hard to get "traction." "I had a lot of reasons to be anti-war, and the book was a small one," he said.
Did your jaw just break your coffee mug?

- 1:20:11 AM
 
MALE GENITAL MUTILATION: Several of you have emailed to complain about my use of the word "mutilation" to describe circumcision. I'm just trying to be clear. The dictionary meaning for "mutilation" is "1. To deprive of a limb or an essential part; cripple. 2. To disfigure by damaging irreparably: mutilate a statue. See Synonyms at battery. 3. To make imperfect by excising or altering parts." If cutting off the foreskin isn't excising or altering a part, permanently, without the person's consent, then what on earth is it?

- 1:18:03 AM

Wednesday, April 09, 2003
 
SUCK-UP OF THE WEEK: "We would like to express our sympathy that France has with the British people. I would like to reiterate our support for many of the things that Tony Blair has been saying. We have also indicated our hope that the war in Iraq will be finished as soon as possible. Also, we would like to stress the urgency when it comes to the humanitarian effort in the Gulf that we all work together and that the international community plays an important role." - Dominique de Villepin, today.

- 2:02:26 PM
 
VICTORY: The quibblers, the carpers, the second-guessers, the cynics, and the isolationists on right and left now have to read paragraphs like this:
In Firdos Square in central Baghdad, a group of Iraqi men climbed up the pedestal of a 20-foot statue of Mr. Hussein and smacked it with a sledgehammer. Then they put a chain around the neck of the statue and tied it to an armored American military vehicle. The crowd then cheered and clapped as the vehicle pulled away, toppling the statue. Several Iraqis danced and jumped on the fallen statue. Elsewhere in Baghdad, the American military emptied jails overnight, releasing their prisoners. In the neighborhood called Saddam City, a densely populated Shiite area, crowds of men shouted and waved their arms in jubilation. Some carried makeshift flags. One middle-aged man held up a huge portrait of Mr. Hussein, and in the middle of the street used his shoe to beat the face of the Iraqi leader, a particular insult. "This man has killed two million of us," he yelled as bystanders milled around approvingly.
This is an amazing victory, a victory over a monster who gassed civilians, jailed children, sent millions into fruitless wars, harbored poisonous weapons to threaten free peoples, tortured thousands, and made alliances with every two-bit opportunist on the planet. It's a victory over those who marched in the millions to stop this liberation, over the endless media cynics, over the hate-America crowd, and the armchair generals. It's a victory for the two countries in the world that have always made freedom possible and who have now brought it to another corner of the world made dark by terror. It's a victory for the extraordinary servicemen and women who performed this task with such skill, cool, courage and restraint. It's a victory for optimism over pessimism, the righting of past wrongs, the assertion of universal truths against postmodern excuses, and of political leadership over appeasement. Celebrate it. Don't let the whiners take this away from you or from the people of Iraq.

- 1:22:06 PM
 
WHAT'S THE DIFFERENCE: Between the BBC's commentary and Mohammed Said Sahaf's? Three days.

POWELL'S POSTURE: "This comment is in reference to Colin Powell's interview on German television. One of the things that's obvious from Colin Powell's measured yet passionate response to the hostile German interlocutor is how much more mature and serious Powell is than so many of the others in the pro-war camp. No rhetoric about "Old Europe," no frog-baiting "Freedom Toast" in Air Force One, no swaggering gun-toting. Powell just explains the administration's position in a way that is inclusive rather than divisive, that tries to extend the coalition of the willing rather than extending ultimatums from Saddam's disgusting regime to our longest-serving allies." - more contrarian reader comment on the Letters Page.

NO CREDIT DUE: You have to ask yourselves what it would take to get Tom Friedman and Maureen Dowd to say anything, anything, positive about this administration and the military force they have just wielded so expertly. Dowd, who simply cannot understand the gravity of the situation we have been in these past couple of years, writes with astonishing glibness: "We were always going to win the war with Iraq." Oh, really? I don't remember her saying such a thing before. In fact, all I remember is her constant carping about and lambasting anyone in this administration prepared to take responsibility for the threats to this country's security. Now, in a Johnny-Apple instant, she's on to the next carp. Friedman, in his turn, makes good points as usual about the need to restore order as soon as possible, but then he says something like this: "America broke Iraq; now America owns Iraq, and it owns the primary responsibility for normalizing it." No, Tom, America did not break Iraq. Saddam did that. We liberated it with astonishing precision and with an amazing lack of damage to critical infrastructure. The fact that there's chaos in the interlude between Saddam's thuggery and a new government is a simple fact of human life. Tom's absolutely right about the need to invest time, money and care in rebuilding Iraq. But part of the impetus in America for such a task must come from genuine pride in what we have achieved; and a deeper understanding of its moral significance. Let's take a moment to absorb that before we launch into yet another spasm of self-criticism.

- 12:45:44 AM
 
IT TURNS OUT: I wasn't the first blogger to make the uncanny resemblance between Monsieur Mohammed Said Sahaf (why do I think of these Iraqi nutjobs as somehow French?) and Monty Python's Black Knight. Sorry, Josh, Josh, Jonah et al. that I was so unaware. To make amends, here's a link to the sketch. Money script (after the Black Knight has lost both arms):
ARTHUR: Look, I'll have your leg. [kick] Right! [whop] [ARTHUR chops the BLACK KNIGHT's right leg off]
BLACK KNIGHT: Right. I'll do you for that!
ARTHUR: You'll what?
BLACK KNIGHT: Come here!
ARTHUR: What are you going to do, bleed on me?
BLACK KNIGHT: I'm invincible!
ARTHUR: You're a looney.
BLACK KNIGHT: The Black Knight always triumphs! Have at you! Come on, then. [whop] [ARTHUR chops the BLACK KNIGHT's last leg off]
BLACK KNIGHT: Oh? All right, we'll call it a draw.
ARTHUR: Come, Patsy.
BLACK KNIGHT: Oh. Oh, I see. Running away, eh? You yellow bastards! Come back here and take what's coming to you. I'll bite your legs off!


BAGHDAD BROADCASTING CORPORATION: From an Israeli blogger's reported conversation with an Iraqi relative:
"He also told me that although he seldom speaks Arabic these days (though I heard him conversing with family members), he listens to the Arabic service of the BBC. Without my prompting him, he said that he also couldn't understand how the British could be broadcasting such lies against their own forces. The BBC service is dominated by Egyptian Muslim fundamentalists, he told me. Can't they find any moderate Arabic-speaking broadcasters who could present fair coverage? He wanted to write to the British government, but, well, he just didn't know how. But how could this be? How could this be?"
The BBC, in other words, was actually producing pro-Saddam propaganda to the Iraqi people at the same time as British forces lives were at risk. Someone needs to investigate the Arabic Language Service. Daniel Pipes, can't you get someone on the case?

- 12:45:06 AM
 
RAINES WATCH: "Friendly fire deaths lower than in previous war" - Knight Ridder.
"As Tactics Change and Battle Lines Blur, Risk of Being Killed by Own Side Increases" - New York Times.

GILLIGAN'S ISLAND: This is one of the best eviscerations of the BBC I've yet read. Money quote:
Saturday, April 5, will be the day most people will remember as the day when the journalistic standards of the World Service committed suicide. The BBC’s bad day in Baghdad started early: A column of US soldiers had entered southwestern Baghdad just after daybreak. The soldiers - in tanks and armored personnel carriers - drove through the city for several kilometers encountering only sporadic resistance. Near the university, the column turned left, drove out of the capital and parked at the international airport, which was already securely in American hands... Cut to: Andrew Gilligan, the BBC's man in downtown Baghdad. "I'm in the center of Baghdad," said a very dubious Gilligan, "and I don't see anything… But then the Americans have a history of making these premature announcements." Gilligan was referring to a military communiqué from Qatar the day before saying the Americans had taken control of most of Baghdad’s airport. When that happened, Gilligan had told World Service listeners that he was there, at the airport - but the Americans weren't. Gilligan inferred that the Americans were lying. An hour or two later, a different BBC correspondent pointed out that Gilligan wasn't at the airport, actually. He was nearby - but apparently far enough away that the other correspondent felt it necessary to mention that he didn’t really know if Gilligan was around, but that no matter what Gilligan had seen or not seen, the airport was firmly and obviously in American hands. It was important to the BBC that Gilligan not be wrong twice in two days. Whatever the truth was, the BBC, like Walter Duranty’s New York Times, must never say, "I was wrong." So, despite the fact that the appearance of American troops in Baghdad was surely one of the war's big moments, and one the BBC had obviously missed, American veracity became the story of the day. Gilligan, joined by his colleagues in Baghdad, Paul Wood and Rageh Omaar, kept insisting that not only had the Americans not gone to the "center" - which they reckoned to be where they were - they hadn't really been in the capital at all. Both Omaar and Wood told listeners that they had been on hour-long Iraqi Ministry of Information bus rides - "and," said Wood, "we were free to go anywhere" - yet they had seen nothing of an American presence in the city. From Qatar, a BBC correspondent helpfully explained that US briefings, such as that announcing the Baghdad incursion, were meaningless exercises, "more PR than anything else." Maybe, implied the World Service, the Americans had made it all up: all day long, Wood repeatedly reported that there was no evidence to support the American claim.
No I haven't been making this up. Privatize them now.

