IT'S OUR FIFTH ANNIVERSARY! CLICK HERE TO MAKE A DONATION. Friday, July 30, 2004
KAPLAN ON KERRY: My good friend Lawrence rightly decries the assertion by the Kerry campaign that somehow having been in combat makes you better suited to be a war-president:
To Kerry supporters who argue otherwise, is it really necessary to point out that Abraham Lincoln and Franklin Roosevelt never saw combat before going on to become America's greatest wartime strategists? Or that the very men who dispatched Kerry to Vietnam were themselves decorated veterans? To be sure, politicians who have served in war have an essential understanding of the horrors of war. But what does it tell us about their strategic wisdom or their fitness to be commander-in-chief? In truth, very little. None other than George McGovern boasted, accurately, that he was "a decorated combat pilot in World War II," while his opponent "was stationed far from battle." Did this make McGovern "stronger" than Nixon on national security?
The truth is: Biden and Lieberman and Edwards and even Obama were more ressuring on the war than Kerry was. Given how important it is for Kerry to burnish his war credentials and how deeply resistant he was to embrace the war in his acceptance speech, I think the candidate has told us roughly where he stands. - 5:57:36 PM OLIPHANT CONCURS: It was indeed a missed opportunity. But the reason the Kerry speech was so troubling is that it seems to me an indicator of what's wrong with the candidate: arrogant, prolix, unable to discipline his own tortured nuance, and too clever by half. - 5:49:03 PM THANKS AGAIN: To all of you who have contributed this week, a heartfelt thanks. Some of your emails of support have made my week. Your generosity is amazing. A large number of former donors have told me they won't contribute again, because of my refusal to endorse Bush. Fair enough; it's a free country, and I am grateful for their help in the past. But I have never written this blog to please readers, or pander to a constituency, or suck up to either party. In fact, one of the reasons I blogged in the first place was to avoid the kind of pressure from editors or publishers or advertizers or readers that most journalists inevitably feel. And in a world where Sean Hannity and Michael Moore rule the airwaves, I'm happy to write a blog supported by people who disagree with me but believe this pioneering blog is worth supporting. Thanks again. You guys are the true liberals, with a small "l". If you'd still like to contribute, the details are here.
EMAIL OF THE DAY II: First of all, Islamic terrorists need Bush to win re-election so that they can continue the theme of their propaganda campaign: that America, led by an administration that thinks Muslims themselves are infidels, is in a war to the finish against all Muslims. A Kerry victory provides less fodder for this campaign because Kerry would be less hated in the Muslim world, even if his actions were as tough or tougher than Bush's. The Muslim world has many problems with America, but they hate George W. Bush. They don't hate Kerry. Thus Bush is the fuel for the Islamist fire. As far as the writer's point that "everyone knows what happened to Omar and Saddam"--if he means Mullah Omar, then yes, everyone does know. The man is still free and at large solely because, after locating him and putting him within our sights, the commanding general of Operation Enduring Freedom refused to give the order to take him out. So much for the Bush administration being tough and intimidating. Let's get real."
EMAIL OF THE DAY III: "The Democrats' policies towards drug companies are every bit as anti-intellectual as the Republicans' policies on stem cell research. I was diagnosed with an especially agressive strain of non-Hodgkins lymphoma a few months back. In fact, I was a couple of days away from death by strangulation, as the tumor had constricted my airway to something smaller than a pencil. To compound things, I don't have insurance (I'm not eligible for insurance through my job for another five months, and I was too short-sighted to get it on my own.). As I write this, though, I'm cancer-free. Why? Because of the amazing new drugs produced by those "greedy" drug companies, and because those same acquisitive bastards gave me the drugs free of charge. The greedy pricks at my hospital picked up my bills, and one of their rotten nurses came in on her day off to administer my first round of chemo because I needed it so badly. We don't know how good we have it in this country, and I'm afraid by the time we figure it out that mob I saw in Boston will have gutted our healthcare system and crippled our drug companies. It makes perfect sense to me that their chosen candidate is a career politician who married money, and his running mate is a selfless white knight who's made tens of millions of dollars by going after besieged doctors, nearly all of whom have contributed more to mankind than he ever will, and charging his clients 30% of the take."
EMAIL OF THE DAY IV: "You're becoming more and more of a shill for the Democrats. Your obsession with prancing down the aisle in a frilly pink dress doesn't excuse referring to Kerry as a patriot. Please spare us. Maybe patriot means something different in merry old England. I guess Kerry is a patriot ... like Guy Fawkes and the dynamiters." More feedback on the Letters Page. - 2:50:59 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY: "I've been thinking about Kerry's real dilemma. What if he wins? Assume for argument's sake that he is as committed to the war on Islamofascism as Bush. What will be the situation he finds himself in? First, his victory will be accompanied with videos of cheering islamofascist crowds - the Arab and Islamic worlds will (perhaps unfairly) interpret his victory as a defeat for America - after all, in the Arab world regimes tend to change only when the nation is defeated. Second, our enemies and friends will tend to perceive Kerry as the "weaker" candidate - the one less likely to agressively assert US interests. In high school terms, Bush is the "Crazy Motherf**cker" that nobody messes with - because everyone knows what happened to Omar and Saddam. Kerry is like a Student Council Treasurer - not a bad guy but no reputation for aggression, indeed a reputation for avoiding conflict, a guy you might be able to intimidate. Paradoxically, this puts Kerry in the position of needing to be more agressive than Bush in the next term - he needs to demonstrate his willingness to assert US interests and take out bad guys so that the benefits of intimidation that Bush achieved don't evaporate. By contrast Bush doesn't need to do nearly as much because everybody knows that he's a "Crazy Motherf**cker". Of course this assumes that Kerry wants to aggressively fight islamofascism. If he doesn't he faces no dilemma - we just lose." - 1:26:23 PM THE POST ON KERRY: This is the best assessment I've read so far. Money quote:
The responsibility of sending troops into danger should weigh on a commander in chief. But so must the responsibility of protecting the nation against a shadowy foe not easily deterred by traditional means. Mr. Kerry last night elided the charged question of whether, as president, he would have gone to war in Iraq. He offered not a word to celebrate the freeing of Afghans from the Taliban, or Iraqis from Saddam Hussein, and not a word about helping either nation toward democracy.
Noam Scheiber also homes in on the Cold War liberal rhetoric: tough abroad, liberal at home. - 1:08:46 PM
THE CANDIDATE: Well, I guess there was always going to be a reality check. The first and most obvious thing to say about Kerry's speech was that it was far too long. You have to believe that this was a conscious decision, and not an accident. The man couldn't edit it, or his advisers couldn't decide whose soaring rhetoric was better, or no one had the authority to remove the third that should have been removed to give the rest of it time to breathe, and the audience to respond. But perhaps the result was, in some ways, beneficial. Kerry rushed through this speech and so lost some of the deeply ponderous boredom of his usual speaking style. But the effect was still hurried, breathless and because he kept having to calm the crowd down, condescending. There were passages toward the end when he picked up and seemed to do better. But it was a B - performance, not as disastrous as Al Gore's rant in 2000, but nowhere near the level of the best. I mean, even Dole was better eight years ago. Some of it was so pompous and self-congratulatory I almost gagged. Can you believe he said this:
I was born in Colorado, in Fitzsimmons Army Hospital, when my dad was a pilot in World War II. Now, I'm not one to read into things, but guess which wing of the hospital the maternity ward was in? I'm not making this up. I was born in the West Wing!
One thought sprang into my mind immediately: what an arrogant jerk.
THE MESSAGE: This was also, it seems to me, a very liberal speech. Domestically, there was no problem the government couldn't help solve. There was support for protectionism, and for penalizing the drug companies. Government-funded research into stem cells was described as revolutionary. But private drug research that has cured millions and saved my own life must be throttled to placate constituencies like the AARP. There was no mention of welfare reform in his past; no mention of education reform; and no firm commitment to seeing the war through in Afghanistan and Iraq. This is obviously what worried me the most. His goal in Iraq is to bring the troops home. Three words: not good enough. Here's the passage about the war:
I know what we have to do in Iraq. We need a President who has the credibility to bring our allies to our side and share the burden, reduce the cost to American taxpayers, and reduce the risk to American soldiers. That's the right way to get the job done and bring our troops home. Here is the reality: that won't happen until we have a president who restores America's respect and leadership -- so we don't have to go it alone in the world. And we need to rebuild our alliances, so we can get the terrorists before they get us. I defended this country as a young man and I will defend it as President. Let there be no mistake: I will never hesitate to use force when it is required. Any attack will be met with a swift and certain response. I will never give any nation or international institution a veto over our national security. And I will build a stronger American military.
No mention of democracy in Iraq or Afghanistan. No mention of the terrorist forces that are amassed there. No reference to the elections scheduled for January. No mention of Iran. And the whole point is about process - about how to wage a war, not whether it should be waged. This is a man who clearly wants the U.S. out of the region where our future is at stake, and who believes that simply by taking office, other powers can somehow pick up the slack. Memo to Kerry: no other powers can pick up the slack. They don't have the troops or the technology or the will. His strategy is pure defense. This sentence is his strongest threat: "Any attack will be met with a swift and certain response." So let's wait, shall we?
WHAT I LIKED: But it was an optimistic speech, even though it kept telling us that again and again. And it was not too divisive, although it had barbs directed at Enron and asserted that those who disagreed with him somehow didn't have a conscience. It was halfway between Al Gore's leftist address in 2000 and Bill Clinton in 1996. He was strongest in his invocation of patriotism and unity:
I want to address these next words directly to President George W. Bush: In the weeks ahead, let's be optimists, not just opponents. Let's build unity in the American family, not angry division. Let's honor this nation's diversity; let's respect one another; and let's never misuse for political purposes the most precious document in American history, the Constitution of the United States.
I'm glad that Kerry has decided to use the FMA against Bush, as he should. I also liked his view of religion:
I don't wear my own faith on my sleeve. But faith has given me values and hope to live by, from Vietnam to this day, from Sunday to Sunday. I don't want to claim that God is on our side. As Abraham Lincoln told us, I want to pray humbly that we are on God's side. And whatever our faith, one belief should bind us all: The measure of our character is our willingness to give of ourselves for others and for our country.
Beautiful. And important. The damage that president Bush has done to the delicate but vital boundary between religion and politics is one reason I cannot support him for another term. He is simply playing with a terrible fire with good intentions but fateful consequences.
THE IMPACT: I really don't know what the impact of this speech will be. I doubt it will help him much. I definitely liked Kerry less at the end of it than at the beginning. To me at least, he is a deeply unlikable guy: arrogant, dull, pompous, mannered, self-righteous. I suspect that the more he is front and center the more this will count against him. But I'm just one person and others may react differently. And politics shouldn't just be about likability. He certainly seems sane, and prudent and presidential. There will be time to judge his proposals against Bush's and to observe the progress of the war in the next few months. At some point both he and Bush will surely be asked what they will do about Iran. Their responses will be revealing (and probably indistinguishable). Until then, I think this convention has been a huge success, tempered by a bad candidate. They have found the right stance in general, but they may not have found the right general for the stance. Bush, in other words, may remain the luckiest man alive. - 12:11:07 AM
Thursday, July 29, 2004
MY CHEAP SHOT: Glenn takes me to task for a dumb kicker to a posting. He's right. I take it back.
QUOTE OF THE DAY: "The time is now to resolve that the basis of a firm and principled foreign policy is one that takes the world as it is and seeks to change it by leadership and example; not by harangue, harassment or wishful thinking. The time is now to say that while we shall seek new friendships and expand and improve others, we shall not do so by breaking our word or casting aside old friends and allies." - Ronald Reagan, in his nomination speech in 1980. Doesn't it sound a lot like what you're hearing in Boston? - 6:35:16 PM CONSPIRACY THEORY FODDER: Pakistan gets a major al Qaeda figure the day of Kerry's speech. No I don't believe the conspiracy theories, but it doesn't help that TNR's John Judis predicted something quite close to this. - 6:19:06 PM THE UNPERSUADABLES: I've received many emails on the following lines:
To believe that the Dems have suddenly adopted a strong defense and foreign policy posture is beyond absurd. Nothing could matter less than what Kerry has to say tonight in his infomercial, er, speech regarding the War on Terror. His own history, recent and ancient, belies his own sudden conversion, and his own party would become ungovernable should he have to actually lead us in War. This is still the party of McGovern, Carter, and Dean...the adults, Lieberman and Gephardt (who might have warranted presidential consideration), were emphatically rejected in the primaries. A presidential win by Kerry will simply mark our own surrender, and no amount of phony posturing will change that.
It's a legitimate position, but it essentially means that, whatever the Democrats say, they can never get the benefit of the doubt in this war. I think that's blinkered. 9/11 changed a lot. It didn't change the far left, who saw it as another reason to hate America. But it changed America, and the Democrats seem to me to be absorbing this fact. If you believe in this war as strongly as I do, then it seems to me it has to be a bipartisan affair at some point, just as the Cold War was for many years. Why should we simply dismiss out of hand a candidate's declaration that he will fight it just as forcefully as Bush? why aren't we open to a real debate about tactics and strategy? Isn't that the strength of a democracy, rather than a dictatorship? Why this sneering at what appears to be an accommodation by the Democratic party to the perilous reality we live in? Why not a celebration? This is a defeat of the left, after all. Edwards said: "We are at war." You cannot be clearer than that. I appreciate skepticism applied to this, given Kerry's record. But he's also a patriot and I hope he sees the dangers we face. And this war is not - and never should be - a device to win permanent Republican dominance in American politics. It's a war to defend the American constitution and Western freedom. I'm happy to welcome anyone to that cause. Why aren't so many Republicans? - 6:13:10 PM RICK EVEN WEARS THE SHIRT: My old friend, Rick Hertzberg, is a signed up member of the Kerry campaign, proud contributor and even wears Kerry-labeled shirts. He's also a New Yorker writer:
The New Yorker commentator Hendrick Hertzberg, who has given $900 to John Kerry's presidential bid -- earning him a spot in a report on political donations by journalists released last week by a freelance watchdog and a mild scolding from one media ethicist -- arrived at his pre-assigned spot wearing running sneakers, jeans, and a denim shirt embroidered with the Kerry campaign logo. After venturing onto the convention floor, he returned around 10:35, midway through Edwards's address, looking slightly overheated but nonetheless elated, like a fan leaving a concert by his favorite band. He had taken off the Kerry button-down, revealing a nonpartisan T-shirt underneath, and was carrying two of the rectangular Edwards placards that had been distributed to delegates and assorted convention-goers. Hertzberg placed them on the writing stand and disappeared again into the crowd, presumably with plans to retrieve his booty before repairing to his hotel. (Conventioneer has heard that New Yorker staffers are staying at the Fairmont Copley Plaza's new Gold Floor, which features its own concierge, a private lounge with working fireplace, and a butler's pantry stocked with self-serve snacks. Conventioneer relishes this bit of gossip the way others might word of Ben Affleck's rumored lodging at the Charles.) Hertzberg, a former Carter speechwriter who makes no secret of his liberal leanings in his "Talk of the Town" commentaries, has defended his donations to Kerry as a perfectly reasonable extension of the positions he takes as an opinion writer. But to Conventioneer, the Kerry shirt seemed a bit much.
Look, he's not Sid. Or Frum, on the other side. - 5:56:10 PM
NO DILDOES IN ALABAMA: And no right to sexual privacy either. It simply strikes me as amazing that the government can dictate how you pleasure yourself in your own home. Lawrence vs Texas doesn't seem to be having much of an impact in the South. Surprise, surprise. - 1:19:57 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY: "I'm a social libertarian, fiscally conservative, hawk -- an eagle, in your lexicon. In the past, I've been willing to give Democrats a chance. I voted for Clinton in 1992, although I soon regretted it. Since 9/11, I've morphed into a one-issue voter -- the war on terrorism, at home and abroad. And until recently, my efforts to be open to John Kerry ran aground whenever I considered who the terrorists would rather see elected. And my anxiety only intensified after recent reports on pre-election terrorism attacks. Surely the terrorists' rationale for such attacks would be to help elect Kerry, a la Spain. I'm not sure American voters would react the way Spaniards did, but the terrorists may not appreciate the resolve of the American heartland. But if the terrorists were listening to Edwards last night, and Obama the night before, they may be second-guessing their plans. If the Kerry camp's war rhetoric is in earnest (and there are good reasons to doubt it), then the terrorists may not get the easier ride they were strategizing for. What I see happening is an emerging consensus around winning the war on terror and achieving a successful outcome in Iraq. The parties are jockeying to be seen as tougher and more hawkish. For me, there's only goodness in that. And If Kerry wins, then the Democrats will have to assume responsibility and accountability for protecting Americans from terror. And God forbid if another attack occurs on Kerry's watch, the American public's call for a tough response (and yes, retribution) will force the Democrat to take an even more hawkish stance. They'll have to -- to protect their power base, the Kerry administration. And a Kerry administration paired with Republican control in either house of Congress would result in fiscal deadlock, which ain't all bad either. There's a long way to go between now and the election, but my mind is again opening to the Dems." I couldn't put it better myself. I have long dreamed that the Democrats might get serious again about national security. That issue - and spending - kept me from them for a long time. But with the GOP spending like LBJ-Dems, and Kerry sounding very tough on the war, I'm open to persuasion. Tonight's speech will be critical. Stay tuned. - 12:34:00 PM
PULLING A 1960: Dan Drezner concurs with my assessment of what's going on in Boston:
"America's armed forces need better equipment, better training, and better pay," Bush said in his 2000 convention speech. If that line sounds familiar, it's because just about every major Democratic speaker this week has said almost exactly the same thing. Who would have thought that the man many believe to be the most conservative president in modern history could be outflanked from the right? And by the so-called most liberal man in the Senate.
No wonder Frumpy is so grumpy. - 12:27:35 PM GRUMPY: David Frum is getting grumpier by the day (Advantage Kerry!). But I was struck by one line in his most recent diary. Here it is:
It's never good to see a former chairman of the joint chiefs endorsing a Democrat.
Why not? I thought Frum wanted the Democrats to become more serious about national defense and terrorism. If the candidate can persuade a bunch of former generals that he is the best choice in the war, and if the convention goes out of its way to restore the Democrats' commitment to national security in a way not seen in decades, why is that a bad thing? Oh, I forgot. All that matters is Republican partisanship. Whatever their record. Whatever they stand for. Whoever their opponents are.
EDWARDS ON THE WAR: I didn't think a huge amount of his speech as a work of rhetoric. Because his "two-America" riff had been chopped up for time constraints, it never quite caught fire the way it did in the primaries. But as politics, it was powerful. Edwards couldn't afford to be too good, in case he overshadow the big guy. And the speech had the important effect of showing Edwards to be someone who actually cares about ordinary people, an area where, to put it kindly, John Forbes Kerry is not terribly accomplished. Elizabeth Edwards is also a major asset: smart, self-made, empathetic. (I'm particularly impressed by how both of them have maintained what appears to be such a good marriage. You cannot help but respect anyone who keeps a marriage together after losing a child. It's one of the hardest things on earth.) It doesn't hurt that Elizabeth is a little on the heavy side either. Hey, someone has to look like America. But the speech itelf was remarkable for one single reason - and it's the same reason I've been banging on about since this infomercial began on Monday. Edwards gave an immensely tough, hawkish pro-war speech. They really are pulling a Kennedy in 1960. One passage stood out, resplendent:
We will lead strong alliances. We will safeguard and secure our weapons of mass destruction. We will strengthen our homeland security, protect our ports, protect our chemical plants, and support our firefighters, police officers, EMTs. We will always... We will always use our military might to keep the American people safe. And we, John and I, we will have one clear unmistakable message for Al Qaida and these terrorists: You cannot run. You cannot hide. We will destroy you.
(By way of comparison, here's what yours truly, a pro-war neocon, proposed Kerry should say last Sunday night:
To the murderers of al Qaeda, let me say this. Do not even begin to interpret a Democratic victory as some sign that we will acquiesce to your murderous intent and nihilist politics. In the war against Jihadism, there is no Democrat or Republican. There is simply American. We will unite to defeat you and to secure our country.)
But there was more. Edwards committed his party to victory in Iraq:
With a new president who strengthens and leads our alliances, we can get NATO to help secure Iraq. We can ensure that Iraq's neighbors, like Syria and Iran, don't stand in the way of a democratic Iraq. We can help Iraq's economy by getting other countries to forgive their enormous debt and participate in the reconstruction. We can do this for the Iraqi people. We can do it for our own soldiers. And we will get this done right. A new president will bring the world to our side, and with it a stable Iraq, a real chance for freedom and peace in the Middle East, including a safe and secure Israel.
Howard Dean may spin that as a way to bring troops home. But Edwards also pledged more troops and more defense spending as a whole. I fail to see how Joe Lieberman could quibble with much that was in Edwards' address.
BUSH VERSUS UNITY: Edwards was also smart to bring together two important themes of this convention: unity and war. Here's the critical passage:
The truth is, the truth is that what John and I want, what all of us want if for our children and our grandchildren to be the first generations that grown up in an America that's no longer divided by race. We must build one America. We must be one America, strong and united for another very important reason: because we are at war.
It seems to me that a major and legitimate criticism of president Bush is that a successful war-president does not split his own nation into two. But Bush's hard-knuckled politics, his inability to reconcile with the Democrats, or with recalcitrant allies, or to reach out to those who disagree with him, have led to a deepening divide. Some of this is not his fault. Some of it was fostered by the left. But the Democrats have at least had the good sense to see this as a weakness and to promote themselves in a positive fashion as a unifying force. And it remains true that no president who truly took the responsibility of wartime seriously would be approving semi-legal gerry-mandering in Texas, or brutal campaigning in the mid-terms, or a constituional amendment to marginalize an entire minority. But Bush and Rove made that choice; and now they face the consequences. - 12:12:24 AM FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY: Domestically, I also thought Edwards was able to offer traditional Democratic support for the less fortunate without engaging in sour leftist resentment. I'm always moved by white Southern men of a certain generation who can also speak so effectively about civil rights. Not all of them have come around so passionately. And he balanced his big=spending with an honest description of how he'll pat for it:
And everybody listening here and at home is thinking one thing right now: OK, how are you going to pay for it? Right? Well, let me tell you how we're going to pay for it. And I want to be very clear about this. We are going to keep and protect the tax cuts for 98 percent of Americans -- 98 percent. We're going to roll back -- we're going to roll back the tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans. And we're going to close corporate loopholes.