- 12:43:35 AM
 
MALE GENITAL MUTILATION: The British Medical Association has just put out a new guideline on the practice of mutilating the penises of infant boys. It suggests that common sense and medical practice may soon turn against this procedure. Some details:
"...it is now widely accepted, including by the BMA, that this surgical procedure has medical and psychological risks...the harm of denying a person the opportunity to choose not to be circumcised must also be taken into account, together with the damage that can be done to the individual's relationship with his parents and the medical profession if he feels harmed by the procedure. ... The BMA does not believe that parental preference alone constitutes sufficient grounds for performing a surgical procedure on a child unable to express his own view... Doctors should ensure that any parents seeking circumcision for their son in the belief that it confers health benefits are fully informed of the lack of consensus amongst the profession over such benefits, and how great any potential benefits and harms are. The BMA considers that the evidence concerning health benefit from non-therapeutic circumcision is insufficient for this alone to be a justification for doing it."
Maybe in time, the permanent mutilation of boys' bodies without their consent will be seen as the anachronism it surely is.

- 12:42:17 AM

Tuesday, April 08, 2003
 
JUST A FLESH WOUND: Yes, I know I'm a Python freak. Got 'em all on DVD. But I suddenly realized who Mohammed Said Sahaf reminds me of, declaring victory as allied troops police the streets around him, explaining that the Baghdad Airport is still held by Iraqis, etc. etc. He's that wounded knight in the "Holy Grail," with every limb cut off, daring his opponent to have another whack at him. If he weren't a monster, he'd be quite funny.

BBC UPDATE: A new low. The World Service just described this goon as "the public face of Iraqi resistance."

- 5:41:43 PM
 
NOW, THE KIDS: Yep, over a hundred children - yes, children - escaped from a Saddam prison today. They had been jailed because they wouldn't join the Hitler, er, Saddam Youth. They are deliriously happy, along with their parents. They gave the G.I.s two signs: a thumbs-up and then they held their wrists together to signify that they had been chained up. On the same day, James Carroll of the Boston Globe asks this question: "Does your nation any longer know that it, too, is part of the human family? That that family is now warning of a fatal loss of trust in the ideal for which the American flag has so long stood? Are that flag, and all who have carried it, honored by what is being done under its sign today?" Carroll's answer is no. Maybe he should usher those kids back into prison himself.

- 2:20:08 PM
 
HOW IS R.W. APPLE STILL EMPLOYED? Read Jack Shafer's alternately hilarious and damning piece about New York Times "news analyst," Johnny Apple. Apple makes MoDo look well-informed. Only in the cocoon of 43rd Street could such a writer, who gets everything wrong, contradicts himself from day to day, and writes in prose worthy of Anne Lamott could still get front-page play day after day. I guess he performs something of a purpose. As Will Saletan notes, "How will we know when the coalition has won the war? The day Johnny Apple says they've lost it." Actually, the day before.

- 2:00:58 PM
 
BRIT SAILORS VERSUS THE BEEB: The British aircraft carrier, Ark Royal, has now switched off the BBC. More eloquent than I could ever be. What a disgrace.

- 1:49:06 PM
 
IS IT OVER? As I write, we still don't know if Saddam has been killed. I sure hope so. But we do know that this war is almost as good as won after three weeks. The Saddam regime no longer controls its two biggest cities; its armed forces seem in disarray; Saddam's palaces are occupied by G.I.s. Again, measure this against Kenneth Pollack's neutral projection:
Probably the most likely scenario would be about one third of Iraq's armed forces fighting hard, limited use of tactical WMD, and some extensive combat in a few cities. In this most likely case, the campaign would probably last four to eight weeks and result in roughly 500 to 1,000 American combat deaths.
Three weeks. Under 100 American casualties, half of which came from accidents. No use of tactical WMD. Extraordinarily targeted bombing; exceptionally light force; oil wells intact; Israel secure; Turks kept at bay. War is terrible, of course. It may flare up again for a while. There's still a chance of last-minute atrocities. And every civilian casualty is a tragedy. But it's beginning to look as if this was an amazing military campaign, something of which the American and British people - and their governments - can be deeply, deeply proud.

- 12:11:54 AM
 
NOT A WAR: John Keegan, arguably the best military historian around, has the goods on the bizarre campaign now concluding. Why did Saddam do everything wrong in the defense of Iraq? How was victory so swift? It seems to me that in retrospect, when this war is properly analyzed and chronicled, it may well be that the question is far less: "What did the allies do wrong?" than "What did Saddam do right?" Money quote:
Because the war has taken such a strange form, the media, particularly those at home, may be forgiven for their misinterpretation of how it has progressed. Checks have been described as defeats, minor firefights as major battles. In truth, there has been almost no check to the unimpeded onrush of the coalition, particularly the dramatic American advance to Baghdad; nor have there been any major battles. This has been a collapse, not a war.
Keegan is particularly brutal about the Western media's coverage. Their spin was almost as pathetic as Saddam's defense. And just as effective.

- 12:03:17 AM
 
THE SCENES THE ANTI-WAR MOVEMENT CAN'T STAND: From the Guardian no less:
Many local people seemed genuinely happy to see the army rolling past, laughing and joking even as they were stopped to be frisked at the checkpoints into and out of the city. A jubilant crowd of about 100 Iraqis surrounded two British tanks sitting side by side near a mural of Saddam Hussein and started cheering the soldiers inside and giving the thumbs-up sign. Soldiers were handed pink carna tions and yellow flowers. Abdul Karim, an English teacher, was wandering through the city late in the day. He was standing opposite a burning building, painted with the inevitable portrait of Saddam He said it was used as a food warehouse by the Ba'ath party and that it had been looted and set on fire. He said he had a BA in English. "It's great, it's great," he said with an expansive gesture. "The Fedayeen have gone. They left on Saturday and Sunday. It is fantastic."
One obvious point: if it weren't for Bush and Blair, these people would still be in a living hell. But the U.N. would be happy.

THE ANTI-WAR MOVEMENT: It now commands 16 percent support in the population at large. Boomers, the group most likely to be seeing this war through the prism of Vietnam, now support it in greater numbers than any other age-group. Here's an email from someone perhaps typical of his generation:
I am part of that baby boomer generation and like many I demonstrated against that war in Viet Nam. But unlike some I do realize it is not 1969 anymore. Viet Nam was a very long, costly and ugly war. The divisions did not come overnight and for many they will not go away. It is part of their identity, their very purpose in life. Many felt the same after the American Civil War. It took a generation then and it might take a generation now for enough time and distance to come about to see that war and its legacy in proper perspective. I supported the government in this endeavor for the simple reason that I am an American and I don't like fascist dictators the likes of Saddam Hussein. They can call that simplistic, but then again so is their knee jerk anti Americanism. There is nothing sadder than an old hippie trying to regain his/her youth through the manipulation of others and at the expense of a suffering people they claim to feel sympathy for. I hate the destruction, but I also hate doing nothing while hundreds of thousands of people die. I guess some of my generation and the UN security council have no such qualms.
Has any large protest movement been this much of a failure so soon?

- 12:02:00 AM

Monday, April 07, 2003
 
BUSH AND INDEPENDENTS: It's his weak-spot. They don't trust his tax cuts and they worry about the deficit. I guess I should put it on record that although I'm underwhelmed by the Democratic candidates in the field, I think the president is far more vulnerable in terms of re-election than some seem to think. Check out these poll numbers during a successful war. Not encouraging data among independents for the White House. Check out also the bonanza fund-raising among Democrats, especially John Edwards. In some ways, Bush may be more vulnerable the more successful he is in foreign policy. People may warm to a Democrat who promises them relief from the drama of the war on terror. Of course, the odds are still with Bush. And he shouldn't take his eye off foreign policy. The war against terror is only near the end of its beginning. But he does need to address run-away government spending, boost his compassionate conservative image, and re-engage domestically. The odds are not that the economy is heading for a Krugman-like collapse. But it could well grow quite quickly without generating enough jobs to keep the unemployment level below 7 percent. That spells trouble for the incumbent.

A STORY OF FAITH: At a time when the church seems rudderless, it's always good to hear stories like this one.