I'd rather cut spending. But I'm not a Democrat. And the Democrats can now claim the mantle of fiscal responsibility that the GOP, under Bush and Hastert and Frist, has abandoned. It will be hard for Bush to defend the tax cuts for the very rich in a debate, especially one framed this way by the Democrats.
THE GOP DILEMMA: How can Bush respond to this increasingly effective message? His only real choice is to say what the Republican machine has been saying: don't believe them. They're liars and liberals who will sell out the war and our military as soon as they get the chance. Or, as some readers often inform me, a vote for Kerry will be a vote for annihilation at the hands of terrorists. Or they will keep going back to Kerry's record. None of this is out of bounds, but I don't think it's very effective. The trouble is that this line of attack comes across as so negative, as rooted in fear rather than hope. What Edwards accomplished last night was to make the Dems seem like the optimists in this race - those unafraid of the dangers of the world, happy warriors, if you will. And Ronald Reagan proved that optimism wins in American politics. What Bush has to do, I think, is not take the bait and go even more negative. He must point to progress in Iraq and Afghanistan and remind people who made that possible. If things deteriorate, of course, then Bush really is up a creek. And the dour Cheney up against sunny Edwards won't help. But again, Edwards played a strong and canny card last night. This campaign, whatever else it is, is intelligent and determined. I've long believed that the result of this election will not be close. Either Bush will be re-elected decisively or he will lose decisively. The odds on the latter just shortened again.
FISKING TERESA: She's now clearly a liability. Here's why.
QUOTE OF THE DAY: "As few as five people in black robes can look at a particular issue and determine for the rest of us, insinuate for the rest of us that they are speaking as the majority will. They are not." - Rep. John Hostettler, the Republican who authored the bill that would strip federal courts of the right to consider the constitutionality of the Defense of Marriage Act. But, of course, it could also be said about the five Supreme Court Justices who made George W. Bush the president of the United States. The Republicans love courts when they reach the right decision; they just despise them when they don't.
RAINES WATCH: An interesting correction on the Washington Post editorial page yesterday:
The July 27 op-ed column by Howell Raines misspelled the last name of David Kusnet and incorrectly said he was a speechwriter for President Jimmy Carter. Kusnet worked for President Bill Clinton.
Carter. Clinton. They were both Democrats, right? - 12:06:33 AM
Wednesday, July 28, 2004 STAYING HOME: Jon Chait confirms how unhip it is to go to Boston and reports on the DNC from his armchair.
RESPONDING TO THE 9/11 REPORT: The Onion asks some ordinary Americans. - 3:30:22 PM HOW DID I MISS THIS ONE? A reader makes an obvious point:
In the entry about the Simpsons character that will be coming out of the closet, you forgot Principal Skinner, who appears to be the obvious (and best) choice. Principal Skinner is a well respected professional male in his mid 40s. He is single (and has never had a serious relationship that we know of), and lives at home with his mother. Like many closeted homosexuals who struggle with their sexual orientation before coming out, Principal Skinner was caught hooking up with Ms. Edna Krabappel, a divorced and desperate co-worker (anyone else's gaydar would have instantly picked up on Skinner's secret). Moreover, he proposed marriage to Selma, Marge's sister, who is obviously a lesbian. His attraction to women is clearly a facade, designed to be an elaborate lie to both fool the community and perhaps even continue to deny his true sexuality. Moreover, Principal Skinner is obsessed with his image. He sits for endless sessions where his mother sketches his silhouette, and then he tacks the images all around his house. Additionally, he is a very neat and tidy person, always looking presentable and well-kempt, attributes that straight men of his age and situation do not usually personify. In sum, Andrew, it has becomes obvious that you ignored the most clear-cut choice when predicting which character will come out of the closet. Moreover, given his persuasion as a white, middle-aged, educated man, homosexual man, I would ask that you recommend Principal Skinner for honorary membership in the Log Cabin Republicans.
Sounds a lot like David Souter to me. - 3:20:45 PM THE GAY SIMPSONS: Could it be Chief Wiggum? The evidence is out there, a reader informs me:
From the Beer Baron episode:
Banner (Robert Stack-like incoming police chief): Well, what are you waiting for? Somebody to kiss you goodbye? Wiggum (wistfully): Well... no, no, no... I guess not...
From the episode where Ned's wife dies:
(Homer prepares a video promoting Ned Flanders' availability:) Homer: But don't take my word for it. Listen to this testimonial. Wiggum: [on tape] Oh I would date Ned in a second if I was a woman or gay. He looks like a cuddler, that Ned. I, I like that. I like to be held, I like to be pampered.
From the Marge on the lam episode:
Wiggum: Aw, just get one of those inflatable women. But make sure it's a woman, though, because one time I ... heh.
And wiggum, of course, is a trendy homo: he's a bear! Some Simpsons enthusiast has even put together all the gay references in the series. You can find it here. For the record, it's probably Patty Bouvier.
EMAIL OF THE DAY: "Don't apologize for your response to the Monday night program of speakers at the DNC. You got the big story, while most others did not. Kerry has adopted the tone and content of the pro-war liberals, and has gotten to the center first. It's the real news of the convention, and was neither altogether predictable, nor inevitable. And he is able to impose that discipline on the Democratic party. The Republicans deride the seriousness of Kerry's choice, preferring to call it a "makeover." The Democrats prefer not to think about it very seriously since many don't actually agree with the choice. Only someone like yourself, who is ideologically independent, actually saw with clarity what happened. Your companions on the right make fun of you for being naive. Tell them to shove it." More feedback on the Letters Page.
THANKS: A sincere and deep word of thanks to all of you who have contributed so far in this pledge week. By being so positive about the Democrats this week, I haven't exactly picked the smartest moment to ask for support. But, hey, I figure if you like this blog, it cannot be because you agree with me all the time. I've yet to find a single reader who does. So thanks for your open minds and generosity. It has helped keep this completely independent website running for over four years now - an achievement for the new medium in itself. If you haven't donated yet, and would like to, the details are here. - 1:43:41 PM THE SIMPSONS IN THE CLOSET: Someone is due to come out on the Simpsons this season, according to its producers. Who will it be? It cannot be Waylon Smithers: he's already out. Patty, Marge's sister? Carl, Homer's workplace buddy? Jimbo, Bart's school bully? My own favorite: Groundskeeper Willie. No straight man has that good a body at his age. Dark horse: Ned Flanders. He's a born-again with a very well-manicured mustache. Hmmm. Any other suggestions?
THE CRAWFORD WIVES: A below-the-belt but relatively amusing NARAL ad.
QUOTE OF THE DAY: "Europeans mock American religiosity. But American religion, for all its attendant idiocies and cruelties, has never prevented Americans from acting pragmatically. Secular Western European intellectuals, however, have their own version of religion. It is a social-democratic religion that deifies international organizations such as the Red Cross, Amnesty International, and, above all, the U.N. Not NATO, which is about waging war, and which has for that reason been the target of much European criticism in recent years; no, the NGOs are about waging peace, love, brotherhood, and solidarity, and, as such, are, for the elites of Western Europe, beyond criticism, for they embody Western Europe’s most cherished idea of itself and of the way the world works, or should work. The elites’ enthusiasm for these institutions, whether or not they are genuinely effective or even admirable, is a matter of maintaining a certain self-image and illusion of the world that is intimately tied up with their identity as social democrats; America’s unforgivable offense, as Kagan notes, is that it challenges that image and that illusion; and the degree to which the reality of America is distorted in the Western European media is a measure of the desperate need among Western European elites to preserve that self-image and illusion." - from Bruce Bawer's excellent review-essay, "Hating America."
GOP GAY-BAITING: Check out the top right-hand picture of Edwards and Kerry on this Republican site, challenging the Democratic convention. They make it look as if Edwards and Kerry are about to lip-lock. This has been a mild tactic so far, but it's getting blatant. And it's another indication that gay-baiting is now a central plank of the GOP. - 1:31:07 PM THE POINTLESSNESS OF BEING THERE: I've been reading the blogs from the actual convention and I have to sya they're telling me nothing new or interesting. Here's a particularly desperate missive from Reason's usually excellent blog, trying to find something to write about:
One Exceedingly Trivial Thing You Probably Didn’t Know About Larry King. He doesn't walk, he sashays -- left hand on hip, pinkie and ring-finger sticking out at dramatic angles, as he swivel-shoulders down the hallway with his jacket collar half flipped up. Looks like a 70-year-old former Teddy Boy who is very comfortable with his feminine side.
Sooo glad I know that. In Boston, hacks outnumber delegates by four to one. Mickey is reduced to quoting cab drivers. Jonah is writing about his hotel. What a complete waste of time and money. Look, I think these conventions should be televised for two hours a night on the networks. Both political parties should have a chance to present themselves and their candidates as effectively as possible. But the notion that being there has any real journalistic merit is preposterous. Next time, the bloggers should save the money and switch to C-Span.
GAYS FOR BUSH: Finally, an argument that made me turn my head:
It amazes me that you have become so disturbed by the Republican rhetorical attacks that you are throwing away strategy in favor of useless emotional retribution. Every recent extremist Republican maneuver against gays has served only to assist the gay rights agenda. Whether it be the anti-gay anti-sodomy state laws that were overturned or the rejection of a vote on the FMA. The conservatives are aiding the gay cause by creating a legal paper trail of defeats for their side. Additionally, having radical anti-gay conservatives polarizes Americans in favor of gay rights. Not to sound too much like the Shining Path, but creating a vastly unfair current situation can be a faster method of eventually reaching the goal of fairness than patching up the inequity with half solutions (civil unions.) Separate but equal had a very long life span in race relations; we don’t want the same to happen with gay rights. Supporting democrats who support the 'separate but equal' standard is a step back in achieving equality.
I think this reader has a point. Gays have two options: a party that despises their civil rights and a party that takes gay votes for granted. There are risks on both sides. But when you have people like Rick Santorum leading the crusade against gay dignity, gays win. When someone like Bush appears to be coming from the 1950s in his attitudes toward gays, gays win. The danger is that these people actually get things passed - stripping gays of civil rights, of the right to form private contracts, of the right to serve their country, penalizing people with HIV in immigration law, and so on. But their extremism is so palpable that they often fail and their prejudice is so obvious that they turn moderates off. Clinton, on the other hand, made anti-gay discrimination acceptable - by signing DOMA (while he was committing adultery!), by doubling the rate of gay discharges from the military, by making HIV-positive immigrants illegal, and so on. I have similar worries about Kerry. But I'm not sure a gay person can risk the damage the Republicans would do to gay lives, security and civil rights. Bush clearly wants to deny gay couples any legal protection for their relationships, and will never stray from the dictates of James Dobson and Rick Santorum on the issue. It would take an awful amount of cynicism to reward that. - 12:16:37 PM BUSH AND KERRY HAD SEX: At least according to Tom Brokaw. But Bush won't get married, natch. - 11:54:16 AM OBAMA'S DEBUT: I don't know enough about Barack Obama to judge whether he will be a good senator on a range of issues, but from his speech tonight, it's hard to think he anything but a stellar future. What he emphasized was another theme of this conservative convention: that the country must and can unite. It's a brilliant maneuver to pose as (and exemplify, in some cases) a force to overcome the divisions within the country, divisions that make all of us frayed and often testy in a time of grave danger. America is deeply thirsty for a black leader who is first and foremost an American leader; and for any leader who can reach out to both sides of the culture war. Obama struck many conservative notes: of self-reliance, of opportunity, of hard work, of an immigrant's dream, of the same standards for all of us. Which Republican couldn't say exactly the following words:
This year, in this election, we are called to reaffirm our values and commitments, to hold them against a hard reality and see how we are measuring up, to the legacy of our forbearers, and the promise of future generations.
Burke in a sentence. Obama also found, I think, the best anti-war formulation for the Democrats. here it is:
When we send our young men and women into harm's way, we have a solemn obligation not to fudge the numbers or shade the truth about why they're going, to care for their families while they're gone, to tend to the soldiers upon their return, and to never– ever– go to war without enough troops to win the war, secure the peace, and earn the respect of the world. Now let me be clear. We have real enemies in the world. These enemies must be found. They must be pursued – and they must be defeated. John Kerry knows this.
So the anti-Bush argument is framed in terms of defending our troops. I also think that the term "shade the truth" is far more defensible rhetoric against the White House than the cant about lying and misleading the country. I still don't believe there was any deliberate shading of any truth. But it's a deft way of laying into the administration while not sounding like Michael Moore.
BEYOND RACE: Domestically, Obama's appeal is even stronger. He framed his belief in government with a defense of self-reliance and conservative values. It's a Clintonite formula, delivered with Blairite sincerity:
The people I meet – in small towns and big cities, in diners and office parks – they don't expect government to solve all their problems. They know they have to work hard to get ahead – and they want to. Go into the collar counties around Chicago, and people will tell you they don't want their tax money wasted, by a welfare agency or the Pentagon. Go into any inner city neighborhood, and folks will tell you that government alone can't teach kids to learn – they know that parents have to parent, that children can't achieve unless we raise their expectations and turn off the television sets and eradicate the slander that says a black youth with a book is acting white. No, people don't expect government to solve all their problems. But they sense, deep in their bones, that with just a change in priorities, we can make sure that every child in America has a decent shot at life, and that the doors of opportunity remain open to all. They know we can do better. And they want that choice.
Conservative values, Democratic compassion. In the constant churn and dialectic of American politics, this is a new fusion - and the Dems have found a young, racially diverse, eloquent voice. Can you think of any current Republican with that kind of fresh appeal and smart politics? Only Arnold comes close. The Republicans would love to have someone of Obama's caliber - but they have failed to attract them. That is their tragedy, and it is only deepened in a party that gave rise to Trent Lott and Tom DeLAy. Obama is the Democrats' hope. Heck, he is the hope for all of us. - 12:02:27 AM THE TERESA PROBLEM: On the other hand, the rest of last night was pretty grim. Kennedy was utterly uninspired; Dean was dreadful (what was I ever thinking when I thought he was a good candidate?); and children should never be allowed on political podiums. Ron Reagan was excruciating, but the issue is a real one, and is one of those where the Democrats can show how the religious right completely controls the current White House. Heinz-Kerry's speech obviously should not have been given. Until now, I've never worried about Teresa in any substantive sense. I love her freshness, her attitude, her difference, and the fact that she is a multi-lingual immigrant. But we won't be electing her and I have no interest in her half-baked political pablum. It is not a feminist achievement to use your marriage as a device to gain political power. Hillary is now a respectable pol because she got elected. H-K's lecture was condescending, unnecessary and pointless. We needed to know who she is. We only know a bit more than we did. We found out nothing about her husband. She was also dull - in the way that very rich people often are. It's been so long that they ever really needed to worry what other people think that they lose the capacity for caring. I just hope to God that Teresa will not be running the White House. For the first time, she's a net negative in my view of whether Kerry could be a good president. - 12:01:44 AM
Tuesday, July 27, 2004 GOOD NEWS IN THE WAR: From rising star, Ryan Sager, we get the following information about an independent poll in Afghanistan:
With the situation in Iraq seen by many as a mess, Afghanistan has a constitution, is registering voters and is moving toward holding a presidential election in October. And the survey of 804 randomly selected male and female Afghan citizens, commissioned by the Asia Foundation notes that: * 64 percent say the country is heading in the right direction. * 81 percent say that they plan to vote in the October election. * 77 percent say they believe the elections will "make a difference." * 64 percent say they rarely or never worry about their personal safety, while under the Taliban only 36 percent felt that way. * 62 percent rate President Hamid Karzai's performance as either good or excellent.
This is Bush and Blair's legacy. And they deserve every credit for it. Then in Iraq, in the New York Times, we read the following about preparations for a new assembly:
The biggest problem so far, organizers say, is that among the groups that want to take part, there has been an almost unmanageable number of candidates. In Kut, a Shiite city south of Baghdad, 1,248 people competed for 22 seats. In Najaf, a city considered sacred by Shiites because of its shrines, there were 920 candidates for 20 seats, prompting complaints from Mr. Sadr's group and other leaders that the process was not inclusive or democratic enough.
The Arab world not ready for democracy? When candidates outnumber seats by four to one? This is a deeply encouraging sign - and it is Bush's and Blair's achievement as well.
DERB'S HERO: Remember when National Review's in-house bigot, John Derbyshire, got all excited about a Scottish hotelier throwing a gay couple out of his bed and breakfast because they wanted to sleep in a double bed? The man is now running for the Scottish parliament on an anti-homosexual agenda. Not that he's homophobic, of course. No one is, any more, are they? Here's the money quote: "I am not homophobic. What they need is medical treatment because there's something medically wrong with them. They need psychiatric treatment to get them out of it." Why doesn't Karl Rove offer the guy a job?
- 11:59:28 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY IV: "The e-mails you have posted recently validate so many of your beliefs about this election year. If you cut Kerry some slack, you're told he's just acting. He'll swoop into office, hand the keys to Chirac, beg the UN to forgive us, invite al Qaeda to Camp David, pull out the troops and start cutting defense spending, because, hey, it's what he did before in the Senate and he can't possibly change approaches to suit the times. No Democrat can ever do that! They are always soft on defense, always raise taxes, always increase entitlements, blah blah blah. If you cut Bush some slack, from your very defensible position that someone like him was needed in the last 3 years, but wonder now if his tunnel-vision, take-no-prisoners, arrogant style is well-suited to the next 4 years, you are abandoning our pet pit bull just when we need someone with true convictions. Again, blah blah blah. There's a whole bunch of us out here who don't think all Dems by virtue of party affiliation are hopelessly unprepared to fight battles, and who also think Republicans can and should be more than jingoistic he-men. Sadly, the country has mostly already decided they like or hate the somewhat ditzy but dedicated kick-ass. If Kerry can act the kick-ass (and acting is all it is, folks - don't fool yourselves on either side) enough to convince some Republicans that he'll continue to pound the crap out of terrorists, he's in. All Bush can hold onto with his party loyalists is the war and hating gays ... what else has he done that'll warm a Republican's heart?" - more feedback on the Letters Page. - 6:50:12 PM MOORE VERSUS O'REILLY: Both are repulsive in different ways. But O'Reilly, at least, has some grip on the truth and on morality. He wins this exchange outright, I'd say. But the exchange also highlights the difficulty of the Bush administration and its supporters on the Iraq war. In my view, they made the right decision; and they didn't lie. But they were wrong - spectacularly wrong - on the major plank they used to justify the war. Where does the accountability for that lie, if not, ultimately, with the president? And how does a president who has made such a massive error - however understandably - retain the confidence of the public to continue what is a vital war? Those are the questions this election must answer. The president has publicly held no one accountable, unless you count the departure of George Tenet (whom Bush praised to the skies). Will the voters now hold Bush responsible? Or will the prospect of Kerry get Bush off the hook once again? - 6:41:47 PM KERRY'S ECONOMICS: According to Ryan Lizza, they're Clintonomics:
The message from Altman and Rubin was that Kerry is a passionate advocate of Clintonomics--especially an emphasis on deficit reduction and the return of congressional spending rules. Altman made a point of noting that like no other politician he knows, Kerry has publicly said he would trim some of his spending priorities back to achieve a fiscally conservative budget. Rubin made a point of answering a question about Kerry's decision-making style by telling an anecdote about how he and Sperling once left a meeting with Kerry marveling about how he reminded them of their old boss. "Gene said to me, 'You know, this is just like being with Clinton,'" Rubin said.
Deficit reduction? Spending restraint? Well, at least you know they're not Bush Republicans. - 5:07:14 PM
EMAIL OF THE DAY I: "You made insightful points regarding what George W. has done wrong during his presidency. I think the worst offense (among many) was hubris. It was offensive. But, but, but, but, but I sense that you are now engaging in delusional behavior, and trying to convince yourself that Kerry can be your guy - because you - like so many others - want to believe there is a better choice than George W . . . I'm sorry, Andrew, but no matter how many reverends, ex-presidents, rock and film stars, and shots of his (distinguished) service in Vietnam the DNC will show you - he is still - sadly - John F. Kerry - you can't fool yourself - you're too smart for that. If Kerry gets in, he's my president too (and I'll root for him daily), and W. will have himself (and fight club - Rummy, Cheney, Wolfie, Scooter, et. al.) to thank - but the implications of a Kerry presidency are really bad. Please don't lose sight of that in your quest for a better answer. Please understand that there truly is NO conviction in Kerry, no matter what he tells you on Thursday. He has proven this. Now is a time when we need conviction - not political expediency or grand deliberative schemes or intellectual grandeur. Seriously, Andrew - a nice tall cup of strong black coffee is in order here!" - 2:26:50 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY II: "I've read how Americans are polarized, only listening to the media that reinforces their beliefs. I am a life long Democrat, but when I started reading blogs, I thought it was important to get the other side of the story. I chose your blog because it seemed honest and intellectually fair. Even when I disagree with one of your positions, your reasons and comments made sense. You've influenced me. I'm hoping there are others like me that are open to hearing more than one side of a story. I'm a Democrat, but a more conservative one for having read you. For Republicans, can that be a bad thing? I know you're getting grief for being open to considering Kerry, but because of you, I'm much more open to a conservative message."
EMAIL OF THE DAY III: "Andrew, dear, you've pretty much panned the selection of the prime time speakers at the upcoming Republican Convention for being, in effect, too moderate, and therefore, not a true reflection of the Administration, but you've apparently gone gaga (on Day 1, I might add) over the "Republican-esque" tone and content over at the Fleet Center. You're a smart guy. Do you honestly believe that "the tightly scripted...seamlessly on...centrist message" was anything but an act? Spewing what's become the standard anti-Bush (i.e., Bush Lied! Bush is Hitler! Bush Betrayed Us! Bus Misled Me!) lines would turn off soccer moms (or I suppose it's now more like security moms). And it's a smart move.....their only move. But, if you're going to keep hammering away at Bush for his stance on gay marriage and spending, you can't go wobbly on Kerry and his 20-year record of defense and intelligence cuts, and his oh-so-Sept-10th view that terrorism can best be handled via subpoenas and criminal complaints and nice-nice talk with Chirac. Jeez, if you're so caught up by the script already, what are you going to do after Day 2, 3, and 4's Academy Award performances? PS, Did you catch the sycophants fawning over Michael Moore as he strode across the convention floor? Now, that's more like it. No script there. No-sir-ree." - 2:21:22 PM OH WELL: I was all enthused by the smart tactics of the Democrats on opening night, and then I find out almost no one watched it. No one even watched the ten o'clock hour, let alone what went before. A pity. This is too important an election to switch off.