- 11:59:45 PM
 

VON HOFFMAN AWARD NOMINEE: "The main flaws are now plain. First, the strategy left very long supply lines exposed and vulnerable. Troops require water and tanks require gasoline. Without these, no force 250 miles from base will be useful for long. Second, Iraqi soldiers embedded in civilian populations - both those along supply lines and in Baghdad - can only be destroyed alongside those populations. Thus the Iraqis could force the transformation of the second strategy into the first. And, being military realists, they have done so. The dilemma is now acute. Retreat is unthinkable. George W. Bush's neoconservatives (standing safely in the back) will figuratively execute any who quail. The level of violence will therefore be raised. Meanwhile, the prime stocks of precision munitions have been drawn down, and speculation about the future use of cluster bombs and napalm and other vile weapons is being heard. And so the political battle - the battle for hearts and minds - will be lost. If history is a guide, you cannot subdue a large and hostile city except by destroying it completely. Short of massacre, we will not inherit a pacified Iraq. For this reason, the project of reconstruction is impossible. No one should imagine that the civilians sent in to do this work can be made secure. To support "the groundwork" for this effort is to support a holocaust, quite soon, against Iraqi civilians and also against the troops on both sides. That is what victory means. You can watch the beginnings (if you have satellite television) even now, as injured children fill up the hospitals of Baghdad. The moral strategy would be to avoid the holocaust. To achieve that from the present disastrous position, the United States would have to accept a cease-fire, which would lead to the withdrawal of coalition forces under safe conduct. There would be no military dishonor in such a step. It would, however, entail the humiliation of the entire Bush administration, indeed its well-deserved political collapse. Too bad the moral strategy is not a practical one." - James Galbraith, the American Prospect. How can a single person get so much so wrong?

- 11:59:03 PM
 
FINALLY: A novel way to read Eric Alterman's blog. And no waste!

- 5:42:33 PM
 
THE JUDENREIN ANTI-WAR MOVEMENT: In France, they don't just exclude Jewish speakers, they beat anti-war Jewish protestors with iron bars.

- 2:59:49 PM
 
SMOKING MISSILES: We should wait to see if this is confirmed. But it would be wonderful indeed if NPR broke the story about finding the first of Saddam's chemical weapons.

"FREEDOM TODAY": An Iraqi prisoner tells his tale.

POWELL VERSUS THE GERMANS: Wonderful take-down of an obnoxious German reporter by the secretary of state.

THE BEEB'S INQUISITION: Sometimes, the attempt to get people to pay for the BBC goes a little awry.

- 2:53:42 PM
 
"PROUD OWNERS": We're in the presidential palace. This is getting to be a generals question in political science. Who actually wields effective power in Baghdad in the pre-dawn hours of April 7? I'm not sure what Hobbes would say right now: the Leviathan is at the gates, indeed inside the citadel, but it treads so lightly it is barely there. Maybe power shifts the minute a critical tipping point occurs in the assumptions of the population. Whom do they fear the most? Arresting: the moment when power changes hands. One day, someone will figure out when it happened. And they'll probably be wrong.

NO U.N. CONTROL: The Pentagon and the British military liberated Iraq. They should both now govern it for the short-term. The notion that the U.N. should become immediately involved - except as a humanitarian adjunt to U.S.-U.K. forces - is a joke. I agree with William Rees Mogg in the Times of London this morning:
The Americans know that M Chirac double-crossed them over Resolution 1441; they know every detail of how and why he did it; they know what it has cost them in money and in lives. They will shake hands at photo opportunities; they will play the Marseillaise; they will drink toasts in mediocre champagne at diplomatic dinners; but they will be slow to forgive and they will never forget.
That is, indeed, the message that must be sent to Chirac, the Iraqi dictator's chief sponsor. And if I'm not very much mistaken, it already has.

- 2:47:02 AM
 
A LIBERAL WAR: Paul Berman and Nat Hentoff make the critical arguments. Why haven't more followed them?

BASRA FALLS: With minimal civilian casualties. Another huge victory after less than three weeks of war. The war-critics are now looking as beleaguered as the pockets of Ba'ath resistance.

VON HOFFMAN AWARD NOMINEE: "As the war drags on, any stifled sympathy for the American invasion will tend to evaporate. As more civilians die and more Iraqis see their "resistance" hailed across the Arab world as a watershed in the struggle against Western imperialism, the traditionally despised Saddam could gain appreciable support among his people. So, the Pentagon's failure to send enough troops to take Baghdad fairly quickly could complicate the postwar occupation, to say nothing of the war itself." - Robert Wright, Slate, last week.

"U.S. Army troops took control of this city revered by Shiite Muslims today, and once again drew cheers and thumbs-up accolades from thousands of smiling residents... Army officers hope that the relative ease with which Najaf and Karbala fell bodes well for their efforts to gain support from Shiite majority throughout Iraq. A gathering of senior Army officers on Highway 9 in the city late this afternoon drew an upbeat crowd of more than 100, who alternated expressions of appreciation with petitions for help. Among the shouts from the crowd:
'Thank you very much, Mr. Boss.'
'We love you United States.'
'Saddam donkey.'
'Night and day, no water.'
'Hospital. No electricity, no food, no medicine.'
'Very happy. I love you George Bush.'" - Washington Post, this morning.

BITTER, PARTY OF ONE: One of the things that people like me have long under-estimated is the legacy of Vietnam among the boomer generation. I wasn't even in this country; and others in my under-40 generation in America also don't get it. But for men like Howell Raines or Johnny Apple or others who command the heights of academia, Vietnam is still the prism through which they see everything. I'm not saying this isn't understandable; and a sense of history is vital to understanding a chaotic war like the one we have just witnessed. But the bitterness can also cloud judgement. Just look at Allan Gurganus' essay in yesterday's New York Times Magazine. The man is still in shock. The visceral hostility he feels to the U.S. government, the Pentagon, or, indeed, any American authority figure stems in part from the experience of that war. I don't think this is curable. In some ways, it's pointless to rail against it. It's just part of the psyche of a generation with enormous power - now, in part, the power to denigrate and undermine any real American military victory. Not all of this generation is hopeless, of course. Some are doing amazing work in this war even now. But for others, it will never recede. It's their point of reference, their precious. And they will nurture it even more passionately if the world now proves them wrong.

- 2:45:19 AM
 
HEARTS AND SOULS: More good news from Southern Iraq, where the Brits seem to be doing a fantastic job. One question: how did they manage not to collapse as a military force? After all, they allow openly gay soldiers in their units, thus undermining unit cohesion, destroying morale, wrecking troops' privacy and making it impossible to fight. A miracle against all the odds, I suppose.

A WAR DIALOGUE: Wonderful series of emails back and forth between the editor of the Daily Telegraph, Charles Moore, and the editor of the rabidly anti-war Daily Mirror (of Pilger and Arnett), Piers Morgan. Morgan's inability to see or think clearly has rarely been more brutally exposed.

A SUICIDE BOMBER: More evidence of Saddamite depravity.

CLIMATE CHANGE: So the Middle Ages were way warmer than our current temperatures. Must have been all those air-conditioners and SUV's.

SONTAG AWARD NOMINEE: "On the separate question of whether Iraqi acts of war are on a par with those of the coalition, the answer is also simple. Ours are sometimes worse... We, by contrast, are invited to despise the independent al-Jazeera, condemned by Mr Blunkett as a Saddam tool, and soak up good news images. Ignore the nastiness and think instead of the brave 'rescue' of Private Jessica Lynch from the hospital ward where she was being treated with all available medical skill." - Mary Riddell, shilling for Saddam's thugs, in the Observer.

- 2:44:12 AM
 
THE BEEB'S ENFORCERS: Some of you have asked how exactly the BBC enforces its mandatory license fee so that it can broadcast far-left propaganda to the British people. Here's the official website that explains:
Using television receiving equipment to receive or record broadcast television programmes without the correct licence is a criminal offence. You could therefore face prosecution and a hefty fine of up to £1,000 ($1600). You may be asking yourself 'how will they know if I'm using a TV without a licence?' The answer is through a number of different methods. At the heart of our operation is the TV Licensing database. It has details of over 26 million UK addresses. Our officers have access to this computer system and a fleet of detector vans and hand-held detectors to track down and prosecute people who use a television without a licence. To find out how effective our methods are click here. Each year it becomes easier to find and prosecute people breaking the law in this way.
That's what the BBC means by "publicly funded." You pay up or they fine you. And they can spy on anyone with a television, backed up by the law and the force of government. No wonder that George Orwell used his experience at the BBC to model the Ministry of Truth in "Nineteen Eighty-Four." On a related question, the BBC World Service is paid for directly out of government funds, i.e. general taxation. The BBC has, of course, produced much excellent television and radio over the decades. But it isn't clear that that excellence couldn't have been produced without this kind of 1940s socialist-style organization. And now that the Beeb has been hijacked by left-wing propagandists, the damage is getting greater.

THE FRENCH BEGIN TO WORRY: From my reader who monitors the French media:
This afternoon's signed editorial on French-government-owned Radio France International shockingly compared public attitudes in France today to those of the Vichy regime. (www.rfi.fr - streaming video editorial today at 12:10 p.m. Eastern time from Alain Genestare; archived recording should be posted soon). The Coalition forces in Iraq, said the editorial, are frequently referred to in France today as the "Anglo-American forces," an expression apparently not widely heard since the days of the collaborationist Vichy government over a half century ago. As some of your readers may already know, comparing anyone or anything to the Vichy regime is, in the language of contemporary French politics, like dropping a nuclear bomb. Vichy is not something the French have really come to terms with, even today. (Remember the éclat several years ago when Mitterrand's Vichy ties came to light?)  Well, somebody in the French government must be getting worried. It's about time. The radio editorial then went on to cite the Le Monde poll you posted about several days ago, and expressed shock that some one third of the French should be hoping for a Saddamite victory, a victory by a "criminal against humanity."
Vichy, huh? Not far off, I'd say. But some over there are beginning to see sense.