- 2:05:31 PM THE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRATS: I'm still somewhat in shock at the first night of the Democratic Convention. I kept thinking I was at a Republican convention. Tightly scripted, elegantly choreographed, seamlessly on the centrist message of war, unity, maturity and judgment. Foreign policy was front and center; faith was showcased; military service was held up as the ideal; prudent leadership was touted in a time of "peril," in Hillary's word. I wonder if they can keep this up. But I'm amazed they've tried. I've been writing for months now that Kerry's most effective message would be that he'd conduct the war on terror with more allies and more wisdom than Bush. But I never actually believed he'd be canny enough to do exactly that. But he has! If the first night is any indicator, the Democrats have played the smartest, strongest card of the campaign so far. First off, they put 9/11 front and foremost, insisting that this is their catastrophe too, and the center of their concerns as well. A vital move. And it was done movingly and well. I had a catch in my throat as "Amazing Grace" struck up, and another as I absorbed the fact that a Muslim-American and a Jewish-American had just joined in tribute to the murdered. Ironic, isn't it, that the Republican convention was placed in New York in early September precisely to evoke memories of 9/11, and yet, by coming first, the Democrats may have dented that advantage with their innovative commemmoration. And the 9/11 set-piece dealt with a deeper problem as well. It is a feature of incumbency during moments and periods of trauma that the president inevitably becomes associated with the national expressions of grief, determination, unity. By the same token, the opposition, especially one that comes to question the conduct of the war, may come to find itself disassociated. Last night, the Democrats did all they could to erase and undo that impression. Rhetorically, at least, they were saying: this is our war too. But we can pursue it more wisely and effectively than the well-meaning hothead now in office. And there was a subtler message as well. Remember when we were one as a nation? Do you really think that president Bush is capable of bringing any of us together again? Of course, some Democrats are responsible for exactly that polarization. But it's nevertheless a smart move to portray themselves as a unifying future compared to the divisive past.
Monday, July 26, 2004 THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY: The cultural signals were superbly done as well. Kerry's former boatmate touched on faith and courage and the military, as well as implicitly evoking Kerry as a unifying figure. I lost count of the number of times John Kerry's possibly future title was described as "commander-in-chief." We were constantly reminded that Kerry would attack in his aluminum boat, rather than be merely defensive. Jimmy Carter's speech was one of the best I've ever heard from him; and the genius of it was that Carter went against type. He re-introduced himself as a navy veteran, and was most effective mentioning those presidents who had actually been in the military: Eisenhower and Truman, under whom Carter served. Now listen to this passage:
Today -- today our Democratic Party is led by another former naval officer, one who volunteered for military service. He showed up when assigned to duty -- and he served with honor and distinction. He also knows the horrors of war and the responsibilities of leadership. And I am confident that next January he would restore the judgment and maturity to our government that nowadays is sorely lacking.
Kerry showed up. Kerry is as tough as Bush - but with "judgment and maturity." And in case you didn't get the message: "The biggest reason to make John Kerry president is even more important. It is to safeguard the security of our nation." From a former president, that's tough stuff; and Carter delivered an attack-speech that was all the more effective for being measured and often damning by mere inference. Less, someone has finally figured out, is more. (Of course, I'm leaving aside here the sheer chutzpah of Jimmy Carter giving anyone lessons on defending this country, or, for that matter, fighting the war on terror. My point is merely that Carter sketched exactly the centrist-conservative narrative that the campaign is obviously trying to portray. And it worked.)
TO THE RIGHT OF BUSH: For the Democrats to run to the right of Bush on the war - while leaving behind the question of whether the war in Iraq was right or not - is their only hope of victory, but also, oddly enough, the most direct path to victory. They also evoked the anxiety many Americans have that, in a time of war, they are so reviled around the world. Americans are prepared to fight alone, but they'd prefer not to. Carter spoke to those anxieties:
After 9/11, America stood proud, wounded but determined and united. A cowardly attack on innocent civilians brought us an unprecedented level of cooperation and understanding around the world. But in just 34 months we have watched with deep concern as all this good will has been squandered by a virtually unbroken series of mistakes and miscalculations.
If you're a worried undecided voter, you may nott agree with all that. But you'll be troubled by enough of it to consider Kerry. And then there was the gut-punch: the indirect use of Bush's dubious National Guard service. In fact, the way in which the Democrats used the service record of Kerry against Bush was straight out of the Republican playbook. It's a pretty low blow, and Carter delivered it with a deep thud. When you describe someone as weak on defense and a draft-dodger, you're usually a Republican. But not this time. - 11:59:12 PM
CLINTON AT HIS BEST: Carter's was the better speech, but Clinton was magnificent. I think he was better last night than at either of his own conventions and certainly better than any of his SOTUs. He performed a brilliant rhetorical trick: he deployed the usual canards used against him to buttress Kerry. Rather than attack the wealthy as recjpients of tax cuts, he attacked himself as a now-wealthy man. And then the coup de grace: he put himself and Bush in the same camp as draft-dodgers, in stark comparison to the patriotic Kerry! My jaw was on the floor at that point in a mixture of admiration and horror. But it was mighty effective. And the way in which he described the cost of the tax cut in terms of squandered attempts to improve homeland defense was another smart move. Use the Republican tax cut issue against the Republican security issue. Wedge against them for once. If the constitution didn't prevent it, the man would still be president. After last night's speech, you can see why.
THE PANS: Yes, there were some duds. Whose great idea was it to have Glenn Close as a speaker? She's an actress! And she even flubbed her lines. Oh and Tammy Baldwyn and Barbara Mikulski make the dullest femme and butch act I've ever seen. Hillary was pedestrian, as always.
BUSH LOSES MINORITIES: Here's an interesting nugget of polling. After three years, George W. Bush has lost some appeal among minorities and become a much more exclusively white evangelical president. here's the Annenberg data:
As the Democratic National Convention begins, 66 percent of African-American registered voters called themselves Democrats and just 7 percent say they are Republicans, numbers almost unchanged since 2000, when it was 65 to 7 percent. Among registered Hispanics, Democrats now outnumber Republicans 45 to 24 percent, compared to a 39 to 21 percent margin in 2000. But among registered white Protestants who described themselves as born-again or evangelical - a share of the population bigger than blacks and Hispanics together -- Republicans now enjoy majority status. Fifty-one percent of this group called themselves Republicans, while 22 percent said they were Democrats. Four years ago, 43 percent said they were Republicans and 24 percent said they were Democrats. Seventy-one percent of registered white evangelical and born-again Christians now view Bush favorably and just 19 percent see him unfavorably, up from 63 percent favorable, 19 percent unfavorable in 2000. That ratio is reversed among African-Americans, where 12 percent view Bush favorably and 72 percent unfavorably. In July of 2000, 34 percent had a favorable view and just 40 percent an unfavorable opinion.
It's important to understand that this was a deliberate choice by Rove: to increase the base before you reach out to others. He has been successful. And Bush may lose because of it. - 11:58:02 PM
EMAIL OF THE DAY: "I am not sure you understand your critics. As a longtime reader (and future reader), I am scratching my head at your endorsement of Kerry. Not because you are wrong on your criticisms of Bush (I may disagree, but not substantially so), but where does President Kerry make anything better? Even on gay rights: do you think that gay rights will become better/worse no matter who is President? If Bush is elected the Senate will prevent any backsliding on rights, and the same Senate will not allow Kerry (if he were inclined - which he is not) to promote a "pro-gay rights" agenda. This effectively becomes a non-issue, so base your vote on something - anything - else. Beyond that, the war on terror, government spending, free trade - pick one any one. I just cannot see Kerry as an improvement. Maybe the argument is that Kerry will be a Clinton and the fight against a Republican Congress will prevent the government from doing anything dumb, but then put your blame on the shoulders of the men and women who deserve it - the senators and congressmen and women. Just call me an ABK - "Anyone But Kerry" voter - disappointed in the President's abandonment of conservative ideals, but knowing the alternative is a heck of a lot worse." I take these points. and that's why I haven't said I'm endorsing Kerry - despite all the hyperventilating on some hard-right sites. But I'm open to being persuaded and, given the nation-building challenges of the next few years, and Bush's obvious inability to master the art, I'm not sure Kerry would be such a disaster in the war. As for free trade, I think it's a wash. Same with the deficit, although I think Kerry won't get his healthcare proposal through and so might be better than Bush. Government spending? If the House stays Republican, Kerry will be much better than Bush. - 6:31:14 PM VIRGINIA ON MODO: Now why doesn't Postrel grace the op-ed columns of the NYT? Postrel versus Ehrenreich: two women columnists who don't do chick lit. - 6:21:24 PM STAY TUNED: I'll be instapunditing tonight and every night of the DNC shindig. And please hit the tip-jar to keep the blog alive.
THE SLIMING OF ARMSTRONG: It's not only the French.
- 6:05:51 PM A SOLDIER: Responds to Michael Moore. "Fahrenheit 9/11" is having a devastating effect on morale. Which was, of course, the point. - 4:19:05 PM
ONE ISSUE ANDREW: Since I'm getting swamped by emails lambasting me for leaning toward giving Kerry a shot, it may be worth defending myself from the assertion encapsulated by the following email:
Why don't you just admit it Andrew? Whom ever supports Gay marriage can count on your support.
Of course, John Kerry doesn't support marriage rights for gay people. And in 2000, George W. Bush, whom I endorsed, didn't support equal marriage rights. I haven't noticed my supporting Al Sharpton or Dennic Kucinich on those lines either. The notion that someone who has views about a whole host of topics and who has backed both Bill Clinton and George W. Bush for the presidency is some kind of one-issue voter strikes me as deeply unfair. But telling. I should say up-front that, of course, the president's support for the most extreme measure imaginable on the issue of marriage - a constitutional amendment - has obviously affected my view of him. The fact that he did so without even attempting to explain himself to the gay community or even his gay supporters merely compounded it. Many of you think it's no big deal, and you're entitled to believe that. For someone who has spent much of his adult life arguing for gay equality and for gay inclusion in the Republican party, it obviously is a big deal. How could it not be? If Bush favored an amendement restrcting the rights of, say, Catholics, would anyone be surprised if a Catholic decided not to support him on that basis? Would the blame be assigned to the voter or the president? The very notion that a gay person should simply acquiesce in the FMA is itself an expression of prejudice against gay people and the legitimacy of their aspirations and beliefs.
MANY ISSUES ANDREW: But, of course, my concerns about Bush are emphatically not merely related to the marriage issue. The blog speaks for itself on this - over the last few years. From the minute Baghdad fell, I expressed concern about hubris and chaos. At the first sign of fiscal disaster, I called Bush to account for his spending policies. As a cultural liberal, I'm obviously alienated by Bush's embrace of everything and anything James Dobson says. As a believer in free trade, I was offended by steel tariffs; as a federalist, I was appalled by his incursion on states' rights, from marriage to marijuana; as a balanced-budget conservative, I was horrified by the president's insouciance toward deficits and expansion of entitlements; as a strong believer in the moral superiority of American values, Abu Ghraib was an indelible lapse, however effectively it is white-washed by the Defense Department. Does all this represent a capitulation to the "left"? On all these matters, I'd argue that my core principles remain unchanged. Should the war trump every other issue? In some ways, yes. But, as I have argued, I'm not sure that the choice is as stark as some want to make it out to be. I have yet to discern a distinction between Bush's and Kerry's Iran policy, for example. If our major unfinished task is "nation-building," I'm not convinced Kerry would be much worse than Bush. And Bush's errors - the WMD debacle, for example - have definitely made him less effective on the world stage. No British prime minister will go out on a limb for an American president in the foreseeable future. Pre-emption has been largely discredited - by Bush himself. When I listen to the president on the war, I am heartened by his support for democracy. I take back not a word of praise for his conduct after 9/11 and during the buildup to the Iraq war. But I think he has shown himself to be at worst incompetent and at best feckless in many aspects of the conduct of the war at a time when such lapses are unforgivable. All this leads me to look at the alternative. Heaven knows I have been critical of Kerry. But I want to give him a chance. So sue me. I know in this polarized climate, such indecision is rare and punished. But it's my best take on what's going on. And the joy of a blog is that I can simply write that - and let the chips fall where they may. - 3:16:00 PM BEGGING TIME: The good news is that our traffic keeps going up. The bad news is that our bandwidth costs have also risen, and although I was hoping to go a full year without asking for more support, the site needs some extra cash to keep going at least until the election. If you read this site regularly and have never contributed, please take a moment to send $20 or more our way. If you have contributed in the past, please help us again with another donation. We've deliberately kept this site reader-supported, because the community of readers it now sustains is, to my mind, its greatest asset. You can see that from the Letters Page, where I am regularly corrected, rebutted and challenged by some of the smartest readers on the web. The blog is also, of course, hard work. This year alone, I've written 300,000 words for the site, provided hundreds of links, comments, provocations, and written morning, noon and deep into the night to keep the site up to date. I don't expect to get paid at the same rates as I do for other work, but I do need to keep the site financed without dipping into my own pockets, and a small stipend for the work involved strikes me as a fair bargain. I know I've annoyed lots of you this year, but that's what independent writers do. It's what a blog allows for a writer - the space to challenge partisan boundaries where other sites will not. So please take a moment to keep this blog - and its community of readers - alive and well and poised for one of the most interesting campaigns of my lifetime. Click here to contribute.
HBO VERSUS BUSH: An emailer wrotes:
The past two episodes of "Six Feet Under" on HBO (July 18 and 25) included several anti-Bush lines spoken by the performers, plus a prominent product placement for an anti-Republican book. None of these occurences advanced a story line or character; they were gratuitous throwaways. Here, as best as I can recollect, is what I saw: In the July 18 episode, Nat is reading the paper, and says (paraphrasing), "Man that Bush just lies and lies and nobody does anything about it." His mother Ruth responds only by addressing his recent bitterness. The political angle never comes up again. Until the July 25th episode. This time it's Ruth's husband George, reading "Perfectly Legal," a book by a New York Times reporter claiming that the super-rich gouge the middle class. As he puts the book down he says (paraphrasing), "They're just hollowing out the middle class until there's nobody left." Later in the episode he's seen reading the book again. Nothing else in these scenes addresses this activity. In the same episode, Claire and her friends create art on the walls of her room, making several comments along the lines of "dropping bombs and calling it peace," and painting the phrase "Terror Starts at Home" on the wall. Here's the ironic thing about this kind of stealth political campaigning: it's easier to follow the money behind it than in the more up-front kind.
But I also have the feeling this stuff just washes off an audience - especially one sophisticated enough to enjoy "Six Feet Under." - 1:51:36 PM WHO THE BLOGGERS ARE: Here's a WSJ round-up of the bloggers at the DNC convention. When I started this blog over four years ago - yes, when Clinton was president and 9/11 was unimaginable - it never occurred to me that this new media methodology would take off quite as quickly as it has. Good for all of them. - 1:49:32 PM LIBERTARIANS FOR BUSH?? Another reader chimes in:
I don't know how the reader whose letter you posted can see Bush as in any way libertarian. Does s/he not remember the state of the union address where he called for mandatory drug testing for high school students? Does s/he not remember that he federalized crime by signing the partial birth abortion ban? Does s/he not remember that he favors state intervention into a woman's womb, or that he was appalled by the Lawrence decision or favored sodomy laws while Governor of Texas? Does s/he not think that anti-smoking laws are just as much products of the puritan right as of the politically correct left? Did s/he not notice that Bush was itching to re-up the assault rifle ban? Or that he has used federal dollars for "faith based initiatives" which could impede both the establishment clause as well as the equal protection clause when homos are able to be disriminated against? Where in anything that Bush has done is the spirit of John Stuart Mill, John Locke or Ronald Reagan?
I'm with this guy. Bush, of course, never pretended to be much of a small government libertarian type, and he shouldn't be blamed for misrepresenting himself. But he has certainly disappointed that wing of the party more profoundly than anyone I know expected.
KERRY AND LANGSTON HUGHES: He's edited a book of Hughes' poetry as a tie-in for the election. Noah has the details.
LIBERTARIANS FOR BUSH: A reader writes in:
You posed the question "Why would libertarians vote for Bush?" Well, I hold many libertarian views, hate the war on drugs, and yet support Bush emphatically. Why? Well, I don't think the left will do anything to remediate the drug problem right now (to be fair, they can't without getting whacked). But the left does and will support infringements such as anti-smoking laws, seatbelt laws, hate crime laws (and maybe hate speech laws soon?) and so on. I assert that, overall, the much greater threats to our civil liberties emanate from the left. Furthermore, the left will infringe upon us with ever greater spending, ever spiraling entitlement programs, and ever more punitive taxation. If you believe that a Kerry administration will reduce the deficit, I think you must be smoking some of that "stronger" pot! Income taxes are regressive and damaging to productivity and personal incentive, not to mention a blatant and expensive method of redistributing wealth.
I guess my problem with this is that it would be extremely hard to raise spending and borrowing as swiftly as Bush has and I simply do not trust him to restrain spending in the second term. He clearly doesn't care about the size of government, unless attacking it wins him votes. I don't see much difference between Bush Republicanism and Kerry liberalism on nanny-state issues - Bush is a strong supporter of hate crime laws, for example, (except for the gays, who are uniquely excluded from such protections). I guess I believe that supporting a Republican who is anathema to libertarian conservatives is a bad thing in general. But, hey, it's not as if Kerry is that great either.
NOT SO STRONG: The new super-pot notion is rebutted - at least in Britain. - 12:29:11 PM
Sunday, July 25, 2004
- 10:15:17 PM KERRY'S TO LOSE: This week strikes me as easily the most important week for the Kerry candidacy. The voters who will decide this election have already, I think, made up their minds that they could live without a second Bush term. This is not because they necessarily hate Bush (many don't, including me); nor because they believe that his war and economic policies have been failures (again, I think the record is mixed); but because his conduct of the war in the last year has been wracked with error and hubris, and his economic policy relies upon tax cuts that we simply cannot afford with the kind of spending levels Bush has also enacted. I think it's also clear that, in so far as some swing voters are libertarian in outlook, Bush has shown his authoritarian, anti-federalist colors. This administration is uninterested in restraining government power, in balancing the budget, in winning over opponents (as opposed to sliming them), and in allowing people to live their own lives free from government moralism. There is not even a sliver of daylight between the White House and the religious right in social policy. This isn't what we were told before the last election; and it isn't what many of us hoped for. But it remains the case that Bush's determination to defeat Jihadist terror is beyond much doubt, even if his methods seem often strained by incompetence, recklessness and arrogance. So Kerry has a great opportunity to win over the undecideds over this week, and if he cannot take advantage of it, he will reveal himself unworthy of the office he seeks.
WHAT KERRY MUST SAY: The most important task of this convention is to persuade Americans that a future Democratic administration will fight this country's enemies with a passion and energy and consistency at least comparable to Bush's. If Kerry doesn't make this a centerpiece of his speech, he deserves to lose. He needs a passage that goes something like this:
Let me now address those in the world who believe that the United States, under a Democratic president, will cower before terror or respond to any future attacks with passivity and weakness. Nothing could be further from the truth. As president, I will pursue this country's real enemies every day I am in the Oval Office; I will seek them out and bring them to justice; I will ensure that our historic duty to the people of Afghanistan and Iraq is met in full, however long it takes, however hard the task. To the murderers of al Qaeda, let me say this. Do not even begin to interpret a Democratic victory as some sign that we will acquiesce to your murderous intent and nihilist politics. In the war against Jihadism, there is no Democrat or Republican. There is simply American. We will unite to defeat you and to secure our country.
Am I dreaming? I don't know. If Kerry bores on about healthcare or taxes without focusing on terror, then he will richly deserve to lose. Unlike some, I'm open to persuasion. This war is far too important to be left to one party. The 9/11 Commission was an important reminder that we can indeed work together to find a way forward against the dire threat we still face. And it is indeed a failure that this president, far from uniting the country behind this war, has served to divide it more deeply. He may, however, be the best we have on offer. This week will go a long way toward resolving that question.
- 10:14:34 PM QUOTE FOR THE DAY: "9/11 has taught us that terrorism against American interests 'over there' should be regarded just as we regard terrorism against America 'over here.' In this same sense, the American homeland is the planet. But the enemy is not just 'terrorism,' some generic evil. This vagueness blurs the strategy. The catastrophic threat at this moment in history is more specific. It is the threat posed by Islamist terrorism — especially the al Qaeda network, its affiliates, and its ideology. As we mentioned in chapter 2, Usama Bin Ladin and other Islamist terrorist leaders draw on a long tradition of extreme intolerance within one stream of Islam (a minority tradition), from at least Ibn Taimiyyah, through the founders of Wahhabism, through the Muslim Brotherhood, to Sayyid Qutb. That stream is motivated by religion and does not distinguish politics from religion, thus distorting both. It is further fed by grievances stressed by Bin Ladin and widely felt throughout the Muslim world—against the U.S. military presence in the Middle East, policies perceived as anti-Arab and anti-Muslim, and support of Israel. Bin Ladin and Islamist terrorists mean exactly what they say: to them America is the font of all evil, the 'head of the snake,' and it must be converted or destroyed. It is not a position with which Americans can bargain or negotiate. With it there is no common ground — not even respect for life — on which to begin a dialogue. It can only be destroyed or utterly isolated." - one of the most moving and powerful passages in the remarkably good 9/11 Commission Report. It bears a great deal of similarity to the argument I made three years ago, in "This Is A Religious War."
KERRYPALOOZAH: Three new pieces on the Kerry campaign are now posted. Here's my TNR fisking of Kerry's speech introducing Edwards. Here's my worry about Kerry's gay politics, from the recent Advocate. Here's my latest Sunday Times column on the conservative appeal of Kerry, given the radicalism and recklessness of the past three and a half years. Lastly, here's my Time column on Bush's exploitation of marriage to shore up his base. Enjoy. Or not, as the case may be. - 10:14:04 PM STALEMATE IN RAMADI: A useful account of the current stand-off against the Iraqi insurgents - in the critical Sunni town of Ramadi.
"HITLER'S BLOG": The biased Daschle-buddy, who edits the Sioux Falls Argus Leader, lets it rip again - against those pesky bloggers.
GOING AFTER SOFT DRUGS: Bush is apparently now ratcheting up the war on soft drugs, ordering "that resources be allocated to fighting so-called 'soft' drugs instead of concentrating on harder forms, such as heroin and cocaine." The problem, according to the administration, is that marijuana is now more potent than in the past. i.e. more people are experiencing higher levels of pleasure. There's no evidence they're hurting anyone else - or even that they're hurting themselves. But pleasure itself is an evil for some of these busy-bodies. Remind me why libertarians should support Bush again, will you? - 10:13:56 PM DUMP TRUMAN: The New Republic's advice around this time in 1948. D'oh! - 2:14:46 PM HOW TO PERSUADE CHIRAC: Do it the way it's always been done: bribe him.
Saturday, July 24, 2004 POLAND ON MOORE: Well, they used to live in a dictatorship fueled by propaganda. So they are perhaps better suited to see through Michael Moore's vile techniques. - 2:49:13 PM ACADEMICS FOR KERRY: An astronishing yet unsurprising statistic unearthed by blogger David M. Of all Ivy League faculty donations to candidates, 92 percent went to Kerry. The highest rate of donations to Bush in any Ivy League University is 16 percent - at Princeton. Meanwhile, blogger Michael Petrelis has done some digging on mega-rich socialist, Katrina vanden Heuvel, editor of the Nation. She has donated around $145,000 over twenty years to various candidates and organizations.
ONLY IN AMERICA: Regular readers will know what I think of Robert Byrd - a bloviating, bigoted thief of other people's money. But his family lineage nevertheless makes for fascinating reading. This is from his bio on his website:
He is married to the former Erma Ora James, his high school sweetheart and a coal miner's daughter. They are the parents of two daughters, Mrs. Mohammad (Mona Byrd) Fatemi and Mrs. Jon (Marjorie Byrd) Moore. Senator and Mrs. Byrd have been blessed with six grandchildren -- Erik, Darius, and Fredrik Fatemi; Michael (deceased), Mona, and Mary Anne Moore -- and four great-granddaughters: Caroline Byrd Fatemi and Kathryn James Fatemi; Emma James Clarkson and Hannah Byrd Clarkson. In February 2004, Senator and Mrs. Byrd welcomed their first great-grandson, Michael Yoo Fatemi.
From a member of the KKK to Michael Yoo Fatemi in two generations. Not bad.
MORE DISHONEST SPIN: Once again, the anti-marriage forces have been spinning a little too heavily. Anti-gay senators Brownback and Cornyn have been claiming that the late Senator Moynihan would have opposed extending the responsibilities of civil marriage to gay couples. Not so fast, says his wife. - 2:09:39 PM
Friday, July 23, 2004 GLENN ON SANDY: Curiouser and curiouser. - 1:49:11 PM HE SAID IT! The Washington Blade has found a reference by the president to the word "gay." He said the phrase "gay marriage" in Pennsylvania, referring to someone else's question. He knows that gay people exist! Now if he could only apply to adjective to actual human beings. But it's a start. And don't give me the pablum abhout not treating people as members of a group. Today, at the Urban League, Bush asked: "Is it a good thing for the African-American community to be represented mainly by one political party? Have the traditional solutions of the Democrat Party truly served the African-American people?" That's the difference between a group of people you respect and want to win over and a group of people you marginalize for political gain.
EMAIL OF THE DAY II: "Your blog links to an inaccurate statement in a Fox report which claims that wives should be subservient to their husbands, when the word Judge Holmes used was subordinate. Subservient implies obsequiousness or servility while subordinate implies submitting to the authority of another (which can arguably be considered a sign of strength). You use the incorrect word in your blog." The strength to be subordinate! And this comes from a religious tradition that began with a man who defied almost every social convention of his time and treated women - even single women - as his equals; who never married and broke up the families and marriages of his disciples; who told his own parents as a teenager that they had no final control over him; and whose best friends were a single woman and a single man who is described in the Gospels as resting his head on Jesus' breast in an act of profound intimacy. How you get the subordination of women and the persecution of homosexuals from all that is beyond me. - 1:45:50 PM MARRIAGE AND PARENTING: A reader makes the following point:
I am gay and conservative. I am disinterested in the gay marriage cause, both in the sense of bored and distanced. I am not opposed but I agree with my Senator, the earnest Santorum, marriage is for the protection of children. In fact, consistent with his and Dr. Dobson's position, I would wish to see its state mandated protections denied to all childless couples and reserved only for those who do breed or rear whether they are heterosexual or gay. I understand the desirability of queer ratification and I think state recognized contracts which enumerate a couple's privileges and benefits could be the acceptable alternative for same sex pairings. However I do not think that the state should be obliged to afford life sustaining support benefits to such childless couples as are automatically granted to married couples (health insurance and social security for example) in the interest of preserving the viability of surviving family if the breadwinner dies.
That strikes me as a coherent position. If you believe, as Stanley Kurtz does, that it is critical to maintain the cultural link between marriage and parenting, we do have an obvious option: give all couples civil unions and let them be converted to marriage licenses if and when the couple has or adopts children. That would honor both the marriage-parenting link, and remove the indefensible heterosexual privilege that the law now upholds. But it won't happen - because straight couples without children would be appalled at how it denigrates their relationships and makes them second-class citizens. Well, at least they would then know how it feels like to be gay. - 1:08:22 PM A JON STEWART MOMENT: The funniest guy on television (after Bill Maher) tackles the direst threat now facing America. No. It's not al Qaeda.
EMAIL OF THE DAY: "I know that Congress has this power [to strip courts of jurisdiction], but I don't think it should be used in this fashion even if it is not being used to disempower a particular group. Why? Simply because I think it is dishonorable and somewhat cowardly and childish. The Constitution, to some extent, is a deal we make with ourselves. We create a government of limited powers and we give to the courts the power to determine whether our government is acting within those limitations. I don't always agree with the way the federal courts decide these issues, but so what? I'm not entitled to have the courts decide issues just the way I want them to. If I get sufficiently pissed off, I can vote for Presidents and Senators of a particular party in the hopes of getting a "better" judiciary. Yes, it takes awhile. But I don't know how to distinguish between stripping federal courts of the power to decide on the constitutionality of DOMA, and stripping them of the power to decide the constitutionality of the 2013 Redistribute the Wealth Act - after all, the federal courts might not approve of Congress' well-intentioned effort to authorize President Hillary Clinton to seize land from people who have too much of it, by misinterpreting the constitutional provisions requiring "just compensation". It's just a bad practice, in my view, completely aside from the fact that it seems to be part of President Bush's "Flags and Fags" campaign strategy." - more feedback on the best Letters Page on the web.
- 1:02:56 PM IRAN AND KERRY: Lawrence Kaplan worries about Kerry's tendency to suck up to dictators. But he's not too high on Bush's incoherence either. Money quote:
Put another way, the administration has two Iran policies, and the result has been a mix of good and bad. Kerry, by contrast, boasts a single, coherent, and--to judge by the description of Teheran's activities in yesterday's report--utterly delusional Iran policy. Now, if only the Bush team could sort out its own, it might have an opportunity to draw a meaningful distinction.
I'm looking forward. - 12:44:04 PM THE REPORT: The WSJ has the best instant summary of the salient points. I'm haven't read the report yet. - 7:31:24 AM QUOTE OF THE DAY I: "Rolling Stone: Have you seen "Fahrenheit 9/11"?
Clinton: I have.
Rolling Stone: What did you think?
Clinton: I think every American ought to see it. As far as I know, there are no factual errors in it, but it may connect the dots a little too close -- about the Saudis and the Bushes, and the terror and all. I'd like to see it again before making a judgment about whether I think it's totally fair." - from Rolling Stone's interview with the former president.
WHAT CLINTON GOT RIGHT: I have to say, though, that part of Clinton's analysis of the past two years is spot on. Here's where I thought he got it right:
RS: I'm interested that you expressed a cautious admiration for [the Bush administration's] political skill. Any other places where you looked and said, "Boy, that's good"?
Clinton: Well, no. I would say, though -- you know, one of the great things in politics that you have to know is when not to play a card -- because you might win a hand and lose the match. And that's the mistake, I think, they made in 2002. President Bush would have been far better off in his reelection if he'd let the natural rhythm of 2002 unfold and let the Democrats pick up a few seats. We would have held the Senate and maybe increased our margin by one or two; the House would be very close. But it would have compelled him to take a more moderate position.
That's why I think the Dems may do better this year than expected, both in the Congress and the presidential race. Usually, discontent with a president is vented in mid-term elections - especially the kind of discontent fostered by something like the 2000 recount. But that didn't happen. In fact, there's been no electoral venting at Bush yet. Just as Clinton was paradoxically saved by the 1994 Republican victory, Bush may be damned by the 2002 results - and the Rove-orchestrated hubris they spawned. - 1:54:24 AM
Thursday, July 22, 2004 REPUBLICANS AGAINST FEDERALISM: Steve Chapman has a superb essay on Slate, delineating the GOP's long slide away from Goldwater's embrace of states' rights. The FMA is the worst example, but there are many others. Chapman gives one reason for the change:
[W]hat alienated Republicans from federalism? It's not simple hypocrisy. True, their sympathy for states' rights was partly the product of a historical accident. From the New Deal onward, state governments were generally less activist than the federal government, where the legislature was under almost unbroken Democratic control for half a century. So, conservatives preferred to keep decision-making in places where they could prevail. But their fondness for states' rights also stemmed from conservatives' sincere distrust of government power and their belief that one crucial way to constrain it was to diffuse it among 50 capitals instead of channeling it all into one. That perspective lost much of its appeal once the GOP found it could not only elect presidents with reasonable consistency but also dominate Congress as well. Virtue is harder to practice once temptation is beckoning.
I think that's true. But I also believe the fusion of Republicanism with fundamentalist Christianity is also antithetical to the federalist impulse. If you believe you are right, and you believe that God is behind you, it becomes much harder to allow others to try other things or experiment or differ. That doesn't just apply to people, but to states as well. Today's Republicans, when it comes to something like, say, medical marijuana, cannot get past their visceral hostility to individuals' experiencing pleasure or even medical help not licensed by their God. So they seek to ban it - quick. If that means violating states' rights, so be it. Religious zeal as well as hypocrisy and opportunism are the factors here. None is conducive to the tolerant spirit of principled conservatism.
QUOTE OF THE DAY II: "American policy in Iraq since the fall of Baghdad has been incompetent. Donald Rumsfeld, the US defence secretary, used too few troops to secure the borders or to capture the stockpiles of weaponry. Disbanding Iraq's security forces was a foreseeable error. Backing Ahmed Chalabi for president flew in the face of wise counsel. The blitz on Falluja was a military and diplomatic catastrophe. The rather good interim government of Iraq that took power last week emerged in spite of, not because of, the United States... I begin to think the West can purge itself of American misdemeanours only by some symbolic sacrifice. Rumsfeld would have done nicely had the president dismissed him over the Abu Ghraib horrors. He signally failed to do it. Now only the defeat of the Republican administration will suffice. Senator John Kerry does not impress. Whereas the president has difficulty in stringing two words together, the Democratic candidate can say nothing in fewer than four long sentences, which is worse. The main charge against Kerry - a telling one -is that he is inconsistent. But is Bush less so? Was not this president elected on a platform of disengagement and did he not go on to fight two foreign wars? Did he set out for battle despising the UN and America's former allies in "old Europe", and does he not now grub about for their moral and practical support? ... For America to brush away its recent disgraces, the electorate will have to bin this administration. I never expected to say this to my American friends: vote Democrat." - Michael Portillo, one of the leading lights of the British Conservative party, and a staunch pro-American, in the Times of London, July 4.
ANOTHER BUSH NOMINEE: This one believes that wives should be subservient to their husbands. Well, the Bible says so! And that's how you interpret the Constitution, isn't it? And if the Constitution suggests otherwise, you can always amend it or strip courts of the ability to review legislation. Today's Santorumized GOP: gays in "conversion therapy," women in the kitchen, blacks in the front row of the convention line-up. - 11:00:48 PM REPUBLICANS AGAINST GAYS: The summer campaign I predicted last May has now been stepped up in the House. The bill that passed yesterday singles out gay citizens and denies them access to the federal courts to defend their right to marry. Does the Defense of Marriage Act violate the constitution? Then amend the constitution, most Republicans say. If you cannot amend the constitution, knee-cap the courts. And all this is defended with the rhetoric of a man like James Sensenbrenner, who declared, "Marriage is under attack!" By whom, sir? All gay people want is to join civil marriage, and be an equal part of their own families. To describe this deep human need, this conservative impulse, as an "attack" on an institution revered by many homosexuals and their families is itself a piece of callous demonization. And the precedent is chilling. If gays can be singled out and denied access to the courts, why not other minorities? Blacks? Hispanics? If the Republicans can do this to exclude gays from access to the courts, why couldn't Democrats one day do it to prevent conservative Christians? I loved this quote from a news story:
The nonpartisan Congressional Research Service said it could find no precedent for Congress passing a law to limit federal courts from ruling on the constitutionality of another law, although Democrats said opponents of civil rights legislation tried to do the same thing.
Yes, today's Republicans are now the inheritors of those Democrats who did all they could to prevent African-Americans from winning their civil rights.
A QUESTION OF RESPECT: Here's a simple question: Can you think of any other minority targeted by a single party for discrimination? Did the GOP cushion this by saying anything in defense of gay people or families? Did they signal that they could support, say, civil unions? Did they say this gag on the courts was sufficient and the FMA was now redundant? Nah - they promised to amend the Constitution as well, if they can. The only faintly civil impulse is the president's declaration that the debate should be conducted with respect. I will grant the president the benefit of the doubt on this if and when he ever says the words "gay and lesbian citizens." It is the first mark of respect to call people by their name. But he won't. We are unmentionable to him - because if he ever named us, he would humanize us, and if he humanized us, it would become clear how divisive his policies are. I am amused by the fuss made by Bush's refusal to visit the NAACP, and go to the Urban League instead. Isn't it telling that no one even asks whether the president has met with any group representing millions of his fellow gay Americans? Think about that for a minute. It will tell you a lot about this president's ability to be a uniter of this country. Some in the gay world have gone out on a very long limb to defend this president on the war, and even endorsed him when he promised to be inclusive. He has rewarded them with this kind of gambit. What are they supposed to do in return? Campaign for him?
- 10:59:44 PM WATCH A CAKEWALK: Here's a video of a 1903 cakewalk. The photograph was originally titled "An amusing cake walk, by a company of New York darkies who excel in this line of work." Here's a poster for such a thing, with the title: "Loony Coons." Another one is called "Chocolate Drops." There are others, including one called "Jolly Pickanninies." I don't think there's much doubt, ahem, about the racist message. - 12:21:42 PM "SUPER-INFECTION" REVISITED: A couple of knowledgeable readers have pointed out a wrinkle in the HIV super-infection study I cited earlier today. The study doesn't provide any data on the viral loads of the HIV-positive individuals who did not experience super-infection or did not re-infect anyone else. It does suggest that very high levels of virus in the bloodstream (or semen) could make re-infection possible - that's why the only case found was someone who had just sero-converted, when viral levels often go through the roof. But many healthy HIV-positive men have low viral loads - especially those on meds, who often have loads close to zero - and so, broadly speaking, my point holds. Two HIV-positive men with low viral loads are extremely unlikely to reinfect each other. That is a finding that should be explored in our attempt to find new ways to control the epidemic. - 12:11:34 PM GREAT MINDS, ETC.:
"The key question in this election is whether we want a wartime or a peacetime president. In this respect, the contest most closely resembles the Winston Churchill-Clement Atlee battle of 1945. With World War II just recently won in Europe but still raging in the Pacific, British voters opted to back a candidate they trusted on healthcare, jobs and social services rather than on Churchill whose wartime leadership they valued highly. Events, more than anything else, will determine which issue has priority in our minds. The ironies abound. If Bush succeeds too well in quelling international terrorism, he could do himself out of a job, encouraging voters to assign higher value to domestic and economic issues and hence to the Kerry candidacy." - Dick Morris, today.
"Wartime leaders have always faced the worst fear: defeat in battle. But in democracies at least, war-leaders also confront another danger: success. The qualities that make for great statesmanship in wartime - determination, a single focus on victory, a black-and-white conviction of who is friend and foe - can often seem crude or overbearing when peace comes around. The most dramatic example of this in Western history is, of course, Winston Churchill. It is no exaggeration to say that, without him, Britain may well have been destroyed by Hitler. He was the difference between victory and defeat. But almost the minute that victory was declared, the voters turned on their hero. He lost the post-war election. Even more striking, he lost it in one of the biggest electoral landslides in Britain's parliamentary history. He wasn't just defeated. He was buried..." - yours truly, Time, March 1, 2004.
- 12:05:57 PM FINGER-LICKING BRUTALITY: More evidence that many parts of our agricultural industry - even with chickens now - is, with respect to treatment of animals, a moral disgrace. Money quote:
The group said its investigator also obtained eyewitness testimony about employees "ripping birds' beaks off, spray-painting their faces, twisting their heads off, spitting tobacco into their mouths and eyes, and breaking them in half -- all while the birds are still alive."
Just incredible - but perhaps unavoidable in a food industry that often treats animals with contempt and cruelty. (If you care about these issues, can I recommend again Matthew Scully's moving and important book, "Dominion.")
MORE CAKEWALKING: A reader writes:
Thirty years ago in the small West Virginia town where my father grew up, I participated in what was billed as a "cakewalk." The contestants simply walked around in a circle. One person standing just outside this circle was blindfolded and held a broom. At his whim he let the broom fall across the path of the circling contestants. If the broom fell behind you, you won the cake. Thus I have always assumed that a "cakewalk" referred to something accomplished by blind luck, without any element of skill. Perhaps this Appalachian contest, helps explain the etymology of the first definition of "cakewalk" provided by your reader.
- 11:40:49 AM BERGER-GATE: I found this paragraph in the Washington Post account a little surreal:
The government source said the Archives employees were deferential toward Berger, given his prominence, but were worried when he returned to view more documents on Oct. 2. They devised a coding system and marked the documents they knew Berger was interested in canvassing, and watched him carefully. They knew he was interested in all the versions of the millennium review, some of which bore handwritten notes from Clinton-era officials who had reviewed them. At one point an Archives employee even handed Berger a coded draft and asked whether he was sure he had seen it. At the end of the day, Archives employees determined that that draft and all four or five other versions of the millennium memo had disappeared from the files, this source said.
This suggests that Berger was trying to purloin potentially embarrassing data on his tenure. That's astonishing. Meanwhile, the New York Times finally puts the story on A1 - but only as a device to finger the Bush administration. C'mon, Keller. You can do better. - 11:20:42 AM
Wednesday, July 21, 2004 IRAN AND AL QAEDA: More evidence of a "collaborative relationship." - 10:42:04 PM BUSH OR CLINTON? Who said the following: "This broad agenda we will carry into the new term comes from a basic conviction: Government should never try to control or dominate the lives of our citizens. Yet government can and should help citizens gain the tools to make their own choices and to improve their own lives." It was Bush last night. It's the exact formulation Bill Clinton used to use. Bush, however, has provided no firm details for his proposals for healthcare and education. We'll see, I guess.
TEN YEARS OF BLAIR: It's a decade and a day since Tony Blair became leader of the Labour Party in Britain and Oxblog gives him a worthy tribute:
He has reinvigorated centrism in Britain, as the DLC and similar organisations did for the United States. Again like his transatlantic partner [Clinton], Blair's mark was to make many of the economic reforms of Thatcherism palatable to the left. As a result, the British economy has in our lives never been stronger. Whereas a quarter-century ago it had fallen past the Federal Republic of Germany and France, and was about to fall past Italy as well, it is now closing in on Germany for the European crown, and its per capita GDP mark it as the second richest country in Europe past Luxembourg.
I'd add, however, that this achievement is essentially parasitic. Thatcher restored Britain's economy, and John Major made that transformation permanent. Blair merely made it palatable. He has failed to reform the public services in any fundamental way, and has an unfortunate authoritarian streak when it comes to civil liberties. Nevertheless, he has made Britain safe for capitalism, helped liberate the Iraqi and Afghan people from vile despotisms, made the Bank of England independent, and the Tory party close to redundant. I often post stories predicting his demise. But I'm confident he'll win the next election easily.
EMAIL OF THE DAY: "You have the highest quality reader letters (blog, newspaper, or magazine) I have ever seen. I have to admit, I am sometimes so mystified by your vehemence about minor phenomena (such as Michael Moore) that I start to wonder If you are kind of nutty. (I'm a middle-aged liberal woman from Massachusetts, maybe that's why I don't get it?) Then the reader responses you choose to display redeem you." Indeed they do. Thanks to Reihan Salam for selcting the best ones - and to all of you for writing in. There's more here.
BLOGS AND POLITICS: Dan Drezner has now co-produced a paper on the subject. He is an academic, after all. - 10:21:15 PM THE QUESTION OF SUPER-INFECTION: We've been told for a very long time that even if you're HIV-positive, you can still get infected by other strains of HIV and get what is called "super-infection" with a less manageable form of HIV. No one ever provided much hard evidence for this and studies were few and far between. But we now have a new study, the best so far, that essentially debunks the notion of super-infection altogether. It was announced at the Bangkok conference and you can read the abstract here. Bottom line:
In a study of 33 HIV+ couples who engaged in frequent, unprotected sex, researchers at the Gladstone Institute of Virology and Immunology in San Francisco found no evidence of superinfection, the sequential acquisition of multiple HIV variants. HIV is a highly mutable virus encompassing two quite different types around the world, HIV-1 and HIV-2. Within those types there are variations known as "subclades" that are typically subdivided further into genetically differentiated strains. The epidemic in the U.S. consists almost entirely of a single subclade, HIV-1B, while HIV epidemics in other parts of the world involve a mix of subclades. In the study, researchers investigated potential superinfection involving variations within HIV-1B. In 28 of the 33 couples, each participant was infected with a strain of HIV-1B that was genetically different than that of the person's partner, and the 28 couples were particularly relevant for these preliminary results.