BAGHDAD BROADCASTING CORPORATION: Suggesting more civilian casualties than the Iraqis.

- 2:43:16 AM

Sunday, April 06, 2003
 
MODO SOARS: An exquisite eulogy.

- 3:28:42 PM

Saturday, April 05, 2003
 
EMAIL OF THE DAY: "What a hysterical notion. The British public 'own' the BBC. We have no control over what they broadcast. We cannot watch any other channel without having first paid them their state-agreed and legally enforced dues. The fact that the collection of this is at arms-length from the state does not disguise the fact that they only exist (and expand) because every house, flat and student digs that wishes to receive ANY TV broadcast has to pay the BBC a hefty bounty first AT THE BEHEST OF THE STATE. And, to make matters worse, the whole of British broadcasting is hamstrung by “impartiality” rules that prevent the likes of SKY News and other independents from saying what they really should (want to be?) be saying. I very much hope that one of the "casualties" of war will be the BBC.
Yours, a very fed-up Londoner."

- 6:58:12 PM
 
WHAT WE'RE FIGHTING: A reminder of the evil we're about to defeat:
A grisly discovery reported by British military officials today of what were said to be the remains of hundreds of people at an abandoned military compound on the outskirts of Zubayr, in southern Iraq, served to remind allied forces and the world of other aspects of Mr. Hussein's rule. The remains were packed in bundles that contained shreds of military uniforms, the British officials said, but it could not be determined how old they were, or how they got there ... The British soldiers who investigated the Zubayr military base found 200 makeshift coffins bearing seriously decayed corpses, perhaps a year or a number of years old. Soldiers of the Royal Horse Artillery also found Arabic documents and photographs of men bearing head wounds and showing signs of torture or disfigurement in the warehouse. "I wouldn't want to speculate, but the bones inside are obviously years old," Capt. Jack Kemp told British reporters at the scene.
More of this, no doubt, to come.

- 1:53:04 PM
 
THE ACCELERATION: We're now in the center of Baghdad. The headquarters of the Republican Guard is now occupied. Could this be over sooner than we can even hope?

- 1:41:00 PM
 
MARSHALL BACKS KERRY: How do you write a defense of John Kerry's comments calling for "regime change" in the U.S. without dealing with the language Kerry used. No one can or should object to Kerry arguing that we need a change of administration in this country. He's running for president, for goodness' sake. And it's completely defensible - if spectacularly stupid - for Kerry to say so during a war. The issue is his use of the term "regime change," as if the democratically elected president of this country represents an identical type of government as that which exists (at the time of writing) in Iraq. That's what's offensive. To say, as Josh does, that this terminology is irrelevant is preposterous. Here is how Josh deals with that obvious issue:
For the purposes of our present discussion, the particulars of Kerry's remark are almost beside the point.
Nope. They're the entire point. If Kerry's defenders are going to give the guy this kind of bad advice, he's toast. (N. Z. Bear has more to say on this.)

- 1:22:39 PM
 
THE BEEB'S SEMANTICS: The head of the BBC has taken a pot-shot at andrewsullivan.com. Woohoo. He claims in a letter to the Washington Post today that
The BBC is not state-funded. We are publicly funded through a license fee paid by every household in the United Kingdom. The British public, not the government of the day, owns the BBC, and it is to the British public we are accountable.
Get the difference? That's like the old canard that government-owned industries are actually owned not by the government but by the 'people.' The fact is the BBC is funded through a mandatory, repeat mandatory, license fee. If you have a television, you have to pay the BBC tax. Whom do you pay that tax, sorry, "license fee," to? The government. How this can be spun as not state-funded is beyond me. The head of the BBC, Mr Dyke, is appointed by the prime minister. Government-run? Compared to any truly independent media service, I'd say so. That's why the non-government-run alternative - Independent Television News - is called "independent." No, the government doesn't dictate coverage. But it pays for it through a mandatory tax, appoints the people who run the BBC, and decisions on future funding are made in parliament not at shareholder meetings. Yes, the BBC sometimes tries to proclaim its independence. For the first couple of years of BBC coverage under Blair, it was so supportive of the government, it was dubbed the Blair Broadcasting Corporation. Now it is expressing its editorial independence by attacking Blair from the left. But it's all funded by those poor British tax-payers. Dyke is full of it. But then we knew that already, didn't we?
CORRECTION: The director-general of the BBC is not directly appointed by the government. He's appointed by the board of management. The non-executive chairman of the BBC is appointed by the government.

- 1:01:17 PM
 
WITH NARY A PAUSE: Johnny Apple - barely drawing breath after declaring absolute military disaster - now proclaims stunning political and military success, "taking the heat off" president Bush for his conduct of the war. Ta-da! Only on 43rd Street, of course, could anyone believe president Bush was in political trouble at any point in the last couple of weeks because of his conduct of the war. But there you have it. This is the newspaper, remember, that once declared the Enron scandal would have more historical salience than 9/11. On second paranoid Kausian 2am thought, of course, this Apple piece cannot but ne very bad news. The general rule in American journalism is that R. W. Apple (bested only by Arthur Schlesinger Jr.) is always, always wrong. God help the armed services in the next few days. Couldn't Howell have restrained Johnny until we'd actually won?

MUST READS: Bill Keller brings closure, to my mind, to the debate over the war-plan. The first half of his piece reads awfully similar to the arguments in this blog over the past week. The second is really smart. And Ken Ringle's appreciation of Mike Kelly in the Post also told me things I'd forgotten or didn't know.

TOUGH ENOUGH: "I'm not tough. I thank God everyday that there are tough men and women out there who are willing and able to protect the way of life I enjoy so much. I'm 26 and kids my age right now are living in the desert with the realities of war all around them, so that I can go home tonight, kiss my wife, throw the tennis ball for my dog, and fall asleep ... free. Free from fear, free from tyranny, free to enjoy my life and pursue my happiness. They are all heroes and patriots in the truest sense of the word and I just wish that I could express my gratitude to each and every one of them.
But I can't, so I did the only thing I could think of to really help. I found a blood donation center that is sending blood to the military and I gave what could arguably be the most precious thing I have -- my blood. It was not a fun experience (note the first sentence of this letter), but as I walked to my car, for the first time since this whole debate started, I felt good. Sure, it could have just been the lightheadedness from being a couple pints down; but more likely it’s because on the off-chance that my blood ends up saving the life of someone fighting to protect my country, well, that would just fucking rule." - more reader comment on the Letters Page.

- 1:48:02 AM

Friday, April 04, 2003
 
MIKE KELLY, RIP: An appreciation from the bottom of my heart. The sadness swells.

- 6:16:56 PM
 
IN DEFENSE OF THE ARMY: Here's an email worth running in full. It makes some excellent points about the war so far:
I will admit to being a bit of an Army partisan. I'm also the first to acknowledge the brilliant work the Air Force has done in close air support (bombing of tanks, troops, etc). It looks like the strategic work (Baghdad, communications networks, etc) has been more mixed, but even there the jury will be out until the war is over. But with "it looks as if this war will be won primarily by the amazing work of the special forces, and the airforce" you're off base. I think a full reading of the available reporting from both the embeds and those covering the larger view will bear that out. But I'll highlight a few points -

-The 3rd Infantry Division has been in one giant knife fight for much of its charge north (a charge praised by the British, see London Times). The 3rd Squadron of the 7th Cavalry Regiment (the lead element for the 3rd ID) has been in some brutal battles. In those battles the Army has lost M-1 tanks on the battlefield for the first time EVER. Both the Marines and Army have been fighting house to house. We're hearing anecdotal stories of streets covered with dead Iraqi troops. This has been a brutal fight. John Ringo (www.johnringo.com), a Fox contributer and former paratrooper might be a good guy to talk to if you're interested. He's pretty accessible (though I don't know him) and well informed on the 7th Cavalry's recent battles.

-You say "Rummy" was right. Rummy also said we didn't need the Brits. Imagine where we would be if the Brits weren't bottling up Basra with a couple of brigades. Keep in mind the Brits have one division in country, and we only have a little more than two. That he would even consider writing off that contribution should tell you a little about what he thought this war was going to be like.

-Everyone talks about the plan for a "rolling start". Why? It's BS to suggest that this was Frank's ideal plan. Vernon Loeb's reporting in the Washington Post makes that clear. Rumsfeld tore up plan after plan until he got a small enough force that he could live with. But WHY? It's one thing if you have to make decisions about what to do when you don't have time to build forces. But this war has been likely, if not certain, for months. What was the downside in having another division in the desert? Were the political, economic, logistic, and troop issues so overwhelming that it couldn't be done? I actually think the costs were pretty minimal.