The study also examined thirty other men who had many sexual partners and unprotected intercourse, and found only one individual had "super-infection," and he had only recently sero-converted. There may indeed be a window early in infection, when super-infection can occur. But after that ... it appears you can't get reinfected. This is important news for a couple of reasons: first, the HIV-positive men have clearly developed some kind of immune response to new viral strains. Could this be developed into a vaccine? Second, the finding opens up a new possibility for restraining the epidemic. It makes a lot of sense for people with HIV only to have sex with other people with HIV. If neither man can get reinfected, they can also dispense with condoms, a benefit that could encourage them to stay having sex within their own HIV-positive sub-population (or within a monogamous HIV-positive relationship). This has a name: sero-sorting. It's already happening informally, and may be one reason why, despite lots of anecdotal evidence of more condom-less sex, we haven't seen huge increases in infection rates. It may be that the pozzies are all having sex with each other. Long may they continue to do so. - 10:20:06 PM HAS BUSH MAXED OUT? It's hard to see where his extra votes are going to come from.
O'REILLY: He's against outing people, except when he's in favor of it.
STANLEY AND THE DUTCH: I'm not going to wade again into the thickets of research on marriage, cohabitation, parenting and so on in Scandinavia and Holland and elsewhere. But I should note that Stanley Kurtz's latest piece is striking not only because of how modest his claims now are. His latest forumlation is:
Gay marriage is not the only cause of rising out-of-wedlock birthrates. I never said it was and it doesn't take a demographer to realize that lots of factors contribute to husbandless women having babies.
Round of applause, please. But some important context. Kurtz's lede - which he portrays as some new consensus view in Holland - is that
a group of five scholars in the Netherlands issued a letter addressed to "parliaments of the world debating the issue of same-sex marriage." The Netherlands was the first country to adopt full-fledged same-sex marriage, and this letter is the first serious indication of Dutch concern about the consequences of that decision.
Hmmm. My Dutch reader weighs in:
The Reformatorisch Dagblad is of course a small partisan conservative Christian newspaper, there are just 5 university professors who state their opinion (now what would you say if 5 Berkeley scholars would issue a letter "proving" gay marriage is healthy?) and the facts they try to connect are actually uncorrelated. Yes marriage is in decline in the Netherlands as it has been for decades and the bigger part of that happened long before gay marriage was legalized. In fact, there has been some increase in (straight) marriages lately. The reason why out of wedlock births are on the increase is because it is simply possible to arrange proper contracts for joint parenthood quite easily without marriage in the Netherlands now and quite a few people like it that way. The insinuation that this results in unstable parenting is preposterous.
But Stanley is ghetting more inventive. Here's the latest gambit:
[T]he meaning of traditional marriage was transformed every bit as much by the decade-long national movement for gay marriage in Holland as by eventual legal success. That's why the impact of gay marriage on declining Dutch marriage rates and rising out-of-wedlock birthrates begins well before the actual legal changes were instituted.
How convenient. Now, merely campaigning for equal marriage rights weakens marriage. So you can blame the fags for the decline of an institution they have had nothing to do with. A million sighs of relief go up from the social conservatives.
CAKEWALK?? An unusual lapse into political incorrectness at the NYTimes:
All this fumbling has left Mr. Obama, the smooth-talking, Harvard-educated law professor from Chicago, looking like the only candidate in a race that may make him the only African-American in the Senate. Voters who don't know him yet surely will after the Democratic National Convention, where he will be keynote speaker. But it would be too bad if Mr. Obama cakewalked into Washington. Not just for Mr. Obama, who would take office with an asterisk ("*ran against incompetents"). Illinois voters deserve to see a capable opponent force him to answer tough questions and defend his positions. In other words, they deserve a nonludicrous race.
"Cakewalk," a reader informs me, has two possible meanings:
1. Something easily accomplished: Winning the race was a cakewalk for her. 2. A 19th-century public entertainment among African Americans in which walkers performing the most accomplished or amusing steps won cakes as prizes. 1. A strutting dance, often performed in minstrel shows. 2. The music for this dance.
You learn something every minute in the blogosphere. - 10:19:30 PM THE SOCKS, THE SOCKS: CNN has some sources saying Berger did too stuff his socks. - 12:30:29 PM THE WAR, OR, ER, PEACE PRESIDENT: Bush seems to be changing his tune a little on the campaign trail:
Mr. Bush noted: "The enemy declared war on us. Nobody wants to be the war president. I want to be the peace president. The next four years will be peaceful years." He repeated the words "peace" or "peaceful" many times, as he has done increasingly in his recent appearances.
How does he know? What if Iran gets a nuke? What if there's another major terror attack? The president has obviously been worrying about his hard-edged image with women. But he needs to avoid lapsing into incoherence.
BERGER WITH FRIES: Glenn is all over this story. One more question: were they boxers or briefs? - 12:27:42 PM HAMMOCK DEATH: An environmentalist is killed by a tree. Mine, mercifully, is free-standing. - 12:10:13 PM
Tuesday, July 20, 2004 THE NYT SPIN ON BERGER: Here's a strange discrepancy in the NYT's own account of Sandy Berger's illegal purloining of classified material from government archives. Here's one version:
Republicans accused him on Tuesday of stashing the material in his clothing, but Mr. Breuer called that accusation "ridiculous" and politically inspired. He said the documents' removal was accidental.
Then later on in the piece, we read:
Mr. Breuer, the lawyer, said Mr. Berger inadvertently put three or four versions of the report on the plots in a leather portfolio he had with him. "He had lots of papers, and the memos got caught up in the portfolio," he said. "It was an accident." Mr. Berger also put in his jacket and pants pockets handwritten notes that he had made during his review of the documents, Mr. Breuer said.
So it's "ridiculous" to assert that he stuffed notes and copies of documents in his clothing, and yet he stashed them in his pants pockets and jacket. Is the critical issue here whether he stuffed them down his underpants or socks? If so, I can't wait for the fruits of the loom, I mean, inquiry.
WHY? The salient question - and we have yet to have an even faintly plausible answer - is why? What was the purpose of stashing document copies that were allegedly available elsewhere? How could such a thing be "inadvertent"? Why is such an accomplished Washington player unable to come up with a reasonable explanation for such bizarre behavior? The Washington Post reports this morning that
A government official with knowledge of the probe said Berger removed from archives files all five or six drafts of a critique of the government's response to the millennium terrorism threat, which he said was classified "codeword," the government's highest level of document security.
All the drafts? And now they're missing? Doesn't that sound like trying to cover your back? And yet the 9/11 Commission has not complained that it lacked any important documents; and the originals are still in the archives. I still don't get it. My best bet is that Berger was engaging in advance damage control - saving the drafts to help concoct a better defense of his tenure. If so, it's classic Clinton era sleaze - not exactly terrible but cheesy subordination of national security for partisan political advantage. But at times like this, I sure am glad we have the blogosphere. Can you imagine the mainstream press really pursuing this story alone? Meanwhile, Clinton thinks the possible leaking of classified information is just hilarious. About as hilarious as his anti-terror policy.
FREE THE VIBRATORS: The woman charged in Texas for selling vibrators has now had the charges dropped. One of her crimes was not merely selling the sex toy, but explaining how to use it:
Texas law allows for the sale of sexual toys as long as they are billed as novelties. But when a person markets the items in a direct manner that shows how they are used in sex, it is considered criminal obscenity.
And there you have America's screwed-up attitude toward sex summed up in two sentences. - 11:17:04 PM THE UPPER CLASS HACK: I was sorry to hear that Paul Foot, one of Britain's most dogged journalists, died of a heart attack last Saturday. The Telegraph obit does him justice. His Marxist views were silly when they weren't fueled with anger and hatred, but he had a keen nose for actual injustice and often sniffed it out. I liked this testament: "There are more people walking the streets of Britain who have been freed from prison by Paul Foot than by any other person." They were all innocent, of course. And few journalists can claim to have done such tangible good in their lives.
TOWARD CLARITY ON IRAN: Amir Taheri agrees with the Dish that the subject should be front and center in the campaign.
SOMERBY ON WILSON: Bob Somerby's a major hater of this blog, but he's often got good things to say and a sometimes extraordinary diligence in rooting out the truth. He's no fan of Bush's, to say the least, but he can see through the Joe Wilson carapace of cant:
Let's compare two important statements—Bush’s famous 16 words, and Wilson’s amazing new admission:
BUSH: The British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa.
WILSON: I never claimed to have "debunked" the allegation that Iraq was seeking uranium from Africa.
Finally! This is what we've always told you — Wilson had no way of knowing if the 16-word statement was right or wrong. He had no way to debunk it! But throughout his thrilling and best-selling book, he calls this statement a "lie-lie-lie-lie," over and over and over again. But then, grinding overstatement like that has been the problem with Wilson all along (as the three senators correctly note). And now, alas, Dems will start to pay a price for investing so much in his presentations.
Well, they would if the media were willing to debunk the fraud they so ably hyped. But they won't, will they? - 11:16:07 PM LIVING WITHOUT SMELL: A strangely moving account of living with no sense of smell. Imagine being susceptible to drinking perfume, or not noticing a gas leak, or having no olefactory sexual instincts. It does have some advantages though:
I will have to soldier on, and draw what comfort I can from a recent exchange with an ex-boyfriend who, as we reminisced about our relationship said wistfully, "You were the best girlfriend in the world. You let me bring curry home from the pub every night and I could fart as much as I liked." I'm putting it in my next personal ad.
Here's another site exploring a world without scent. The beagle is incredulous, of course.
MORE MOORE: He doctors a date and misrepresents a newspaper headline.
ON OHIO: Another reader weighs in:
The blog seems to have it partially wrong while the reader letter is partially right. Bush is trying to cut in Kerry's Catholic base around Cleveland. The problem is that he risks further alienating liberal and moderate Republicans as well as Independents in the Cleveland suburbs. Running an abortion ad is high stakes poker because most campaigns view the risk as greater than the reward. Also the conventional wisdom says that the loser tends to be the one who brings it up. Bush is obviously convinced that his economic message isn't viable in the area and has therefore resorted to his nuclear daisy-cutter. This is about fear not opportunity. Bush has plenty of wedge issues working against Kerry among traditional Catholics without dropping the a-word. Another thing to consider is the choice of the medium. 60 Minutes? Why would you broadcast this message to such a wide audience? Granted the audience does tend to skew older, but why run the risk when you can target the message more precisely to a more narror audience and cheaper as well? Finally the blog does contain one piece of wisdom explaining why. "Because according to Voinovich, the Bush administration has not been doing enough to stop Ohio from "bleeding jobs." That's a fairly damning source. Even if the recovery numbers are there, Voinovich clearly doesn't want to be on the wrong side of the perception.
It's obviously knife-edge close in Ohio. And that cannot be too encouraging for an incumbent. - 11:14:35 PM THE THEOCONS WILL SPEAK: Anti-gay crusaders, Brownback and Santorum, will now be given speaking slots at the GOP Convention. More honest. Prime-time? We don't know yet. - 6:52:52 PM THE NYT CORRECTS: They are still getting the uranium-Africa SOTU reference wrong. After a while, it begins to look pathological. - 3:16:48 PM PEROT-MCCAIN VOTERS: Kevin Phillips believes they're the key to a possible Kerry victory. Money quote:
The alternative--at once bolder and riskier, but with a larger potential electorate--involves targeting the ordinary Republicans who rejected at least one generation of Bushes to back Perot or McCain. These voters--not a few thousand elites but millions of the rank and file--are concentrated in the middle-class precincts of swing states like Maine, New Hampshire, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, Colorado and the Pacific Coast.
I can't say I think Phillips' proposal of economic populism for a Kerry candidacy would work. But his analysis of Bush's weakness strikes me as sound. - 1:05:17 PM POLLING THE BBC: More than half of Brits believe the BBC doesn't provide value for money. A "significant minority" wants to see the television tax that finances it abolished. Oh, please. - 12:51:32 PM JOSH SPINS BERGER: Even the loyal Democrat can't find an explanation for Sandy Berger's shenanigans. But he still thinks the story is a function of Republican dirty tricks. - 12:35:50 PM SHIFTY SANDY: I'm gob-smacked, as the Brits say, by the news that Sandy Berger stole documents relating to the Clinton administration's record on terrorism and has apparently lost some critical documents. It seems to me that Berger has admitted to intentionally lifting key documents, and keeping them from the purview of the 9/11 Commission. Berger ascribes this to "sloppiness." How can stuffing papers down your pants be a function of "sloppiness'? It's a function of someone doing something he knows he shouldn't. It's theft. But what was his motive? Are the Clinton people that scared of people discovering their negligence with regard to al Qaeda? Or is there something else at play? Right now, I have far more questions than answers. But this strikes me as a huge deal. Berger's actions seem designed to undermine a vital part of the job of the 9/11 Commission. He should be prosecuted aggressively; and the real reasons for his subterfuge need to be flushed out. - 12:27:39 PM COHEN ON HENDRA: Richard Cohen pens a persuasive column about the Tony Hendra incest accusation, and the New York Times' decision to report on it. I still feel conflicted about this, but side with Coehn and Okrent against Keller. My own take is here. - 12:21:48 PM ON OHIO: A reader suggests an alternative explanation for the Bush campaign's anti-abortion ads in Cleveland:
The suggestion that the Bush campaign is running abortion ads in the Cleveland market only because they are having problems with its base -- to be baseless. Here is why: Cleveland is Democrat territory. Period. The Republican Party has no base in Cleveland. However, the Democrat voters in that area are Catholics and pro-life. Until his failed run for the presidency, even Dennis Kucinich who was the mayor of the city and represents the city in Congress, was against abortion. I see this effort by the campaign as a way of cutting into the Democrat base. Nothing more. Nothing less. If the campaign can peel away a few percentage points from the Kerry column in Cleveland, it will certainly help them win the state.
More feedback on the Letters Page. - 12:03:12 PM THE ALTERNATIVE ON IRAN: The always-worth reading Greg Djerejian makes the case for limited engagement with the mullahs in Tehran. I remain a skeptic. - 12:00:20 PM
Monday, July 19, 2004 THE IRAN QUESTION: I hope this becomes the central foreign policy question of the campaign: What are the differences between Bush's and Kerry's approaches to Iran? One of our recent failings (and I readily include myself) has been, I think, to conceive of the "war on terror" in too abstract a way. We need to unpack the notion that one guy is "weak" and the other "strong" in the war or that one is more "unilateralist" the other less so - and ask hard practical questions of the candidates. Here are a few that spring immediately to mind: Do you consider Iran an enemy of the United States? How integral is the Tehran regime to the Jihadist terror network? How plausible is democratic government in Iraq with continued obstruction from Iran? How would you grapple with the imminence of an Iranian nuclear bomb? The truth is that, for all its rhetorical bluster, the Bush administration's Iran policy has been all over the map. Michael Ledeen summed up the way the Bushies have responded to serious evidence of Iranian malice over the years:
You find half of bin Laden's family and top assistants in Tehran? Not to worry, maybe the mullahs didn't know. You discover that that 9/11 band crossed Iran and were assisted by the border guards and customs officials? Not to worry, that wasn't necessarily the actual policy — this from the lips of the acting director of Central Intelligence on Fox News yesterday. Scores of Iranian intelligence agents are found in Iraq, some in the act of preparing bombs? Some bright bulb in the intelligence community puts out the line that Iran is actually helpful to us, and has actually restrained Hezbollah. We find Iranian involvement in the bombing of Khobar Towers in Saudi Arabia? The evidence is quashed by the Saudis, with the complicity of State and large sectors of the intelligence community.
The usual suspects - Council on Foreign Relations, Scowcroft, et al - want detente. Others - like Ledeen - want a far more pointed and aggressive interventionism. I lean strongly toward Michael's view, not only because I loathe the theocratic dictatorship in Tehran, but because I cannot see how we can truly turn the tide on Jihadist terror without grappling with the mullahs at the ideological and military center of it all. Fitting this piece into the post-Afghanistan, post-Iraq puzzle is perhaps the most important foreign policy challenge of the next few years. Let's see if Kerry or Bush even cite it in their convention speeches. Apart from a general sense (belied by the past three years) that Bush would be tougher, I really don't know where they both specifically stand. Shouldn't we find out soon?
MORE MURDER: Here's something that I'd like to find out, especially after yesterday's carnage in Baghdad: what is now the ratio of Muslims to infidels murdered by the Jihadists over the last year? It's hard not to believe that the major victims of the Islamist terror wave are now Muslims and Arabs. Eventually, I have to believe that will help us turn the tide of popular Arab opinion against the mullah-murderers. It already has had something of that effect in Iraq. - 10:17:59 PM BUSH'S BASE: Is he still having problems? A local lefty blog sees trouble in Ohio.
BLAIR ON CRIME: What do you do when you're a center-left leader and need to regain popularity? You launch a crackdown on crime. It's good politics, but the kind of micro-management of society that Blair's politics represents rubs my libertarian nerves the wrong way. Strange, though, isn't it, that the Blair-Clinton version of the left - one that shamelessly robs the right of their usual issues (welfare, crime, terrorism) - is so not very obvious in the Kerry-Edwards campaign. The thing I'm looking forward to most next week is a glimpse at how the Kerry campaign wants to pitch the center-left. Clinton/Blair or Dean/Gephardt? Or something, er, straddling all of it?
BLOGGING, JOURNALISM, TRANSPARENCY: Jeff Jarvis was hobnobbing with some major media macherdom in Aspen and, as always, he writes up a razor-sharp account.
WILSONFREUDE: Glenn is reveling in it. And who can blame him? Has anyone as repulsively pompous as Joe Wilson emerged from the D.C. undergrowth in recent years?
ONE FACT: Every now and again, you're reading the paper, and a sentence obscures the rest of your day. Here was mine yesterday:
France's prison population is more than 50 percent Muslim.
That's a stunning statistic, if true. What does it say about France's ability to integrate immigrants that it has failed so dramatically with Muslims? And what does it say about France's ability to stand up to Jihadist terror, when they are already sitting on a demographic and social time bomb? - 10:17:26 PM HASSELHOFF HEAVEN: The ultimate David Hasselhoff video is just one click away.
COMING UP FOR AIR: This bronchial bug has been tearing through Provincetown. I've long had asthma so I'm not normally fazed by an inability to breathe right. But this one was like some kind of suffocation. It reminded me of the asthma attacks I used to have as a child. A good deal of the response you need is psychological. You have to calm yourself down, stop yourself hyper-ventilating, or the asthma feeds on itself and you can get in serious trouble. Back in my childhood, they had very little to give you - not even an inhaler that worked - so my dad had to keep rubbing my back, staying up half the night in case I started to turn blue. I used to sit up in bed (if I lay down, I couldn't breathe at all), training myself not to panic, occasionally breathing in the steam from a bowl of boiled water. I used to time my breaths and try and extend them slowly over the course of an hour or so. Funny how these ancient habits kick back in when you need them. Anyway, the antibiotics and inhalers are now working. I should be blog-ready soon enough.
EMAIL OF THE DAY: "I read with interest your thoughts on writing a book on conservatism. I think it is long overdue. The old model has in many ways broken down, perhaps because those goals that were achievable have been achieved, and those that were not are becoming apparent. Movements sometimes get lost at about this time and need a time out of office to rethink core principles. We may need a new word for the new conservatism because it has few similarities to traditional conservatism. The Cold War was won. A stronger military coupled with a skepticism about it's use (containment with overwhelming military superiority) has been replaced with an aggressive theory of preventive intervention and nation building. A 50 year reliance on building strong alliances around the world has been replaced by coalitions of the willing and weakened alliances. Taxes were lowered over the past couple of decades spurring faster economic growth, but continuing tax cuts seem to jeopardize the nation's fiscal health. A long held commitment to a strong dollar strategy has been transformed into a weak dollar strategy, eerily reminiscent of old Labor policies in Britain. Welfare was reformed and some entitlements limited, but reform seems to have lost political momentum in the face of an aging population demanding more, not less, government. Some movement toward shifting some responsibilities back to the states has been replaced by a constitutional attempt to radically enlarge the role of the Federal government in personal and social issues at the expense of the states. What seems to remain from traditional conservatism is a commitment to traditional social norms, but this too has changed from verbal support to a much more aggressive attempt to use the power of the Federal government to enforce conservative, Christian conservative, norms legislatively. We seem to have a new conservatism that by historical standards is not very conservative internationally, economically, or when it comes to the role of government in providing entitlements. On the other hand, we also seem to have a new conservatism committed to enlarging the role of the Federal government in personal and social areas at the expense of the states. Whatever this new conservatism is, it doesn't much look like traditional conservatism. Let's give it a new name. And let's give it the benefit of some free time to rethink core principles." - more feedback on the Letters Page. - 10:15:36 PM
Sunday, July 18, 2004 BRONCHIAL BUMMER: Having some health issues. Back soon. Meanwhile, here's my latest column on the "values" phase in the presidential campaign. - 11:13:25 PM
Saturday, July 17, 2004 THE NEXT CONSERVATISM: An interesting take on the younger generation of coservatives in the NYT. I do think we're on the brink of a major debate about what conservatism now is, especially after the Bush first term. (I'm thinking of finally sitting down and writing a real book about what I think conservatism should be.) But I was also struck by how much of the debate is being fostered by websites and blogs. They're the National Reviews of the new millennium. The future really is here, isn't it? - 2:22:26 PM THE NYT COMES CLEAN: Nope, there was no bounce from Edwards. Mickey gloats. - 2:13:25 PM APPROVAL GAP VOTERS: Ryan Lizza looks at the weird dynamics of the electorate this year. Undecided voters, when you look further, are very anti-Bush and almost certain to vote for Kerry, if they vote at all. But there's naother kind of voter out there:
Why is it that in many polls, Bush's job approval rating is higher than the percentage who say they will vote for him? Fabrizio calls this difference the "approval gap." In his 19-state poll the percentage of people who approve of the job Bush is doing but say they will vote for Kerry is 8.6 percent. Approval-gap voters seem to be the great anomaly of American politics. Kerry voters tend to intensely dislike Bush, and Bush voters seem to intensely dislike Kerry. Undecided voters often get tagged as wishy-washy, but secretly they seem to be just as polarized as everyone else about Bush and Kerry. Approval-gap voters, by contrast, are the true equivocators. They are both pro-Bush and pro-Kerry. They just happen to be a little more pro-Kerry. They have a net favorable opinion of Bush (48 percent favorable to 30 percent unfavorable), but an even higher net favorable opinion of Kerry (54 percent favorable to 15 percent unfavorable).
An interesting wrinkle. I have a feeling many Dish readers are "approval gap voters." - 2:07:37 PM
Friday, July 16, 2004 DRAFTING HENRY HYDE: Now there's a figure to rouse the country from its torpor. But the social conservatives need to find someone to speak at the convention. Why not Santorum or DeLay? Why not James Dobson? - 5:03:12 PM JOURNALISTS FOR KERRY: Michael Petrelis has done some digging and found which hacks have given to which candidates. Big surprise: "President George Bush didn't receive a single donation from any outlet or reporter in my search." The New Yorker is, in particular, up to its eyeballs in reporter contributions to lefties and Dems. - 4:12:54 PM BRITISH HACKS IN ISRAEL: A first-hand account. - 4:06:12 PM WHAT BUSH IS NOT: A list - in his own words.
- 3:57:59 PM LOWRY AGAIN: A belated response to Rich Lowry's accusation that I am an intolerant, preachy moralist. His main points:
1. Santorum, he argues, is not in favor, as I argued, of direct application of Vatican principles to the civil law. Give me an example. On what issue does Santorum dissent from Vatican teaching on civil law? And by what principle would he draw that distinction? Please show me where Santorum has upheld secular values over theological ones.
2. Lowry then denies that the Allard-Musgrave amendment would bar civil unions and domestic partnerships. So why the second sentence that on its face bars not just marriage but all the "legal incidents"? And, yes, I do believe that there is disingenuousness on this. The religious right doesn't want to go to the lengths of a constitutional amendment purely for the word "marriage." The drafter of the amendment, Robert George, has said that it would effectively end any civil arrangements that mirrored marriage. Am I crazy to believe the guy who wrote it? Many Republican senators can read as well - and that's one reason the vote against Allard-Musgrave would have been so devastating. If the backers of the FMA wanted to make sure that it allowed for civil unions, they could have drafted an amendment saying exactly that. They don't and they didn't.
3. Again, there is no reasonable dispute about the Virginia law. It was rooted quite clearly in animus against gay couples, was passed in a welter of furiously anti-gay rhetoric and is viewed by everyone except water-carriers for the far right as the equivalent of a new Jim Crow. But Lowry won't criticize it or touch it. No enemies to the right.
4. Lowry then accuses me of bigotry, because I have described fundamentalists as a bloc motivated by anti-gay animus. Actually, I'm relieved that so many evangelicals are uncomfortable with this measure. But the leadership is foaming at the mouth about this. If Lowry were to watch Christian television lately, I'd love to see how he could believe otherwise. If he read my email in-tray, he might get a better idea. But I have long defended the fundamentalists' religious freedoms, support their civil rights in every respect, would fight for their right to marry, to serve in the armed forces, be protected against discrimination and on and on. But they would deny all of that to gay people. So who's the real intolerant here?
5. Lowry continues:
He says he supports my civil rights and I oppose his. Is Andrew capable of writing anything on this topic that's not question-begging? Opponents of gay marriage like myself don't believe that a civil right to marry someone of the same sex exists. We obviously aren't for denying to gays the rights to speak, vote, own guns, etc. If Andrew reformulated the point in neutral, non-question begging terms, it would be something like: Lowry and I disagree about the definition of civil rights in this instance.
Yes: but it has long been a tactic of those who oppose civil rights to argue that they don't. Those opposed to education integration denied that they were against black civil rights - they just wanted separate but equal education for both blacks and whites. Those who opposed inter-racial marriage said exactly the same thing - since blacks and whites were equally constrained by the anti-miscegenation laws, there was no discrimination, etc. It wasn't that Bull Connor opposed civil rights. It's just that he had a different conception of civil rights than his opponents! What cannot be denied, however, is that Lowry does indeed oppose a gay person's right to enjoy the same rights he has - the right to marry, the right to serve your country, the right to be protected from workplace discrimination, and so on. It couldn't be starker. Lowry believes that heterosexuals have civil rights as citizens and as heterosexuals. But gays should have no rights as homosexuals at all. He is defending his own privilege, while posturing as someone who believes in equality. It's an old gambit. But it is as transparent as it is intolerant. - 1:40:57 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY II: "I agree with your post on the Younger Generation not being able to vote Republican! I'm 18 and this will be the first time I have voted. How can I vote for them when my Brother is Gay and has been in a solid relationship for 5 years and President Bush sees them as a threat to marriage! HOW can they be a threat to other people's marriage? A secretary having an affair with a married man is a threat to a marriage; my Brother and his partner are not! Homosexuality isn't even an issue for my friends!" - 1:03:17 PM NEWS FROM IRAQ: The real story from the bloggers on the scene. - 12:46:14 PM THE KETCHUP WARS: Which brand of Ketchup is more Republican? Yes, there's a debate. - 12:34:21 PM THE YOUNGER GENERATION: Wonderful piece in the New York Post today. Reading how the GOP hopes to use fear of gays to rev up their base across the country really makes me feel ill. Money quote:
When it's one of your first presidential elections — as it is for me — it's no trivial matter that voting Republican means a vote for a party catering to the worst prejudices about our brothers, sisters, friends from high school, college roommates, co-workers, bosses, drinking buddies and the like. I'm not sure I can do it. And, if it weren't for the War on Terror, I know few for whom it would even be a question.
The fact is: the GOP is using an attack on members of their own families to get a few votes in rural parts of swing states. They've used race in the past to achieve this kind of effect. Now gays are the new blacks. - 12:19:53 PM
Thursday, July 15, 2004 FEAR IN THE SKY: One woman's experience - and the vulnerability we still have to Jihadist terror.
FIFTY-SIX DECEITS: In "Fahrenheit 9/11." Dave Kopel has the goods.
BUSH'S MEANS: Jon Chait tackles what he believes are the undemocratic impulses of this administration:
Bush and his allies have been described as partisan or bear-knuckled, but the problem is more fundamental than that. They have routinely violated norms of political conduct, smothered information necessary for informed public debate, and illegitimately exploited government power to perpetuate their rule. These habits are not just mean and nasty. They're undemocratic.
Read the whole thing. (Speaking of which, it's good to find that the poor souls arrested for wearing anti-Bush t-shirts were finally released.)
THE TORIES CRUMBLE: It should have been easy: Tony Blair is on the rocks and a protest vote in two by-elections should go to the main opposition party. But it went to the left-wing Liberal Democrats. The Tories sank from second place to third, winning only 17 percent in one seat. Bottom line: Blair's main threat is from his own party, not the opposition.
ARTHUR "KILLER" KANE: Of early punk rock fame in the New York Dolls. Another classic Brit obit - this time of an American. Money quote:
Their music was brutal, degenerate, loud - amplified by maximum distortion and feedback, and terribly, terribly bad; their one-time manager Malcolm McLaren (who went on to manage the Sex Pistols) described them as "chaos incarnate". They released only two albums, including the presciently-entitled Too Much Too Soon.
Nice one. - 10:56:30 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY: "I'm wondering if you could answer for some of your politically torn readers a question. I know I speak for myself and a lot of GOP Undecideds, when I ask you this question in all sincerity: I voted for Bush, was pro-war, and now, along with many others, concede that Iraq has become a debacle and (unlike yourself) think the War on Terror (not Iraq) would have been more efficient, better funded, and as a whole more successful if we had not marched into Baghdad. I know you don't agree with this, but let me tell you, this is the sentiment of a lot of moderate, even conservative Republicans who are disgusted by Bush's arrogance. A lot of my friends like to say that Bush would be better on the War on Terror than Kerry, and I want to believe that, I really do, but no one has convinced me of that, much less the president himself. No matter how "single-minded" (obtuse, in my opinion) the president is, he's done nothing to shore up support in his REAL BASE--southerners and midwesterners like myself--who don't see how a lunatic fiscal policy, right-wing social policy, and a general F-U to the world in general improves America or its War on Terror. My point is this: I really loathe Kerry, but when it comes down to it, if you exclude Bush's support for the war, why does he deserve four more years? And to all those who think this administration dropped the ball in Iraq, how can we believe that that they will make us safer? I haven't voted for a democrat since Kennedy (at the time I lived in California and knew what kind of moral idiot Nixon was) and I don't want to--but frankly, can someone please make the case for Bush? Because no one has, and frankly, to the Republican faithful like myself who roll our eyes at Sean Hannity, Bush has a heck of a lot of convincing to do." This reader has a point. It certainly helps explain the July gay-baiting campaign. More feedback on the Letters Page.
QUOTE OF THE DAY: "No true believing Christian or Jew can afford to sit this fight out. The fight is not over. You must continue to speak up to ensure Washington understands we want the Judeo-Christian concept of marriage clearly and formally recognized in our Constitution. You must keep in mind where your Senator stood on this vote as Election Day approaches. This past weekend many Christian churches held "Protect Marriage Sunday" to make certain their congregations understand the importance of marriage before the expected vote later in the coming week. More actions like this will keep the issue on the political front burner. It's important that those who believe in marriage as a covenant between a man, a woman and God emphasize to Washington that the Marriage Protection Amendment (MPA) remains a priority." - Paul Weyrich, in his latest newsletter. Civil marriage is now between a man and a woman and God? - 10:55:56 PM THE OTHER CHRISTIANS: I am too quick sometimes to ascribe to the mass of evangelical Christians the views of their "leaders." There are, in fact, many Christians who do not endorse the gay-baiting campaigns of, say, the Traditional Values Coalition. They are Christian libertarians, like Josh Claybourn, or simply those who believe that religion is best served when it isn't merged with politics. Here's a typical email from one such reader:
I am a Christian and for the life of me cannot understand how the FMA is protecting what my wife and I share together. People should take a good look at what heterosexuals are doing to marriage. (example: Brittney, J-LO, and the reality TV shows that toy with marriage) It makes me sick when some leaders of this country get on a crusade that would limit freedom for certain individuals. I am from a very small town in West Tennessee. The first time that I ever went to school with someone from a different ethnic group was in college. The first gay person that I meet was in college. I never once had any trouble accepting the differences that we had. So how can the people, who have sworn to protect the Constitution, want to add an amendment that would limit freedom? I hate that I have to cut this short, Andrew, but remember that there are Christians that support your right to live free and open. I assure you that I will raise my children to keep their beliefs and faith strong, but never judge someone for being themselves.
That, indeed, was how I was brought up. But it highlights again the damage the political-religious right is doing to Christianity and the country. - 1:07:25 PM RED OR BLUE? I love Internet quizzes and here's the latest from Slate, determining how red-state or blue-state you are. It turns out I'm bang in the middle - a lovely shade of lavender. - 12:49:29 PM TRADITIONAL VALUES COALITION: Check out their new campaign, called "Homosexual Urban Legends." Its banner poster shows the face of a young child, spliced with a demonic-looking, green-shaded older man with a beard. The first item in their series is called: "Exposed: Homosexual Child Molesters." Karl Rove must be thrilled. It's working! It's working! Here's the image:
- 11:09:21 AM THE SLIPPERY SLOPE: Maybe Stanley Kurtz is right. Only a couple of months after the Goodridge ruling came into effect in Massachusetts, even the swans are becoming lesbian. It's the beginning of the end, I tell you. (No data yet on the rate of homosexuality among Norwegian parrots.) - 10:31:55 AM STRIPPING THE COURTS: The Republican leadership, furious that courts are - shock! - upholding minority rights, are now planning to strip them of jurisdiction in such cases. That's now the DeLay strategy:
Majority Leader Tom DeLay (R-Texas) told reporters yesterday that he plans to use "jurisdiction stripping" measures to achieve other social policy goals as well. For example, he will push legislation to stop federal courts from hearing lawsuits related to the words "under God" in the Pledge of Allegiance.
The GOP also wants to use their plantation in DC as an experiment, dictating that the district cannot recognize marriages from elsewhere, if they are between gay citizens. And this is the party that trumpets that the voters should decide. Not in DC. - 10:26:28 AM
Wednesday, July 14, 2004 QUOTE OF THE DAY: "No one lied. No one made up the intelligence. No one inserted things into the dossier against the advice of the intelligence services. Everyone genuinely tried to do their best in good faith for the country in circumstances of acute difficulty. That issue of good faith should now be at an end ... But I have to accept, as the months have passed, it seems increasingly clear that at the time of invasion, Saddam did not have stockpiles of chemical or biological weapons ready to deploy ... I have searched my conscience, not in the spirit of obstinacy, but in genuine reconsideration in the light of what we now know, in answer to that question. And my answer would be that the evidence of Saddam's WMD was indeed less certain, less well-founded than was stated at the time. But I cannot go from there to the opposite extreme. On any basis he retained complete strategic intent on WMD and significant capability. The only reason he ever let the inspectors back into Iraq was that he had 180,000 US and British troops on his doorstep ... Had we backed down in respect of Saddam, we would never have taken the stand we needed to take on WMD, never have got progress on Libya ... and we would have left Saddam in charge of Iraq, with every malign intent and capability still in place and every dictator with the same intent everywhere immeasurably emboldened. For any mistakes made, as the report finds, in good faith, I of course take full responsibility. But I cannot honestly say I believe getting rid of Saddam was a mistake at all." - Tony Blair, yesterday. It's a classy, honest, intelligent and sincere rebuke to the anti-war arguments. If only the president had the character and strength to say something as candid. - 10:29:40 PM THE EDWARDS BOUNCE: It may not be huge in national polls, but it does seem to have had an impact on the electoral college, according to this synthesis of new polls in eighteen states:
Was there an Edwards bounce? Yes. Kerry picked up 30 electoral votes since yesterday and now leads by 117 EV. Of the new state polls, Kerry is ahead in 12, Bush is ahead in 4, and one is an exact tie. Since all of these are battleground states, this is good news for Kerry. He is ahead in Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Missouri. There is no conceivable scenario in which Bush can lose the majority of these states and win the election. But before Kerry supporters start popping the champagne corks, note that the vice-presidential bounce is usually short lived. Two weeks from now we will find out how much real change there is, if any.
another site comes to the same conclusion: Kerry: 322; Bush: 216. On the other hand, the Iowa futures market has Bush inching ahead a little this week.
SANTORUM'S HYPERBOLE: Eugene Volokh rebuts the Senator's hysteria about the Defense of Marriage Act.
MEL'S ENGLISH PRIEST: An old duffer who refused to say the Vatican II mass died yesterday:
A quiet, kindly man who had been a practitioner of martial arts in his younger days, on July 2 Father Oswald Baker declared: "I am ready to die" - which he then did.
ALLAWI ON SADDAM: He insists that the old dictator had contacts with al Qaeda and other terrorist organizations. Someone tell the New York Times.
MARRIAGE IN CANADA: Another province, the Yukon, grants gays the right to civil marriage. CORRECTION: Yukon is a territory, not a province.
EMAIL OF THE DAY: "You write that Dean Jones 'is known chiefly as one of Disney's top stars in the 1960s and 1970s.' Perhaps the highlight of his career, however, was his starring role as Robert in the Sondheim musical "Company." There is some sad irony there." More ironies on the Letters Page. - 10:28:33 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY II: "Whoa! Wait a second! FMA collapses because of lack of REPUBLICAN support, and you label the Republican Party as exclusionary? Yes, some in the party supported it because of a heartfelt conviction that it was the right thing to do. The FMA went to honest debate within the party, and guess what? It lost. Seems to me the Republican Party is not the scary, neo-fascist entity you make it out to be. I consider myself to be pretty conservative, and a "right wing" Christian – one of your favorite whipping boys – but I did not support FMA on grounds of Federalism, and because, quite frankly, I thought it unnecessarily hostile. That being said, however, there is room for reasonable debate, and the only place where that debate could take place is the non-monolithic Republican Party. And as far as the consequences for W: Conservative Christians are not going to abandon him since, after all, he supported the amendment. He has maintained his good will with them. And I suspect that most of us out here following the debate have the intellectual integrity to understand that the point is debatable. The debate having been joined, it appears that your side won. So lighten up. Now that the light has faded from this sideshow, let’s get back to where this election should be fought – who will best prosecute the war on terror. Hint: It ain't John Kerry." - more feedback on the Letters Page. - 5:08:37 PM SANTORUM CELEBRITIES: Wonkette has been having some fun with the celebrities Rick Santorum turned out for his alternative Hollywood endorsement of the FMA. The headliners? Drum roll, please:
• Darrell Green (Green played for the Washington Redskins for twenty years, earning seven trips to the Pro-Bowl. Once the fastest man in the NFL, he retired as the oldest defensive back ever in the NFL) • Dean Jones (Jones was nominated for a Golden Globe Award in 1971, and is known chiefly as one of Disney's top stars in the 1960s and 1970s. He is also known for his leading role in " Herbie the Love Bug.") • Marvin Winans (Marvin is a member of the gospel group The Winans, who are Grammy, Dove and Stellar award-winners. He is also pastor of a church in Detroit, Michigan.) • Pat Boone (Boone was the second most-popular singer in the United States in the 1950s - second only to Elvis Presley. He's recognized by Billboard Magazine as the #10 rock recording artist in history.)
Of course, Pat Boone's orange-chartreuse-sherbert jacket stole the show. But hey, no one can accuse the GOP of being out of touch with the 1950s, can they? - 4:21:33 PM DERBYSHIRE AWARD NOMINEE: "Isn't that the ultimate homeland security? To defend the sanctity of marriage?" - Senator Rick Santorum, equating his campaign against marriage rights for gays with the war on terror. I should have added that the 48 - 50 procedural vote greatly understates opposition to the FMA. The Santorumites were afraid to put their amendment to the vote. If they had, it might have been crushed. Here's the Log Cabin analysis:
Senator McCain’s opposition to the amendment came just hours after Senator John Warner (R-VA) took to the floor and announced his opposition to the anti-family amendment. In addition to Senator McCain and Senator Warner's floor statements, Senator Susan Collins (R-ME) told reporters on Tuesday that, "I see no need for a constitutional amendment ... at a time when we already have a federal law on the books that protects the rights of states to define marriage as between a man and a woman." Log Cabin has made it clear from day one that this debate is not about protecting marriage, but is really about protecting the Constitution and protecting federalism. Over this past weekend, Senator Olympia Snowe (R-ME) added to the growing voices of Republican opposition to this unnecessary amendment by stating, "I believe that marriage should be defined as a marriage between man and woman, but I don't think that a constitutional amendment is necessary." Even some of the most conservative members of the Senate expressed reservations about amending the Constitution. Senator Judd Gregg (R-NH) said, "a federal constitutional Amendment is premature at this time, as federal law already gives authority to the states in recognizing marriage." Senator Chuck Hagel (R-NE) made his opposition to this amendment clear. "I do not support amending the U.S. Constitution to ban same sex marriage at this time." Senator Arlen Specter (R-PA) courageously spoke out against the amendment in the midst of a difficult primary campaign against an anti-gay opponent. Senator Lincoln Chafee (R-RI) went as far as to circulate a letter to his colleagues asking fellow Republicans to reject this anti-family amendment.
Up to a dozen Republicans would have voted against the measure. It truly is a humiliation for the anti-gay forces in the GOP. Let's hope they take this to heart - and leave the states to figure out how to accommodate gay families into American society. - 2:15:36 PM IT'S OVER: The anti-gay forces couldn't even muster a simple majority for their constitutional amendment. It lost 48 - 50. I concur with this editorial in the Cleveland Plain-Dealer:
No matter what one's position is on the socially divisive questions of same-sex marriage, civil unions and other nontraditional arrangements, the Constitution is not the place to engrave social policy - as we should have learned eight decades ago with Prohibition. Some true constitutionalists of both parties, to their credit, realize that. So the states, for now, remain in control of marriage law; the federal Defense of Marriage Act, for now, inoculates those states whose residents do not wish to recognize marriages licensed in other states. That's a status quo that can stand while American society, in the way that it does, works out what it will - or will not - accept in relationships among its members.
Thanks to all of you who lobbied against this; thanks to the many Republicans who stood up against it; thanks to the Democrats for being so solidly opposed. This is a symbolic but important blow to the agenda of the far right. They have divided their party, and tarnished their reputation for fairness - but the Constitution remains intact and unviolated. That's one reason to cheer. - 1:11:16 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY: "Great! Thank you to the theocrats and religious extremists who've shown that they're great at dividing our party during an election year. What genius! I can just see them thinking this out: "Oh, we'll force a vote on an intensely divisive issue, and make our party look like fools. This way to electoral success!!" Argh! If I didn't know that Kerry would be a disaster against the Islamofascists, I'd seriously be reconsidering my vote right now. However, it looks like GWB will be getting a grudging vote from me, just like he did in 2000. Boy, and I had thought things had changed since then." - more feedback on the Letters Page. - 12:38:42 PM LOWRY GETS TETCHY: Rich Lowry objects to my use of the shorthand phrase, "Santorum theocrats and old-school conservativess." Perhaps I should have been clearer about what I meant. By "old school," I mean simply those who think the states should have primary responsibility for dealing with family law, that the federal Constitution should not be amended for social policy or electoral reasons, and that everyone - including gays - should be asked to live up to the same levels of responsibility in America. The Santorum wing, in contrast, is a relatively new one in conservatism. Its origins lie in the Dixie Democratic party and the Francoite conservatism embraced by Opus Dei founder, Monsignor Escriva. It beieves in the literal application of Biblical or Vatican views to the civil law of the United States - and amending the very Constitution to achieve this hardly troubles them at all. And yes, in my view, writing into the constitution a measure that would deny gay couples not just marriage rights but also domestic partnerships and civil unions is indecent. And using fear of homosexuals to galvanize a party base is indecent. And passing laws, as in Virginia, that try and take away even the right of private contract from homosexual couples is indecent. And tolerating outright bigotry, as Lowry does in his own online magazine by publishing John Derbyshire's rants against gays, is also indecent. If that's preachy, so be it. I'm not denying Lowry's right to say or publish anything. I am eager and happy to defend his civil rights and First Amendment rights, and have often defended the right of individuals and groups to uphold private discrimination against gays and voice hate-speech without fear of the law. But I also believe that gay citizens should have equal rights as well. Lowry doesn't. That's the difference between us. I support his civil rights; he opposes mine. - 12:36:30 PM DITKA'S PLATFORM: Tim Perry has the goods: "ultra-ultra-ultra conservative."