-I hope that we don't need to fight house to house in Baghdad or Tikrit. I will be thrilled if this all ends tonight. But what if we do have to join that fight? Do we have enough troops?
Someone needs to show me where, because I don't see it, until the 4th ID gets there. If then.

-At least some of the rapid success has to do with Iraqi failures. Not blowing bridges, for example. Did spec ops and the AF contribute to this? Probably. Should it be something that we count on? Of course not. Is Barry McCaffery (or anyone else) wrong to worry about what could go wrong? Again, of course not. Should we count on this in whatever's next? No.

-You're putting an awful lot of weight on the musings of one infantry company XO (probably about 25 years old) with the Post article that you cite. In any case, "Air Force jets, Army AH-64 Apache helicopters and multiple-rocket launchers" - two of the three are Army. And the multiple-rocket launchers (MLRS) are Army artillery - "the dominant tactical weapon on the battlefield" - so says General McCaffery (Kudlow and Cramer, a couple of nights ago).

-Sometimes military officers need a kick in the pants to make needed change. But in not giving them what they ask for (and again, there is no way CENTCOM and V Corps got what they would have preferred), you assume a massive responsibility. Again, it's one thing if you face a political decision to fight and you don't have time to get them what they would like in a perfect world. But it's a different animal if you have the time and you're taking the opportunity to test a new theory.

-Even if this does end tomorrow, I don't think anyone looking at this in a year would say that we had the appropriate amount of ground forces in the south. Turkey's surprise not withstanding, there was no margin for error. One company out of place, one Iraqi tank company sneaking past into our supply convoys, and we would have been facing a disaster, because we had no significant reserves, and no troops with which to secure the areas in the south.

I don't mean to beat a point to death, but I think the reporting on this point is out there. Do not sell short what these people (Army and Marines) have had to do.
I have a feeling this debate is going to go on fo quite some time.

- 5:48:33 PM
 
THE LOSS OF MIKE: I'm simply stunned by the news of Mike Kelly's death. He was a beautiful writer, a brave polemicist, a prickly, funny man, a superb editor, and a friend. He died in action, which is perhaps as he might have wanted it. I can't think of anything more to say right now in the moments after reading this awful news, except that please pray for his young family, his wonderful wife, and his wider family and friends. He was a great journalist and a good, good man. May he rest in peace.

- 11:41:17 AM
 
THE ARMY'S LAMENT: This is what some in the army - and their supporters in armchairs all over cable news - most feared:
Air Force jets, Army AH-64 Apache helicopters and multiple-rocket launchers "destroyed our objective," said Lt. Bevan Stansbury, executive officer of Bravo Company in the 2nd Brigade's 3rd Battalion, 15th Regiment. "So we have no fight right now." "They pretty much destroyed every vehicle in the brigade," Stansbury said. With a trace of disgust, he added, "Now we're just rolling in and will probably be an occupation force."
Now I can see the army is pissed off that they haven't really been needed yet for the climactic battle against the Republican Guard (if it hasn't already happened). But remind me why the rest of us should be concerned? From my particular, reclining armchair, it looks as if this war will be won primarily by the amazing work of the special forces, and the airforce (with critical backup, of course, on the ground). But that would prove Rummy right, wouldn't it?

TO CHEER YOU UP: This tale of a humane Iraqi is worth a throat-catch or two.

- 1:23:01 AM
 
WHO ARMED SADDAM? A useful reminder.

SPIN AND SQUIRM: Mickey - "Don't Rush Me, Rush Rummy" - Kaus is backing his friend (and mine) Bob Wright for the following assertion (made only two days ago!) that
as the war drags on, any stifled sympathy for the American invasion will tend to evaporate. As more civilians die and more Iraqis see their "resistance" hailed across the Arab world as a watershed in the struggle against Western imperialism, the traditionally despised Saddam could gain appreciable support among his people. So, the Pentagon's failure to send enough troops to take Baghdad fairly quickly could complicate the postwar occupation, to say nothing of the war itself.
It's a valiant effort, even as Bob's piece seems to be moving inexorably toward a von Hoffman award (not yet, but it's not looking good for the earthling U.N.-lover). Here's a pitch-perfect rear-guard "spin and squirm" "what-did-the-Romans-ever-do-for-us?" pirouette from Mickey:
It's true that the military picture has seemingly improved since Wright's piece was posted; his how-can-we-trust-the-hawks-who-muffed-the-war-to-remake-the-Middle-East argument has less force than it did even 24 hours ago. But the hawks were surprised by initial resistance in the South (even if it was mainly resistance obtained at gunpoint), and Rumsfeld still did send too few troops, it seems -- even if the war overall is going well so far. So there's still room for doubting the hawks grander rosy scenarios.
The phrase "it seems -- even if the war overall is going well so far" is the qualification only a master blogger could pull off. So's the final sentence. If there's room for doubting the hawks' "grander" rosy scenarios, is there no room for doubting the less grand ones, like, er, that Rummy hasn't obviously screwed up so far? In fact, to the naked eye, he's kicking butt. Surely the best neoliberal criterion should still be Kenneth Pollack's (partly because it wasn't made with any of the current debate in mind):
Probably the most likely scenario would be about one third of Iraq's armed forces fighting hard, limited use of tactical WMD, and some extensive combat in a few cities. In this most likely case, the campaign would probably last four to eight weeks and result in roughly 500 to 1,000 American combat deaths.
To argue that the war has taken much longer than necessary seems to me at this point to be pushing credulity. At the current rate of progress, it looks as if we're going to come in at the lower end of Pollack's estimate. But I guess the anti-neo-cons have got to grasp at something. If things continue at this pace, it's going to be a cluster of von Hoffman awards.

- 1:12:17 AM
 
MORE NYT MYSTERY: The incorrect quote from the New York Times story about Lt. General William Wallace is a story that won't quit. As a quote, it wasn't a minor deal. Here's a Google search of its impact - an entire array of media sources perpetuating a quote that was inaccurate. In fact, a whole wave of "quagmire" spin was promoted by the quote. And yet - and here's the new twist - a few days earlier, a different New York Times story, by Jim Dwyer, got the quote right. Here it is. The same day, the Washington Post got it wrong. So the New York Times, having started out in better shape than its rival, then swerved into inaccuracy. Then - on the day of its correction - it went and did it again, in this piece in the Circuits Section:
The debate over the use of computer simulations large and small was sharpened when Lt. Gen. William S. Wallace, the commander of the Army V Corps based in Kuwait, remarked that the guerrilla-style resistance of Iraqi militia groups made for an enemy that was 'different from the one we war-gamed against.' The current situation in Iraq, some critics say, may highlight the problem of depending too much on virtual realities for training. They argue that military leaders can become too enmeshed in a gaming scenario to allow for what is actually happening. (My emphasis.)
Yes, I guess you could say the quote marks make the quote technically ok. But after all this fuss, wouldn't it be appropriate to make sure that the infamous "a bit" bit wasn't snipped out the quote? It seems to me the Times got it right, then wrong, then corrected it, then got it wrong again. Is anyone actually editing this paper?

A BRITISH SETBACK: On the dusty streets of Umm Khayyal, a fierce battle ends in utter British defeat. But a minor p.r. victory. I hope to read more stories like this one.

THE OTHER WAR : And CNN's in a bit of a "quagmire".

SADDAM AND ISLAM: As things get worse, Saddam gets more and more religion. Odd that, isn't it? We've been told endlessly that his rule is secular, yet it's based on religious arguments. Hmmm. Here's Lileks on the theme:
Anyway - I thought of this today while reading another one of Saddam's dispatches from beyond the grave. It contained the usual BS (how do you know a Ba'athist is lying? His mustache is moving. And we curse it!) and it contained what we now have come to expect from this noted secular despot: explicit religiosity. (Reuters link via the indispensable Command Post.)
"Damn them, and by God, there will be thousands of soldiers fighting for what is right, virtue and faith in defense of the land of prophets and holy places, of belief and devotion," it quoted Saddam as writing in a letter to his niece on April 1 . "This war is not like previous wars. It is truly a jihad (holy war) for the sake of God and the nation. It is a war between Muslims and infidels."
We all know he doesn't mean it; this is a fellow who probably installed drainage channels in the mosque floors in case he needed to use them as torture depots. But it's a reminder that this campaign is not disconnected from 9/11 - it's an integral part of the war. Whoever chose to speak for Saddam did not appeal to pan-Arab solidarity, to socialist duty, to the struggle against globalization, to the need to contain the American hegemony, or the primacy of the rule of international law, the campaign to release "Freaks and Geeks" on DVD, or whatever cause is floating out in the great maelstrom of international contention. Prophets, holy places, belief, devotion, jihad, God, war between Muslims and nonbelievers. Those are the terms."
Yep. and they're non-negotiable.