THE FMA COLLAPSES: Even I didn't anticipate quite how humiliating the FMA debate would be for the religious right. They cannot agree on amendment language, they have managed to make the GOP look exclusionary and intolerant, and they look likely to lose by a big margin. Meanwhile, not only Lynne Cheney and John McCain have been standing up for conservative principle. Here's Richard Epstein from CATO, making the obvious case; even the Wall Street Journal has balked at the Allard-Musgrave language; and the conservative Chicago Tribune has also come out against. Maybe the Rove strategy - to use fear of homosexuals as a rallying cry for his fundamentalist base - will pay dividends. But maybe the abject failure of this measure, the splits it has opened up among Republicans, and the way in which many leading figures in the party just cannot go along with the far right's agenda, will only anger the religious right sufficiently to stay home in November. All I can say is that, from one perspective, that of the gay community, president Bush has done what no Democratic candidate has been able to do for a couple of decades: he has united the entire community around the Democrats. The effort by many of us to persuade gay voters to consider the Republicans, to give Bush a chance, has been rendered almost comically moot this fall. Bush won a quarter of gay votes in 2000. I wonder if he'll even get a tenth of them this year. He deserves fewer. - 11:50:37 AM
Tuesday, July 13, 2004 THE MULLAHS' PATHOLOGY: Here's Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei blaming the terrorist violence against civilians in Iraq on ... Americans and Israelis. "We seriously suspect the agents of the Americans and Israelis in conducting such horrendous terrorist acts and cannot believe the people who kidnap Philippines nationals, for instance, or behead U.S. nationals are Muslims." Try not to burst out laughing.
BLAIR ON THE BRINK: Johnny Freedland is a pretty good indicator of where the liberal chattering classes in London now are on the question of Tony Blair. Here's the money quote from his column:
The plain truth is this: British troops went to kill and be killed last year on a false premise. We were told Saddam had WMD and he did not; we were told he was a threat to us and he was not. So far that act has brought no consequences on its perpetrators. Those who made bad errors in shedding light on the act - at the BBC and the Daily Mirror - have paid for their errors. But for the act itself, there has been no punishment. This suggests a failure of our very system of governance: it allowed a government to go to war in defiance of its people and on a false pretext and get away with it. The system needs to prove that it can correct itself - and to do it soon.
The knives are out for Blair, but he remains Labour's best electoral asset. My bet is that he will survive, but that, alas, is no longer certain. - 11:00:51 PM ALLAWI AND THE STREET: He has a sense of what Iraqis want, according to Christopher Dickey. Top priority: order. I think it's safe to say now that you'd be a fool to under-estimate the new Iraqi government.
QUOTE FOR THE DAY: "Many, if not most, Americans have reasoned that there is no overriding urgent need to act at this time. And they are right to do so. The legal definition of marriage has always been left to the states to decide, in accordance with the prevailing standards of their neighborhoods and communities. Certainly, that view has prevailed for many years in my party where we adhere to a rather stricter federalism than has always been the case in the prevailing views among our friends in the Democratic Party. Some fear that the decision in Massachusetts will ultimately result in the imposition of different views on marriage in communities where the traditional view of marriage is considered singular and sacred. But there really is insufficient reason presently to fear such a result." - Senator John McCain, on the religious right's Federal Marriage Amendment. - 11:00:28 PM BAUER THREATENS: Here's the latest bluster from the religious right as they face a potentially crippling defeat in the Senate on their anti-gay amendment:
Any senator of either party who votes against traditional marriage will be opposed for reelection by the Campaign for Working Families Political Action Committee. If a dozen or more Republican senators jump ship on this fundamental issue it will be a sad day for the Party of Lincoln and Reagan and it could go a long way to causing an electoral disaster for the party in November.
By "vote against traditional marriage," he means vote against putting a ban on marriage for gays into the Constitution. His apparent inability to see the distinction is partly what got him into this mess. Others are getting paranoid. Here's Senator Wayne Allard, using the kind of language often deployed when speaking of a despised minority:
"There is a master plan out there from those who want to destroy the institution of marriage to, first of all, begin to take this issue in a few select courts throughout this country at the state level."
A "master plan?" By people who want to "destroy" the institution of marriage? Who on earth is he talking about? But few, as usual, come close to the hysteria of Senator Santorum. Again, listen to his description of those of us who fought for so long for equality in marriage:
"Marriage is hate. Marriage is a stain. Marriage is an evil thing. That's what we hear."
From whom? Certainly not from anyone I know of in the marriage movement. The only possible justification for his remarks is the Massachusetts' Supreme Court's description of an arbitrary bar against gays being a "stain" against the notion of equal rights in the Massachusetts constitution. But that is not the same as saying that marriage itself is somehow a stain or evil. Why do these people have to demonize and lie about their opponents? Because if they accurately described us, the hysteria and ignorance that fuel this amendment would be even plainer to see.
MBEKI AGAIN: Yes, it's not crazy to worry about drug resistance using a monotherapy for HIV. But when you can reduce the chances of passing HIV from mother to child by fifty percent, and when other medications are not easily available, it makes no sense at all to keep nevaripine back. But that's what the South African government is now doing. Their obtuseness in the face of a massive crisis keeps beggaring belief.
- 10:58:19 PM RED-HANDED?: But pictures of priests having sex with each other and downloading child-porn is just a "childish prank." The Vatican has no comment. But allowing committed gay couples to marry will cause the downfall of civilization. - 5:55:40 PM SHE MADE IT UP: The anti-Semitic attack on a woman in the Paris metro was a hoax. My apologies. - 4:24:17 PM HAVING A BAD DAY? It could be worse.
- 1:30:09 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY: "About a week ago I went to my in-laws house for dinner after work and was greeted with a petition. A petition to try and put the FMA into reality. I told my mother-in-law that I could not sign their petition. She promptly says, "Oh, you're one of those." I don't know if she meant a gay-backer or someone who doesn't hold their wacky Christian views. I responded with "I cannot sign a petition that puts something discriminatory into the Constitution." She proceeded to tell me that whether I sign it or not it is going to pass. (Clearly I don't think she pays attention to the news, but just the rhetoric of a few.) I said, "Well at least I'll take pride in knowing that I had nothing to do with a horrible policy." Now I personally am indifferent if homosexuals or heterosexuals marry. I am married myself, but what one couple does is their choice and it won't affect me either way. I have gay friends, I have worked with gays & lesbians, I have gone out with gays & lesbians, and funny... I've never felt like their life-style was being forced on me. Go figure, regular people... I love my in-laws and they are truly good Christians. They help people, take care of people, all the things most Sunday-Christians DON'T DO, they do it 24x7. They are firm in their beliefs and it bothers the hell out of me that they can hold a discriminating view point. They don't watch "Will and Grace" and turn up their nose to anything homosexual in nature, yet feel free to make gay jokes. It really bothers me that people who live their lives in accordance with the teachings God and Jesus can't see the flaw in what FMA means. These people also need to remember that when it comes to this great United States of America that our founding fathers, who were mostly Christian, did not want this country to become a religious nation, that is why they came here. This may be a 'nation of Christians,' but not a 'Christian Nation.' Very different." - More feedback on the Letters Page. - 1:06:34 PM COULD THE FMA BACKFIRE? Long ago, I argued that the Federal Marriage Amendment could become a wedge issue - for the Democrats. It unites the Dems in defense of civil rights and the constitution and has already worsened the splits among Republicans between the Santorum theocrats and the old-school conservatives. I've also long pointed out that the amendment as introduced would clearly make civil unions and domestic partnerships unconstitutional - and that is indeed one of the reasons the Allard version might not even get a simple majority. It's not over yet, but the signs are ominous for the religious right:
Republicans apparently were taken by surprise when Democrats, sensing a huge victory, offered to lift their own objections and proceed to direct consideration of the measure. As many as a dozen Republicans, various aides and lobbyists said, might bolt from their party on the issue. Many Republicans have long been wary of federal intrusion on what has always been a state domain, believing an amendment would violate their basic principle of keeping the federal government out of state matters. Many also have expressed concern that the current wording of the Federal Marriage Amendment also would ban civil unions and domestic partnerships that are considered legal alternatives to marriage.
Could Bush have destroyed the relationship between gays and the GOP, and wrecked what reputation he has left as a uniter rather than divider for ... nothing? - 12:49:57 PM QUOTE FOR THE DAY: "I have been slow to recognize the bigger issues that are just killing this market in part because I wanted to believe that the current President Bush is smarter than he sounds or looks. I wanted to believe that he could articulate correctly why we went to war in some foreign land where a thousand guys have died and billions have been spent. But he hasn't. He had terrible intelligence and bad homework, stuff I fire people for regularly and always have. What we see now in the market is a gradual realization that Bush will be forced out in November and a new man will be president, a man who may not be better for the stock market but one who arguably may not be worse if simply because a gridlocked government is better than the drunken spending and the no-vision team we have in now." - Jim Cramer, market analyst and investor, of CNBC's Kudlow and Cramer, in his pay-only column on his website. I wonder if Jim would consider making this column available for free. - 12:42:30 PM FISKING BUSH: I take on his radio address on the Federal Marriage Amendment.
THE VACCINE DREAM: Having studied this subject for over a decade, I cannot say I'm surprised that a vaccine for a super-sophisticated, constantly evolving retro-virus is still elusive. Better to focus on treatment - making it simpler, more powerful and cheaper. - 12:30:46 PM EUROPE AND THE JEWS: Yet another sickening anti-Semitic attack in France, and the usual blathering from Chirac about it. When Chirac actually criticizes his favorite Arab states for fomenting anti-Semitism, then I'll take him seriously. Meanwhile, we get the following veiled threat from Deutsche Welle:
Since the territories before the Six Day War in 1967 weren't part of a sovereign state, one couldn't speak of an "occupation," therefore the Geneva Convention wasn't applicable, the argument went. But out of "generosity," Israel said it was prepared to follow parts of the convention. But after the ruling in The Hague, the days of such selective generosity should be over. Now, it's official: Israel is an occupying force, and does have to abide by international law if it doesn't wish to be treated as a pariah.
How about finding a way to defend itself from terror? Or do murdered Jews no longer concern the Germans?
BUY HITCH A DRINK: I'm not sure this is the best idea, but who am I to object? Instead of paying our favorite writers, why not reward them with Johnny Walker Red?
DEATH BY HAIR-DRYER: No, this is not a new device invented by drag queens to torture Trent Lott, it's apparently an al Qaeda dream:
Rabei Osman Sayed Ahmed] boasts that while the Americans possess nuclear weapons, he has seen "something in the form of a hair dryer" that causes "the most horrible death possible" by suffocation.
Does anyone know what he's referring to? And I don't mean this.
OKRENT AND KELLER: Jeff Jarvis has some interesting things to say about how well the new NYT ombudsman is doing. I must say I thought his piece on the Tony Hendra affair was brilliantly nuanced and intelligent (full disclosure: I chatted with him about it but didn't come up with the resolution he did). I also think he's been doing a pretty good job - independent without being too snarky, and clear about how he reaches his judgments even if you disagree with him. Pity the NYT doesn't seem to agree. - 1:13:00 AM THE OUTERS: Some of you have asked me what I think about the campaign to out closeted staffers for Republican senators who may vote for the FMA. In a word, I think it's wrong. The people perpetrating it are the usual suspects - people who are only truly happy when persecuting others. The viciousness of the campaign, the way it demonizes individuals whose own consciences are unknowable to any outsider, is a mark of authoritarianism and cruelty. You cannot force people to be honorable, let alone heroes. You cannot force people to have self-respect. I do believe, however, that those gay men and women who are supporting some Senators in this war against gay citizens are acting dishonorably. I can see compromises that are inevitable in politics - even on the issue of marriage. But the Constitutional Amendment seems to me to be in a class of its own. It's an unprecedented attack on the citizenship of an entire minority of Americans. On a personal level, I try and persuade closeted gays working for the homophobic parts of the GOP - I know some who are even working for Ralph Reed, for goodness's sake - to stand up against this, to quit if they are required to go along, and at the very least to come out to their bosses and make a case internally. But if they cannot do this, it is their loss. In the end, we will all have to live with our consciences. That's hard enough to do with our own, let alone everyone else's.
A KERRY WHOPPER: More African-Americans in jail than college? Not even close.
WAITING FOR MARSHALL: And waiting ... And waiting ...
QUOTE FOR THE DAY: "We come now to create our album of life. Throughout our individual and collective journeys, sometimes through pain and conflict, we've discovered the true meaning of family. As we accomplish ultimate togetherness, we become healers of ourselves and the countless who embrace us and our message. We have learned and we understand. Now we must share." - the "Mission Statement" for heavy metal group Metallica's new album, drafted by their "performance-enhancement coach." (Taken from the latest GQ review of the new documentary, "Some Kind of Monster.") - 1:12:12 AM
Monday, July 12, 2004 CORNYN AND BOX TURTLES: From Senator John Cornyn's press secretary: "For what it's worth, Sen. Cornyn did not, in his speech to the Heritage Foundation, use the 'box turtles' quote. The Post was given a copy of remarks 'as prepared,' but Sen. Cornyn did not like that passage, and did not use it. The Post, which did not attend the speech, reported the quote nonetheless. Sen. Cornyn said that he did not think that statement appropriate, that's why he didn't use it. I've advised the Post of this fact."
- 3:30:35 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY: "I'm growing a bit frustrated with the media, including you, running with this Kerry and Edwards being the first and fourth most liberal Senators. Everyone is citing the National Journal's ratings but they are doing it sloppily. I have seen no recent article that cites anything but the 2003 ratings where Kerry missed 37 and Edwards missed 22 of 62 votes and both were setting themselves up for primary battles where their base was essential. Think what you may about missing votes and pandering a bit (seems suicide to not do both when going for the nomination), but my larger point is the media should be looking at this much more historically and in years when Edwards and Kerry actually showed up to do their jobs. I'll do it for them. Following are rankings and liberal scores since 1999.
2003: Kerry - 1st (96.5) Edwards - 4th (94.5) 2002: Kerry - 9th (87.3) Edwards - 31st (63.0) Edwards made the centrist list. 2001: Kerry - 11th (87.7) Edwards - 35th (68.2) Edwards almost tied with Lieberman. 2000: Kerry - 20th (77) Edwards - 19th (80.8) Rankings past 20 are not available nor are composite scores for all Senators, so Kerry is 21st or higher. 1999: Kerry - 16th (80.8) Edwards - 31st (72.2)
Now this paints a different picture. Certainly Kerry is a stalwart liberal (although probably not or barely a top 10 liberal), but he does hail from and represent one of the most liberal states. But Edwards is definitely a moderate Democrat (if you define that as somewhere in the ideological middle of the Democratic platform).
Do I have a point?" Yep, I think this reader has a point. More points on the Letters Page. - 2:41:23 PM JOHN CORNYN'S VIEW OF GAYS: Here's an interesting site about box turtles: "Their trademark is a hinge on the front part of the plastron allowing the turtle to close up very tightly. This feature provides great protection from raccoons, foxes and other predators." If only we gays had similar protections against predators in the Senate. - 2:36:25 PM SELF-PARODY WATCH: The Guardian urges readers not to buy Budwesier because ... well ...:
Surprising as it sounds, the American brewer of Budweiser, Anheuser-Busch, also owns the SeaWorld chain, home to several performing killer whales. A British group, Born Free, has no problem with beer, but believes that it is cruel to keep animals in captivity. The most prominent case is that of Corky the orca, currently living at SeaWorld San Diego.
There's much more. Bacardi, for example, might be anti-Castro. Unforgivable. - 12:13:00 PM DERBYSHIRE AWARD NOMINEE: "It does not affect your daily life very much if your neighbor marries a box turtle. But that does not mean it is right. . . . Now you must raise your children up in a world where that union of man and box turtle is on the same legal footing as man and wife." - Sen. John Cornyn (R-Tex.), comparing gay people to animals, in a speech Thursday to the Heritage Foundation. - 12:04:39 PM MONDAY LUNCHTIME HUMOR BREAK: Bush and Kerry do a duet. - 12:01:03 PM
Sunday, July 11, 2004 THE CASE FOR WAR: To my mind, the war to depose Saddam is still justifiable, morally important, and will, if we stay the course, eventually be regarded as an important milestone in the war against terror. But at the same time, it seems to me that there's no denying that the actual case made by the Bush administration for war was built on false information. Listen to what Republican Senator Pat Roberts said on "Meet The Press" yesterday. He was asked if the Senate would have voted for war if Senators knew then what we know now, in terms of the WMD intelligence fiasco:
"I think the whole premise would have changed, I think the whole debate would have changed, and I think that the response would have changed in terms of any kind of military plans. Very difficult to look in the rear-view mirror, 20/20 hindsight and say what you would have done under those circumstances. Jay [Rockefeller] has indicated he wouldn't have voted for it. Jay has also indicated that there probably wouldn't have been the votes to go to war. I think if we went back to the no-fly zones and the resolutions by the U.N. and an awful lot of talk, I doubt if the votes would have been there."
So if we had had accurate intelligence, the war would not have taken place. I reiterate: I'm still glad we fought it. But this remains one of the biggest government screw-ups in recent history. It has made future pre-emption based on intelligence close to impossible. And President Bush is ultimately responsible for this. Tenet has taken the fall, but it will take years and years before the U.S. regains the reputation for credibility that this president has destroyed. Even if you believe that Bush is still the best man to fight this war, you also have to concede that his record includes at least one massive error, and one that will cripple our ability to fight the war in the future.
AUSTIN VERSUS DR EVIL: My take on the fascinating Edwards-Cheney contrast.
STONEWALLING ON TORTURE: I've let up on the administration on the Abu Ghraib and torture issues because I found their released memos to be persuasive evidence that they did not condone such tactics. But that does not mean they should release no more data or be as resistant to investigation as they have become. The Washington Post yesterday kept up the pressure. They should. So should Senator Warner. The question of whether someone high up in the administration condoned illegal torture is not a minor one; and scapegoating of minions, if that is what is going on, is unconscionable. - 10:47:29 PM THE RESISTANCE (CTD.): Thanks, Lynne. The vice-president's wife is sticking, mercifully, to federalist principle and opposes the religious right amendment to the Constitution. But I think it's incorrect to say that she necessarily differs from her husband. Dick Cheney has never said he disavows his belief that marriage should remain a matter for the states. He has merely said he'll abide by George Bush's decision to prevent any state from enacting marriages, civil unions or domestic partnerships for gay citizens through a federal amendment. Mrs Cheney, of course, has a lesbian daughter and so it is hard for her to see gay people as some sort of "threat" to the family. After all, a gay person is her family. I'm heartened and grateful that there are some decent people still left in the Republican leadership. Meanwhile, there's only one thing you really need to know about this week's Senate vote on the amendment. And that is its backers would rather lose votes than propose a simple one-line amendment reserving marriage for heterosexuals. More tolerant alternatives - that would have simply said "Marriage in the United States shall consist only of the union of a man and a woman," or that would have constitutionalized DOMA, or that would have merely restricted courts - all these have been ruled out in favor of an amendment whose second sentence reads:
Neither this Constitution, nor the Constitution of any State or Federal law, shall be construed to require that marital status or the legal incidents thereof be conferred upon unmarried couples or groups. (My italics)
If you removed the italicized phrase, you'd ahve a reiteration of the first sentence. But that phrase is critical to the religious right. On its face, it would ban any court-prompted civil unions, domestic partnerships or indeed any protections or "legal incidents" for gay couples short of marriage. That means the end of civil unions in Massachusetts and Vermont, for starters. This is not, and never has been, about "protecting" marriage. If it were, the amendment would need just one sentence, and would stand a far better chance of passing. The amendment is about ensuring the second class citizenship of an entire minority. The timing is designed to exploit fear of that unmentionable minority into a winning strategy for president Bush's re-election. Because of those two things, it is one of the most disgusting measures ever introduced into the U.S. Senate. - 10:46:00 PM WASHINGTON VERSUS MAKIYA: Another betrayal of the forces for good in Iraq.
WILSON LIED TO MARSHALL: Yep, it's right there in the Talking Points Memo interview, unearthed by Greg Djerejian:
For those who would assert that somehow she was involved in this, it just defies logic. At the time, she was the mother of two-year-old twins. Therefore, sort of sending her husband off on an eight-day trip leaves her with full responsbility for taking care of two screaming two year old kids without help, anybody who is parent would understand what that means. Anybody who is a mother would understand it even far better. Secondly, I mean, the notion somehow that this was some nepotism, that I was being sent on an eight-day, all-expense paid--no salary, mind you--trip to the Sahara desert. This is not Nassau we were talking about. This is not the Bahamas. It wasn't Maui. This was the Sahara desert. And then, the only other thing I can think of is the assertion that she wanted me out of the way for eight days because she, you know, had a lover or something, which is, you don't take lovers when you have two year old kids at home. So there's no logic in it.
Perhaps no logic. Just a whole lot of truth.
MOORE AGAIN: Here's another indictment from a Lebanese paper, befuddled by Moore's insistence that the Saudis were behind the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq (even though they publicly opposed both interventions):
At the heart of Moore's film lies the malevolent influence of "the Saudis," a phrase that in the US is increasingly spat out with utter contempt, reminiscent of the tone reserved for "the Jews" in anti-Semitic discourse, ascribing to millions of otherwise heterogeneous people the same menacing and hostile essence. In a great deal of contemporary American discourse, any group of Saudis - including the government, security services, and any collection of citizens, not to mention Osama bin Laden, Al-Qaeda and the hijackers of Sept. 11, 2001 - all represent "the Saudis."
At some point, the loony left is going to have decide between its demons: are the Jews and neocons the evil ones or are the Saudis? (On a related note, F9/11 has now officially surpassed the entire take of "Jackass." My joke didn't pan out.)
- 10:43:59 PM JONAH VERSUS JOSH: On the Wilson affair. Here's Josh. Here's Jonah. I'm with the latter. Make your own mind up.