- 1:09:42 AM

Thursday, April 03, 2003
 
RAINES MISSILE INCOMING: The New York Times has commissioned another piece designed to attack the administration's journalistic supporters. The first, by Jim Rutenberg, was an attempt to gloat over conservatives' alleged belief that this war would be a "cakewalk." (I wonder if the Times would ever ever run a piece about those journalists who recently claimed that a "quagmire" was imminent.) The second by David Carr is designed to portray non-lefty journalists as stooges of the administration. It'll probably appear tomorrow. Carr's scoop is that yesterday, a bunch of us hacks had lunch with Karl Rove at a public restaurant in downtown DC. Organized by National Review's Kate O'Beirne, these off-the-record lunches are regular events, and, although no material can be used, they are a good way to sense the mood in the administration, ask tough questions, talk candidly and so on. Most political magazines organize such lunches - at The New Republic, we used to have them all the time. In fact, such off-the-record lunches with senior politicians are a Washington fixture. But watch the Raines spin. Just a heads-up.

- 6:04:21 PM
 
FRENCH JUSTICE: I apologize for sometimes linking to pieces in foreign languages, but sometimes they're the only source for fascinating stories. Here's one from "Proche-Orient," a French publication covering the Middle East. You may recall an anti-Semitic incident at the poignantly named Albert Camus school last year, where a young Jewish girl was beaten in an anti-Semitic attack. A judge has now fined the parents of the girl - yes, the parents - for talking to the media about the affair. The French authorities deal with anti-Semitic violence the way the Catholic Church has historically dealt with child rape. Why? Because they know they're guilty.

- 1:34:13 PM
 
IT ALL MAKES SENSE NOW: Austria's far-right neo-fascist, Jorg Haider, offers asylum to Iraqi foreign minister, Naji Sabr. Jorg Haider and the anti-war far left - both hoping for allied defeat, and the destruction of Israel. Revealing, isn't it?

- 1:25:51 PM
 
RAINES WATCH II: Another fascinating correction from the Times, this time yesterday:
A front-page news analysis article on Sunday about the political perils faced by President Bush over the war with Iraq misattributed a comment about Saddam Hussein's government being "a house of cards." While some American officials had used the phrase to predict a shorter conflict and a quick collapse of the Iraqi leadership, Vice President Dick Cheney was not among them.
Amazing. Another front page Big Lie from Raines and company. Notice also the mealy-mouthed correction. Which other "American officials" are they talking about? Somehow, I suspect, if they exist at all, they're nowhere near the senior levels - which was the point of Johnny Apple's self-parodic piece. More and more, readers are beginning to realize that Raines' NYT doesn't just spin against the Bush administration on an hourly basis. It also merrily lies to keep the propaganda war going. (Thanks to Powerline.)

- 1:12:50 PM
 
RAINES WATCH I: A jaw-dropping correction in the New York Times today:
A front-page article on Tuesday about criticism voiced by American military officers in Iraq over war plans omitted two words from an earlier comment by Lt. Gen. William S. Wallace, commander of V Corps. General Wallace had said (with the omission indicated by uppercasing), "The enemy we're fighting is A BIT different from the one we war-gamed against."
One simple question: why are the reporters who used that critical quote to exaggerate the difficulties of the allies still working for the NYT? The reporters in question are Bernard Weinraub, formerly of the Hollywood beat, and Thom Shanker. (Thanks to Jonah.)

- 1:01:08 PM
 
VON HOFFMAN AWARD NOMINEE: "Anyone who doubts that the Iraqi Army is prepared to defend its capital should take the highway south of Baghdad. How, I kept asking myself, could the Americans batter their way through these defenses? For mile after mile they go on, slit trenches, ditches, earthen underground bunkers, palm groves of heavy artillery and truck loads of combat troops in battle fatigues and steel helmets. Not since the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq War have I seen the Iraqi Army deployed like this; the Americans may say they are "degrading" the country’s defenses but there was little sign of that here Wednesday." - Robert Fisk - who else? - Arab News.

- 12:41:46 PM

Wednesday, April 02, 2003
 
WHAT AMERICA MEANS: Hard to beat this:
In the giddy spirit of the day, nothing could quite top the wish list bellowed out by one man in the throng of people greeting American troops from the 101st Airborne Division who marched into town today. What, the man was asked, did he hope to see now that the Baath Party had been driven from power in his town? What would the Americans bring? "Democracy," the man said, his voice rising to lift each word to greater prominence. "Whiskey. And sexy!"
"Democracy, Whiskey, Sexy." Not quite "Liberty, Equality, Fraternity" - but a lot more reliable.

QUOTE FOR THE DAY: "Europeans are antiwar, but they are pro-commerce," - U.S. Lt. Co. Duke Deluca, after his men had successfully rid an area near Najaf of land-mines sold to Saddam by Italy.

THE OTHER LIBERATION: Yes, we're freeing the Kurds from some Islamofascists right now as well. I don't know why this story hasn't gotten more attention.

- 11:55:42 PM
 
WHAT WE NOW KNOW: We're an amnesiac short-attention span culture. Only three weeks ago, we were in the middle of a debate about war; now we're in the middle of the war. In the frenetic news cycles, we scarcely find time to relate what we now know to what we once argued. But we need to make time. Here's a short list of what we know now about Saddam, two weeks after the outbreak of war: that he runs a more horrifying police-state than some of us imagined; that he uses terroristic measures to maintain his rule; has close contact with other terrorist groups whom he has invited into his country in his defense; invokes Islamic justifications for his despotism far more often than any secular justifications; is capable of actions very few other human beings are capable of; and will not give up an ounce of real power even at the point of an actually loaded gun. In other words, the prudential justification for the war is now far stronger than it was only a couple of weeks ago: no one can plausibly now argue that this monstrous regime would have voluntarily disarmed itself at the polite and constantly negotiable behest of a mild-mannered Swede. Inspections would never have worked, if by "worked," we actually mean succeeded in disarming Saddam. But more importantly, the moral justification for war has been deepened. More Americans today can absorb the true horror of murderous totalitarian rule, by watching its hatchet men defend themselves by all means necessary - using women and childern as shields, murdering POWs, deploying suicide bombers, and the like. Ending that kind of evil anywhere any time is always a good thing. You can argue the costs but you can't argue the moral good of it. We will save many lives; we are rescuing many people who are oppressed in ways those who constantly talk about "oppression" do not really know or understand. These are good things to know. They are vital things to remember.

- 11:54:57 PM
 
NOT ENOUGH TROOPS? Doesn't look too much like it:
At the Pentagon briefing, Army Maj. Gen. Stanley McChrystal said the Medina Division has been incapacitated to nearly the same extent as the Baghdad Division, which he described as "incapable of effective maneuver or defense." He said elements of both divisions are putting up sporadic resistance, but not enough to slow the advance of U.S. units. "The Medina and Baghdad divisions are no longer credible forces," he said.
Two out of six divisions now "destroyed." Four to go.

BAGHDAD BROADCASTING CORPORATION: Here's how the BBC told the news of the rescue of Jessica Lynch. Alas, it was a brief reporter's log and no longer online:
Washington :: Philippa Thomas :: 1403GMT
Every headline and every morning show here is talking about the rescue of Jessica Lynch. It's a rare good news story in a week when there's been a lot of talk of set backs.
It's a very all-American tale of a teenage soldier who'd never left the United States before she went to the Middle East three weeks ago.
She comes from a small farming community in the state of West Virginia called Palestine where yellow ribbons were put up around her community in honour of her. She had written home before her capture to say that when she came home from the Gulf she wanted to become a teacher.
Last night they had fireworks and celebrations in her home town - this one small success story has really hit the headlines here.
"A lot of talk of setbacks ... one small success story." They just can't help themselves, can they? Imagine how crushed they'll be if Baghdad falls.

P.R. HELL: If Saddam's thugs can't even persuade Robert Fisk that some alleged allied bombings are for real, then they're really in trouble.

- 11:54:15 PM
 
SONTAG AWARD NOMINEE I: "It's the worst administration I've seen since I went there in 1951. The whole [conservative] trend is a very artificial one made up essentially of three main currents. One is the Christian current, which is isolated from the rest of the country. [But] it's a lot of people, 70-80 million. This is George Bush's main constituency. Second, the neo-conservative movement, which has been developing over the period since the end of the 1960s, as a reaction to the 1960s. But it is now narrower and narrower and more focused. That's why you have people like [Richard] Perle and [Paul] Wolfowitz in positions of power, because they've made an alliance with the isolationist right wing within America... And the third group that feeds into this is the Washington establishment, these think tanks in Washington which have taken the intellectual class and turned them into policy salesmen who have no peer review... The opposition to the war is, I think, an opposition to all of that. It's an opposition to the fundamentalists, who stand, for example, against the theory of evolution. And these are the people pushing for the war. And that's why I think the movement against the war, despite the fact that it is flagging a bit because of loyalty to the boys and girls abroad, as some of the Democrats are saying now, will grow. I think that Bush will not have a second presidency. In fact, I and many others are convinced that Bush will try to negate the 2004 elections: we're dealing with a putschist, conspiratorial, paranoid deviation that's very anti- democratic." - Edward Said, hallucinating with the editors of Arab News. Wolfowitz in an alliance with the isolationist right? But then, I guess, where do you start?

IN DEFENSE OF THE BEEB: "In light of all the bashing of the BBC, in which I have enthusiastically participated, please let me note a counter-example: Yesterday (Monday) there was an absolutely superb BBC interview with Amir Mousa, head of the Arab league. Mousa was wily and wanted to make only 2 points: the war in Iraq is unjust and opposed by most Arab governments and virtually all the Arab people, and give back the "occupied territories" (not clear whether this meant just the west bank or Israel proper too). The interviewer was respectfully persistent, and did an excellent job, let Mousa blather but pressed him on the hard questions, to which Mousa's responses were pathetically flat and unconvincing. Mousa babbled development and democracy, the interviewer pointed out that very few Arabs have either. Interviewer did not allow PC notions of not offending Third World sensibilities limit his questioning. Excellent job, vastly superior to the vapidity of CNN or the cheerleading of Fox." - more reader dissent on the Letters Page.

- 11:53:36 PM
 
SONTAG AWARD NOMINEE II: "How easy to forget that our own war for independence was largely fought by 'irregulars' condemned as terrorists by the British because they would snipe from behind scattered trees rather than fight from the tight parade formations that were the civilized form of warfare in those days. Ours is a long history of covert actions, political assassinations, special ops, anti-democratic coups and dirty tricks that are, even today, being used in Iraq. And we claim that the ends of U.S. policy are so noble that even clearly illegal means, such as a preemptive invasion, are justified." - Robert Scheer, equating Saddam Hussein's methods with the founding fathers', Los Angeles Times.

DEAR SALON: I loved this letter to the editors about Anne Lamott's recent drivel:

Dear Sir:
I force myself to get through these articles because I usually read most of what you put up on your site.
Do you get positive feedback from this kind of writing? Just curious. Knowing that someone actually likes this will make it possible for me to hug myself, buy myself a felt pen or maybe a pair of socks, and begin to love again. That is, unless it's raining, because that scares me, all the lightning and thunder and big nasty black clouds, but then I feel better because I know someday the sun will come out and warm the earth with its tender golden rays, and then I realize that hey, life is great and if we would all just love each other like I love everyone even though they don't love me, the world would be this great lovefest and that would be lovely, wouldn't it?
Until then, I am going to hide out at home with a big bucket of Haagen-Dazs chocolate ice cream until the world comes to its senses.
- Brian Asmus, Taipei, Taiwan
I smell a new as.com reader, don't you?

- 11:52:53 PM
 
THE NYT BAILS: If you're a member of the Rummy screwed-it-up department, it must be a little disconcerting to read the New York Times editorial this morning. When the viscerally, uncompromisingly anti-Bush Times pooh-poohs the notion of a military miscalculation, then the media tide must surely be turning.

BAGHDAD BROADCASTING CORPORATION: Is the BBC now spewing out anti-Zionist conspiracy theories? A listener to their Arab broadcasting service thinks so.

HOME NEWS: March was another record traffic month: 1.88 million visits to the site from almost half a million separate people. 2.5 million page views. But my favorite piece of data is from Alexa.com. They rank websites, and like most such rankings, they're fallible, so don't put too much weight on this little piece of information. But according to Alexa, this site is now neck and neck, in traffic terms, with the Nation. In fact, the very latest data show this site just ahead of the Nation: we were ranked 6,116 Monday; they were ranked 8,728. No, I'm not putting out a full-fledged magazine, but the more you think about that simple statistic, the more remarkable it is. This site didn't exist three years ago; the Nation has been around for a century. This site, thanks to you, is comfortably in the black with no debt. The Nation has bled money for decades, as most such magazines do. Moreover, compare the stats for last month with the same month a year ago: we had 805,000 visits in March 2002 and 1,880,000 in March 2003. Yes, the war has boosted traffic this month, and that may subside in the future. But the trend is really strong. Thanks so much for your support, your faith and your constant criticism.

- 11:22:33 AM
 
VON HOFFMAN AWARD NOMINEE: (for egregiously bad predictions in wartime) "The administration premised virtually all of its strategy and most of its tactics on the assumption that the civilian population would treat us as liberators. Unfortunately, that basic assumption has been shown itself to be fundamentally flawed." - Josh Marshall, April 1.

"Hundreds of American troops marched into town at midday today and were greeted by its residents. The infantry was backed by attack helicopters and bombers, and immediately destroyed several arms caches and took over a military training facility to serve as their headquarters. The occupying forces, from the First and Second brigades of the 101st Airborne Division, entered from the south and north. They had seized the perimeter of town on Tuesday. People rushed to greet them today, crying out repeatedly, 'Thank you, this is beautiful!' Two questions dominated a crowd that gathered outside a former ammunition center for the Baath Party. 'Will you stay?' asked Kase, a civil engineer who would not give his last name. Another man, Heider, said, 'Can you tell me what time Saddam is finished?'" - New York Times, April 2, reporting on the first city to have been fully liberated from Saddam's thugs.

- 11:17:17 AM

Tuesday, April 01, 2003
 
CONTRA JOSH: Josh Marshall has a detailed rebuttal to my recent criticisms of his criticisms of the Iraqi campaign so far. Josh is easily the most credible liberal blogger, so let me take his counter-arguments one by one. (I don't agree with Josh, by the way, that this kind of back-and-forth is insidery. We're not discussing ourselves; we're debating the issues. Isn't that what opinion journalism should be all about?) I argued that the plan made sense in as much as we shot for the moon in trying to decapitate the regime quickly, but still have the resources to fight a less triumphant campaign. Josh counters:
If it were true that we were just shooting for the moon knowing that it might fail and that we'd then hit them with a more conventional infantry and armor attack, we'd already have our infantry and armor in place. We don't. So I don't find that argument particularly credible.
But from what I can tell, we do have our infantry in place. Moreover, our air superiority is helping destroy the Republican Guards before we encounter them on the ground. I see no evidence that we are holding back from Baghdad because we don't have sufficient troops. I see evidence that we're trying to avoid street-fighting, by luring the Saddam shock troops out into the open, while we pulverize them from the air, and get reinforcements from Kuwait. (According to the Washington Post this morning, the first real battle between the army and the Republican Guard is pitting 20,000 U.S. soldiers with 21st century armaments against 6,000 Saddamite troops, half of whom have no formal military training, and whose artillery has been pounded from the air for days.) Even Barry McCaffrey concedes that
"the 100,000 troops en route to the battle will give the operational commanders the ability to control the pace and tempo of the fight if we sense trouble."
Like Josh, I'm not expert enough to tell whether we have enough troops for the job at hand. But Franks says we do; Pace says we do; the latest reports suggest we do; and even arch-skeptic McCaffrey says we soon will have. What difference does it make if we take Baghdad in four weeks rather than two?

LIBERATION: Josh's second point is the following:
The administration premised virtually all of its strategy and most of its tactics on the assumption that the civilian population would treat us as liberators. Unfortunately, that basic assumption has been shown itself to be fundamentally flawed. Our military strategy was based on the idea that the Iraqis would be so happy we'd shown up that they wouldn't harrass our supply lines on the way to Baghdad. That hasn't panned out.
But ordinary Iraqis are not harrassing our supply lines. Paramilitary Saddam loyalists are. We did indeed under-estimate the legacy of 1991, and the power of a police state to intimidate people - and I've been more than candid about that. But, as Josh agrees, it's still unclear what the general Iraqi population feels about our intervention. Which brings me to a different point. What if we'd done what Josh seems now to support: a massive 1991-style 500,000 troop, lumbering onslaught through the deserts? Wouldn't that have looked much more like an invasion than the current action? And would that have been more useful in getting rid of fedayeen in street-fighting? I can see the Arab press now writing up the huge invasion force as a new imperialism; and a whole bunch of military commentators pointing out how the army was fighting the last war. I can also see the dangers in that approach of not being able to move quickly and deeply enough to secure the Western airbases (to protect Israel) and the oil-fields (critical for reconstruction). It seems to me that the flexible Franks-Rumsfeld plan was therefore a pretty good one. Perhaps the Turkish refusal to allow border-crossing from our troops hindered things a lot. All I can say is that this quibbling and second-guessing is based on an incredibly high standard for military success after less than two weeks of combat. No harm in that, I suppose. As long as we don't let perfection become a means of under-appreciating something that's perfectly good.

THE MOVING GOAL-POSTS: Then Josh shifts the goal posts for success even further. Here is the only scenario in which he will feel chagrined for his political pessimism about this war:
Presumably, I'll be haunted one or two months from now when we're off on an easy occupation of Baghdad, governing a peaceful nation of thankful Iraqis, and resting easier since we've cowed Syria, Iran and the Palestinians into quiescence.
Come on, Josh. I don't think anyone has promised that. If, in two months, we have liberated Iraq from Saddam, brought its oil back on line, set up a new provisional government, and begun the process of de-Ba'athification, then I think most Americans will think of this war as huge success. And they should. The attempt to stem the rise of Islamist terrorist totalitarianism in the Middle East will take a generation at least. But it's worth trying. The alternative is to sit back, watch it fester and wait for it to come at us with weapons of mass destruction. Some of what we'll do won't exactly endear us to the Arab world. But in the long run, we're not looking for love; and the experience of fledgling semi-democracies in Jordan, Turkey and Iraq could well change many minds. That's my hope. And it's not a hopelessly quixotic one.

- 11:22:16 PM
 

POSEUR ALERT: "Like the demigods of mythological yore, like Achilles with his divinely wrought shield, cops on television - they also have shields - occupy a hybrid, liminal realm." - Lee Siegel, The New Republic.

SONTAG AWARD NOMINEE: "What Kennedy said of communism, in the same 60s address, could be transposed, with uncanny accuracy, to Americanism today. "The communist drive to impose their political and economic system on others," he contended, "is the primary cause of world tension today. For there can be no doubt that, if all nations could refrain from interfering in the self-determination of others, the peace would be much more assured." The role reversal may not be exact. World terrorism has to be factored into the equation. But as a verdict on Bush's America, this picture of political and economic imperialism rampant helps explain why a peaceful new world order seems out of reach." - Hugo Young, the Guardian, equating today's United States with the Soviet Union.

- 11:16:50 PM
 
POSEUR ALERT: "Maybe I will send [president Bush] a little something; socks perhaps, or felt pens. Or balloons. He's family. I hate this, because he is a dangerous member of the family, like a Klansman. To me, his policies deal death and destruction, and maybe I can't exactly forgive him right now, in the classical sense, of canceling my resentment and judgment. But I can at least acknowledge that he gets to eat, too. I would not let him starve, and I will sit next to him, although it will be a little like that old Woody Allen line that someday, the lion shall lie down with the lamb, although the lamb is not going to get any sleep. That's the best I can do right now. Maybe at some point, later, briefly, I will feel a flicker of something more. Let me get back to you on this." - Anne Lamott, blathering on mindlessly in the current Salon.

- 2:02:01 PM
 
DID THE TIMES 'OUT' ABIZAID? Hmmm. Who was the bolshy "senior military commander" with a "deep grounding in Arab history and culture" who was criticizing the legacy of the betrayed Shi'a uprising in 1991 in the New York Times this morning? Could it be the only senior military commander with a deep grounding in Arab history and culture, John Abizaid? Funny how the online version of the story now omits the phrase ""deep grounding in Arab history and culture." Another case of the NYT accidentally revealing its sources? The Columbia Political Review has the goods.

- 1:52:22 PM
 
WHERE'S SADDAM? This broadcast is perhaps the strongest evidence yet that Saddam is wounded or dead. Why, when the allies are encroaching on his citadel, does Saddam not appear in person to rally his SS units, secret police and terrorist thugs? It makes no sense for him to be completely absent. Maybe we got him after all.

- 1:38:01 PM
 
A FLEXIBLE PLAN: I've been floating a few counter-factuals about this war in my head. In particular, I'm thinking about what the Josh Marshalls and Joe Conasons (although Josh is in a different league of seriousness than Conason, of course) would have had the administration say just before the war. What if Cheney had gone on television and said: "Look, this is going to take months. Saddam's hardcore is highly trained, ruthless and will fight to the death." Wouldn't that have largely removed the chance - even if it were an outside one - of psyching out the Ba'ath leadership and possibly cracking the Saddamite machine at the outset? Part of what the administration was trying to achieve, it seems to me, was a psychological coup against the Baghdad leadership. If they could out-psyche the Ba'athists, convince them they were doomed, we'd have had much higher chances of winning this quickly and well. The problem, of course, was that the message designed for Saddam was also one heard by the domestic audience, and so was a set-up for disappointment. The further problem was that if the leadership survived, they might also feel more confidence for making it through the first couple of weeks. But, again, that's only a problem if the British and American publics aren't grown-ups and can't deal with the uncertainties of war, and if we don't have the firepower to win anyway. But the publics are grown up - certainly more so than many of my colleagues in the media - and we do have the firepower to carry on. The other obvious advantage of the rolling approach to the war is what Jim Hoagland points out this morning:
They were determined to avoid giving Hussein time to launch missiles with chemical warheads against Israel and its Arab neighbors, torch Iraq's oil fields or launch new massacres that would send waves of Iraqi refugees fleeing into Turkey and elsewhere. They have been largely successful in these objectives so far.
Those are big successes, but because they are negative ones, they don't please the critics. From the broadest perspective, I'd say that the negative verdict on the war plan is still unproven.

AND HOW: Here's general Peter Pace on the flexibility of the Rumsfeld-Franks plan, making a similar point to Hoagland's. He persuades me:
I think it's a very, very good plan, and I have given my opinions many, many times to the civilian leadership. I support this plan. It's a brilliant plan in both its simplicity and its flexibility. And Gen. Franks had a plan that would allow us, if there was early capitulation on the part of the Iraqis, would have allowed us to not have to destroy a large portion of that country. It is flexible enough to handle everything up to the most devastating attacks that we may have to conduct.
But the scope of the operations is all within the original plan, and the flexibility has been demonstrated right from the beginning. When Gen. Franks saw that the oil fields down South might be destroyed as the oil fields were in Kuwait, he quickly sent the ground forces in there and was able to secure over 1,000 oil wells, maybe 80 percent of the Iraqi people's wealth that's in the ground he was able to secure for them for their future. And there's many, many other examples of the plan being set in motion and then circumstances on the ground providing opportunities, like the night that we got the great intelligence on where we thought Saddam was and the very, very specific precise attack.
Of course, Pace has a vested interest in saying this. But he also makes sense. And the critics have a vested interest as well. Why else would jilted former Bush adviser, Brent Scowcroft, the man who helped get us into this mess in the first place, be carping on background to the Washington Post?

- 12:42:18 AM
 
A LIBERAL WAR: This piece by Christopher's high Tory brother, Peter Hitchens, is illuminating for several reasons, not least of which is that it's quite persuasive. There is an important conservative argument against this war - an argument that it is destroying the status quo, that dictators should be dealt with, not challenged, that the developing world should be written off for democracy, and so on. That's why so many Tories opposed what they saw at the time as "Churchill's war" in the 1930s. It's why Patrick Buchanan is against this war. And the hard left against this war is also, strictly speaking, reactionary - they loathe the disturbing, transformative power of free trade, free markets and American military power. For my part, I think that the threat of weapons of mass destruction in the hands of terrorists make this a war that should be fought for national interests alone. That's the conservative argument. But it is also a progressive endeavor, fueled by the American hope for progress in the Middle East and for democracy, of all things. Hitchens digs up the Tory roots of the anti-war impulse nicely. No chance it will embarrass the anti-war left, though. They seem, for the most part, unembarrassable.

- 12:41:06 AM
 
DID BLAIR LIE? "I noticed that you picked up on the BBC's story about the controversy over whether two British soldiers were "executed" by the Iraqis, as Blair alleged in a press conference. You draw hostile attention to the BBC's "profound scepticism" about the truth of Blair's claim, and their reprinting of the Iraqi denial 'without comment'. You may not have been following this closely in the British press, where it is an issue about the accuracy of Coalition information. There appear to be two completely inconsistent stories here. Blair claimed that the two soldiers had been executed. The family of one of the soldiers claims that they had been told by both the sergeant and the colonel responsible for this soldier that he had been killed in action, with an implication that there were eye-witnesses, and have accused Blair of lying..." - more reader skepticism and comment, on the Letters Page.

THE BEEB FAILS: British opinion is now more optimistic than American opinion about when this war will end. More interestingly, both Americans and Britons still expect a long campaign - months and months. In that sense, maybe the BBC has had an effect in portraying the costs and difficulties - but it will only redound to Bush's and Blair's advantage if the war picks up pace. I have a feeling the expectations game has gone far too dramatically in the direction of pessimism.

- 12:39:44 AM
 
DASCHLE'S HOLE: Why does he keep digging? Jake Tapper has a little scoop.

SONTAG AWARD NOMINEE: "The United States has also become a pathocracy, that is, a regime that is neurotic in essence, the leaders of which are, quite simply, psychopaths.  I offer the hypothesis that the American president is personally suffering from a paranoid psychosis and that the quartet he has formed with Vice President Dick Cheney, National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld constitutes a government that is both theocratic and pathocratic ..." - Francois de Bernard, Liberation, translated by Salon.

QUOTE FOR THE DAY: "It is not the critic who counts, nor the man who points out where the strong man stumbled, or where a doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man in the arena whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs, and who comes up short again and again, who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, and spends himself in a worthy cause. The man who at best knows the triumph of high achievement and who at worst, if he fails, fails while daring greatly, so that his place will never be with those cold timid souls who never knew victory or defeat." - Teddy Roosevelt on the back-seat drivers in this war, "The Strenuous Life: Essays and Addresses."

- 12:38:20 AM



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