KERRY ON AIDS DISCRIMINATION: My hat is off to John Kerry for taking the obvious and long-overdue position that people with HIV should not be barred from entering the United States and they should not be barred from becoming citizens. These days, it's all but impossible for the U.S. to even host an international conference on AIDS because it would have to refuse entry to anyone with HIV. And the notion that HIV is a bar to citizenship is one of the most noxious and discriminatory laws in this country - perpetuating stigma and HIV-phobia. I wonder what Bush's response will be. Does he favor lifting the ban on HIV-positive immigrants? His own AIDS advisory council is. Is there some "compassion" in compassionate conservatism that isn't some kind of sop to the religious right? We'll see. - 12:54:42 PM THE RESISTANCE: One good sign that the targeted moderates in the GOP are beginning to fight back against the Santorum-Dobson wing:
Moderate Republican senators grumble that some longtime contributors are refusing their usual contribution to the Republican presidential campaign. Their biggest grievance: Bush's endorsement of the anti-gay marriage constitutional amendment.
Saturday, July 10, 2004 EMAIL OF THE DAY: "Andrew, like all of us you deserve a national party that represents faithfully at least most of your political philosophy. Right now that may not be either major party, but it could be the GOP after it is forced to engage in a real internal debate about its future and direction. In other words, a Kerry-Edwards win in 2004 might force the GOP to decide what it wants to be--the party of Pat Tillman, Rudy Guiliani, John McCain, and Arnold or the party of Rick Santorum and Ralph Reed. Only faced with a loss in November will the GOP have the opportunity to have this dialogue. Imagine how engaged you will be, and how exhilirating that New Hampshire primary will be in 2008? But if Bush wins there is no chance that anyone will stop to ask the hard questions. The contradictions and the fissures will simply be papered over and the Santorums will continue their triumphal march, smug and unchecked. If nothing else, a Kerry-Edwards win in November does two positive things for this country: first, it gives the GOP a chance to pause and make intelligent choices, a chance to improve itself into something that Sullivan and Kaus and Simon might all feel comfortable in. Second, a Kerry-Edwards win puts a roadblock in front of Hillary Rodham Clinton for good. Win win, I say." - more feedback on the Letters Page.
- 2:05:42 PM BUSH ON THE FMA: His radio talk this morning could have been written by Gary Bauer. No mention of the actual people affected by the amendment - gay couples merely trying to live lives of commitment and love. No understanding of the real Constitutional issues involved - just an hysterical screed against "activist" courts. No mention of the fact that 38 states have already banned equality for gays in marriage. No explanation of why the Defense of Marriage Act is obviously unconstitutional or why a court will soon strike it down. No mention of civil unions. And, again, no actual use of the words "gay", "lesbian" or "homosexual." This really is a revealing silence. Think what he could have said: let's keep marriage for heterosexuals, but let's find a way to protect the relationships of our gay and lesbian fellow-citizens. That would be a "uniter" not a "divider." But Bush is a tool of the fundamentalist right - a movement that seeks not simply to keep marriage for straights, but to strip gay people of dignity, rights, protections and equality. If he were to call us by name, he would violate the fundamentalists' belief: that gay people don't exist, that we're sick heterosexuals, that we need to be put in therapy or jail. Yesterday, Bush decided to show he was a moderate by arguing that people should be allowed privacy in their own bedrooms (a policy he opposed when supporting Texas' disgusting gays-only sodomy law as governor). That's it. That's what he thinks the place of gay people is in society. We're lucky not to be arrested in our own homes. - 1:58:07 PM FRC COMPLAINS: The line-up at the Republican convention - full of social moderates and liberals, in direct contrast to the hard-right social policies of the Bush administration - is beginning to anger the fundamentalists. Here's a passage from the Family Research Council's latest email bulletin:
The party seems poised to keep some of its most articulate spokesmen such as Senators Sam Brownback and Rick Santorum and Representatives Henry Hyde and Mike Pence and other leaders on life and family issues behind the scenes. By keeping them on the sidelines they have missed a chance to emphasize the real heart of the party and the sharp contrast between the Republican Party and Democratic Party. By treating the vast majority of the GOP faithful like "fly over" country, the convention organizers douse the enthusiasm of pro-family voters - meanwhile they may show up to vote, they may not bring two or three friends along with them to the polls. Note to Republican Party organizers: Find a primetime spot for a speaker who the pro-family community knows and trusts and who will speak to the issues that have driven so many voters to pull the lever for the GOP in the past.
They're right. The current line-up is so out of line with what the GOP now stands for it ranks as an act of outright deception. I'm told I'd complain either way. Nope. I'd love Arnold and McCain and Pataki and Giuliani to speak out and represent an inclusive party - if that were the case. But since the GOP is now at its core a Christian fundamentalist party - and non-fundamentalists are suspect members - the line-up should reflect that fact. Put Brownback and Santorum up there. Have them explain their views about abortion (always illegal) and homosexuality (potentially a criminal offense). And let the voters decide. - 1:42:19 PM WILSON IS A LIAR: Oh joy. One of the most pompous self-serving "victims" yet to emerge from the debate on the Iraq war now turns out to have some serious 'splaining to do. It turns out his wife did indeed help get him the job to explore Sadddam's contacts in Africa. Then there's this:
The report also said Wilson provided misleading information to The Washington Post last June. He said then that he concluded the Niger intelligence was based on documents that had clearly been forged because "the dates were wrong and the names were wrong." "Committee staff asked how the former ambassador could have come to the conclusion that the 'dates were wrong and the names were wrong' when he had never seen the CIA reports and had no knowledge of what names and dates were in the reports," the Senate panel said. Wilson told the panel he may have been confused and may have "misspoken" to reporters. The documents -- purported sales agreements between Niger and Iraq -- were not in U.S. hands until eight months after Wilson made his trip to Niger.
On the face of it, Wilson is a complete, partisan fraud. - 1:29:12 PM
Friday, July 09, 2004 BROWNBACK'S GAFFE: Here's an interesting sentence in Senator Sam Brownback's piece in favor of the Federal Marriage Amendment:
If the movement for civil unions and same-sex marriage succeeds, we may well be dealing a fatal blow to an already vulnerable institution.
(My italics). It's a gaffe because Brownback let out of the bag what the FMA is really designed to do. Those FMA advocates who claim that they have no problem with civil unions but only draw the line at marriage are lying. The FMA will bar all civil unions, domestic partnerships and any civil arrangement that gives a modicum of dignity and security to gay citizens; and the religious right is as opposed to such arrangements as they are opposed to marriage rights for gays. Their goal is to strip gay couples of any and all civil protections. That is why they will never criticize the hideous law in Virginia which strips gay couples of even the right to set up private contracts to protect their relationships; that's why they refuse to say that they support civil unions of any kind. It's a fundamentally dishonest position, designed to cloak profound animus against gay couples under the rubric of "protecting" marriage. I guess I'm glad that Brownback has now admitted what's really going on. Meanwhile, blogger Jane Galt, examines the latest gambit by the anti-gay forces: the notion that gay people make bad parents. - 9:08:07 PM SIMON AND KAUS: Roger reflects on how two liberals from the same generation ended up supporting different candidates for president this time around. As often, Roger is subtle and persuasive as he begins:
When I read Mickey Kaus, a man I know and like, was voting for John Kerry, a man he pretty much despises, in the coming election, I was reminded again what painful times we live in (sometimes even more painful than most of us realize). And, yes, I know politics is about compromise (triple duh with a brass ring on top!), but the compromises people are making now are of a substantial nature.
This is my defense, I guess. I am passionately in favor of an aggressive war against the Islamo-fascists, but I'm open to debate about tactics and strategy. I certainly don't believe that a pro-war position means some kind of blind fealty to Bush-Cheney. And, of course, as a small government, balanced-budget, libertarian homo, Bush Republicanism is anathema in so many ways. But every time I listen to Kerry, I cannot help but feel that he is hopelessly out of touch with the threats we face and might make our budget problems worse with his healthcare proposal. So I am stuck between a president whose party now officially wants to purge itself of gays and a senator I cannot trust to fight the war we need. These are painful times indeed.
- 2:07:31 PM THE REPUBLICAN PURGE: It's becoming clearer and clearer what the Federal Marriage Amendment is really about: the purging of gay Republicans and any Republicans who do not follow the dictates of the religious right. Listen to the Family Research Council's Tony Perkins in the New York Times today: "Social conservatives are looking at this issue so we know who needs to be educated on this issue or removed if that is possible." (My italics). I love that idea of "educating" politicians and, if they fail to be "educated," removing them. You know that a party has become a sect when that kind of language is used. Then there's the always charming Paul Weyrich. When asked whether he was concerned that stripping gay couples of any legal protections might alienate gay Republicans, he replied, "Good riddance." That, of course, is the president's message as well: get out of the party. Right now, the fundamentalists are organizing an unprecedented campaign, fusing religious dogma with political organizing, to write gays out of the Constitutional protections of this country. It's a seminal moment. Soon we'll see who has the courage to stand up to them.
EMAIL OF THE DAY: "I myself am a heterosexual Christian who falls into C.S. Lewis' camp. And I particularly appreciated your post-C.S. Lewis quote comment. I don't begrudge anyone his politics. But when he chooses to slap the name of Christ into the title of his political organization (i.e. The Christian Coalition), well now, THAT becomes a more serious issue. I won't go so far as to say that Christianity itself risks being "corrupted" by a mere political movement of Man, but the manner in which the Christian Coalition carries itself DOES impact the way the secular public perceives Christians as a whole. While Christians such as myself try to answer Christ's call to spread His Gospel, it seems to me that organizations like the Christian Coalition are busy erecting barriers of communication between the Church I love and the World." - More feedback on the Letters Page. - 1:47:35 PM QUOTE OF THE DAY I: "There are three things I know about John Kerry. First, that he speaks three or four languages, and one of them is French. Second, that he's married to an ex-senator's wife who's worth a billion dollars. And third, he is supposedly a Vietnam vet." - Randal Vinson, Tennessee resident, as quoted in Slate.
QUOTE FOR THE DAY II: "Before leaving the question of divorce, I should like to distinguish two things which are very often confused. The Christian conception of marriage is one: the other is the quite different question - how far Christians, if they are voters or Members of Parliament, ought to try to force their views of marriage on the rest of the community by embodying them in the divorce laws. A great many people seem to think that if you are a Christian yourself you should try to make divorce difficult for every one. I do not think that. At least I know I should be very angry if the Mohammedans tried to prevent the rest of us from drinking wine. My own view is that the Churches should frankly recognize that the majority of the British people are not Christians and, therefore, cannot be expected to live Christian lives. There ought to be two distinct kinds of marriage: one governed by the State with rules enforced on all citizens, the other governed by the Church with rules enforced by her on her own members. The distinction ought to be quite sharp, so that a man knows which couples are married in a Christian sense and which are not." - C.S. Lewis, "Mere Christianity." I've cited this passage before, but it's worth citing again in the days before the Federal Marriage Amendment vote. It comes from a Christianity that sees a critical distinction between church and state, that respects the rights of unbelievers, cares about minorities, and seeks to keep faith free from politicization. What a contrast with the religious right of this new millennium. My anger at them is not simply because of their contempt for gay people, but because of their corruption of Christianity. - 12:27:59 AM VALUES AND ECONOMICS: This struck me as a particularly sharp George Will column.
A LILEKS CLASSIC: Forgive me for not linking sooner. Money quote:
[Michael Moore]: Are you proud that the rest of the world, which poured out its heart to us after Sept. 11, now looks at us with disdain and disgust?
[Lileks]: Let me see if I can find the right way to put this:
No.
Again, the high-school-level thinking: “the rest of the world.” It’s simplistic to identify Iran, Iraq and North Korea as evil. It’s simplistic to state in the immediate wake of 9/11 that nations are either with the terrorists, or the United States. But it’s a sign of complex nuanced thinking to say that “the rest of the world . . . looks at us with disdain and disgust.” Yes, the world poured out its heart; it cost them nothing. Hearts are easily tipped and just as easily refilled. When the French newspaper said “We are all Americans now” it sounded nice, and I suppose it was, but in retrospect it looks as if there was an undercurrent of appeasement and surrender: we are all Americans because we are all victims in a sense, non? We ceased to earn the precious coin of French approval when we fired the chief procurer for their favorite customer, Iraq. C’est dommage. We can live with it.
Wait until France gets a hard shot in the nose. Wait until France reacts with some nasty work. They’ll get a golf-clap from the chattering class over here and a you-go-girl from Red America. France could nuke an Algerian terrorist camp and the rest of the world would tut-tut for a day, then ask if the missiles France used were for sale. And of course the answer would be oui.
Damn, I love James in a temper.
BLACK AND WHITE: I've been getting mor emails than usual complaining about the color scheme of the blog. I know it's hard on some eyes. But that's why we have a little button at the top of the Dish titled "Black and White." Click on it if you want to change the color scheme, m-kay? - 12:27:30 AM REPUBLICANS VERSUS GAYS: Now the war continues in the House. This is the July Rove strategy I predicted - to gay-bait to rally the right-wing base, and to purge the Republican leadership of any tolerance of gay relationships. They don't believe the FMA will pass, they know that it's unnecessary, but they need to use it now to blunt the Kerry advance. Meanwhile, another low blow from Maggie Gallagher, whose latest column takes a single anecdote of one child of a gay couple and argues that the debate is therefore over. Money quote:
Cassidy's story is not science. It's just her own feelings. Many researchers say most kids do just fine in these alternative family forms. Cassidy doesn't buy that research, though. "I don't think a fair study could be conducted because children currently in that family wouldn't necessarily be open to speaking their true feelings about it."
Oh, so that settles it. You don't need science or research, you just need one anecdote! Don't you think, for example, that you could find a child of a mixed race couple who feels and felt socially isolated in childhood or the object of peer pressure as a kid? Would that make a mixed-race marriage a "selfish" proposition for two adults in love? Yes, that was exactly the argument used in the 1950s and 1960s against inter-racial marriage: think of what it does to the kids. Blogger KipEsquire also weighs in. - 12:26:56 AM
Thursday, July 08, 2004 IF YOU READ FRENCH: Here's the full Le Monde review of "Fahrenheit 9/11." - 1:51:54 PM QUOTE OF THE DAY: "For a simple and compelling reason, traditional marriage has been the norm in every political community for 5,000 years." - Senator Orrin Hatch, National Review. Hatch is a Mormon.
IF YOU LIVE IN VIRGINIA: Give Senator Warner a call. He hasn't made his mind up on the religious right amendment to the Constitution. He's a good conservative and so should be able to see the trashing of federalism and stripping of civil rights that this amendment entails. 202 224 2023.
EMAIL OF THE DAY: "It is not just foreigners who now endure indignities at the US border, it is also native born US citizens. My partner and I just returned from a trip to South Africa and Zambia. We had no trouble entering either country and were met with friendly faces at all borders. Our passports were all we needed to show overseas (and they are not even biometric). There was no assumption of guilt that we were there to cause problems. That is until we got back to Atlanta. Upon returning to Atlanta, it took almost 45 minutes to get through immigration (separately of course since we are not a family). I can't imagine how long actual foreigners had to wait, their lines were much worse. Additionally, our anti-terrorist measures are something of a joke overseas. We were on a 17 hour plane ride in which we were not supposed to hang out in the aisles or near the bathrooms. I guess we should all stay in our seats and get deep-vein thrombosis instead. In fact, when the pilot announced the rules the FAA had in place, you could feel the derision and sarcasm dripping in his voice. The US has lost almost all respect overseas." More feedback on the Letters Page. - 1:45:16 PM P.R. HELL: If there's one thing the U.S. could be doing right now, it's thinking about how it can improve the country's image abroad. So what does the Bush administration do? It imposes a new immigration rule that will make life extremely difficult for foreign journalists to cover this country adequately, forcing them out of the country for long periods (up to four months) in order to renew their visas. It's already a nightmare to enter this country, because of the new security regulations. British journalists have been jailed, humiliated and deported for the most minor of details, immigration officials at the borders now have powers that defy judicial review and act accordingly. Many of my European friends tell me that they simply won't visit the U.S. any more because of the experience of entering what appears to be a police state at the border - and the risk of summary arrest for no good reason. This is bad enough when it affects millions of ordinary people - tourists, business-people (I've noticed a big decline in European tourists on the Cape this summer). But when you target the group that is responsible for conveying what the United States is to the rest of the world, you are only hurting yourself. - 12:26:10 PM THE FMA CAMPAIGN: Orrin Hatch's piece in National Review Online is a depressing read. Hatch was once skeptical of the Musgrave amendment - its sweeping removal from states any ability to determine who can get married, its denial of any legally enforceable benefits of any kind for gay couples anywhere in America. But Santorum has obviously gotten to him. It is becoming clear, as I predicted, that the anti-gay part of the Rove campaign is now in full force, as a means of galvanizing the fundamentalist base. Hatch also now adheres to the Republican establishment doctrine that there can never be a public mention of "gays, lesbians or homosexuals". To give us that sliver of dignity - the right to be named in describing an amendment designed to strip us of basic civil rights for ever - would outrage the Dobsons and Falwells and Reeds. For them it is important to remember, gay people are just sick heterosexuals. For them, homosexuality is a mental illness, not a dignified part of a human being's identity. It is so dispiriting to see one political party - as a minority comes of age - reverting to the attitudes of the 1950s. But that is what Bush has done. They're pulling out all the stops on this one - and those who believe that this FMA is somehow dead or doomed are being culpably naive. - 12:12:59 PM MICKEY ENDORSES KERRY: The most effective and often hilarious critic of John Kerry now says he'll vote for him. The rationale? Here it is:
[W]e survived Carter and we'd survive Kerry (though it will be a long, hard slog!). I plan to vote for him because I think a) we need to take a time out from Bush's strident public global terror war in order to prevent it from becoming a damaging, lifelong West vs. Islam clash--in order to "rebrand" America and digest the hard-won gains we've made in Iraq and Afghanistan (if they even remain gains by next January). Plus, b) it would be nice to make some progress on national health care, even if it's only dialectical "try a solution and find out it doesn't work" progress. I could change my mind--if, for example, I thought Kerry would actually sell out an incipient Iraqi democracy in a fit of "realistic" Scowcroftian stability-seeking (an issue Josh Marshall's recent Atlantic piece doesn't resolve). But I don't intend to agonize like last time."
Good for Mickey, I guess. I think it's sign of real intelligence that someone can both essentially loathe a candidate and still, for various reasons, vote for him. - 11:54:46 AM QUOTE OF THE DAY: "To affirm ... that ["Fahrenheit 9/11] was crowned (in Cannes) for its cinemagraphic qualities is either proof of incompetence, a pure lie or a cynical joke." - Le Monde, today. I'd opt for "pure lie."
Wednesday, July 07, 2004 PROTEST THE MULLAHS: Today, July 8, is a day of protest against the Jihadist dictators in Tehran. Here's a useful list of planned demonstrations, if that's your bag. This is also a day for checking out some pro-democracy websites/blogs. Here's one. And another. Send me more and I'll keep linking throughout the day. - 10:22:52 PM "BUSH REPUBLICANS": Kate O'Beirne has an interesting follow-up to her previous complaint about the lack of "Bush Republicans" in the New York Convention line-up. But what is a "Bush Republican"? I think it has to be a combination of the social policy of the religious right (the FMA, bans on embryo research, government support for religious charities, etc), the fiscal policy of the Keynesian left (massive new domestic spending combined with "deficits don't matter"), and the foreign policy of liberal moralism (democratization as a policy in the Middle East). So it's not surprising, is it, that there aren't many principled "Bush Republicans." Again, the GOP crib sheet on Edwards is interesting in this respect. He gets zinged, for example, for opposing the new Medicare entitlement. So how many Republicans positively believe in creating a new and fantastically expensive entitlement for the wealthiest segment in American society? I don't mean defensively explain it as unavoidable. I mean positively endorse it as an element in their conservative philosophy. The sad truth is that if Bush Republicanism exists, it's one of the most ramshackle distillations of political expediency ever tarted up as an "ism". The only compelling conservative message that Bush can use to appeal to the country as a whole is that he stands between us and a new wave of terror. So his campaign will have to be based in fear. I'm not sure that, in America, that works very well. But we'll see. - 10:21:15 PM MICKEY, PEGGY AND ME: Mickey Kaus opines that Peggy Noonan "has done the Democrats a big favor by coming up with [a winning message for Kerry]. The message is that America wants a respite from all the headstrong history-making of the past four years." Noonan argues in her recent WSJ column that
The American people may come to feel that George W. Bush did the job history sent him to do. He handled 9/11, turned the economy around, went into Afghanistan, captured and removed Saddam Hussein. And now let's hire someone who'll just by his presence function as an emollient. A big greasy one but an emollient nonetheless. I just have a feeling this sort of thing may have some impact this year. "A return to normalcy," with Mr. Kerry as the normal guy.
I agree - but then I wrote something almost identical last February in Time:
Here's what a really smart Democratic contender could say to the president this fall: "Thank you, Mr president, for your leadership in difficult times. You took some tough decisions and we are safer as a result. But the very qualities that made you a perfect pick for the war so far are the very ones that make you less effective from now on. You are too polarizing a figure to bring real peace to Iraq. You are too unpopular to allow European governments to cooperate fully in the attempt to hunt down terrorists. And your deep unpopularity in half the country makes it impossible for you to make the necessary compromises that the country needs domestically. Thanks for all you've done, but bye-bye."
And two weeks ago, I wrote in the Sunday Times in London:
Americans, moreover, are somewhat drained. War is a terrifying and enervating thing. The fear of annihilation at any moment at the hands of terrorists with WMDs is a difficult thing to live with - and, fairly or unfairly, they associate this fear with the Bush administration. The soothing dullness of a Boston Brahmin can appear somewhat attractive in contrast.
No I'm not saying anyone is copying anyone else - these ideas are common enough, framed differently, etc. But it seems to me that Noonan didn't "come up with" this scenario for the Dems. I saw it coming months ago. Kerry, of course, is far too politically stupid to play this card, even passively.
THE RACISM OF RALL: I guess he needs more attention. But Ted Rall's latest cartoon depicts his revenge fantasy on Condi Rice. She defends herself thus: "I was Bush's beard! I was his House Nigga!" Her prison guard (in the fantasy, various members of the Bush administration are treated the way Saddam now is) then tells her: "You're not white, stupid. Now hand over your hair straightener." And she is sent to "Inner City Racial Re-education Camp." If a white right-winger ever said such things about a black woman, do you think he would still be syndicated? And celebrated? - 10:19:36 PM THE POEM: Wouldn't it be helpful to read the Langston Hughes poem? Here it is in full. It is indeed beautiful and lyrical if a little trite at times. But it is also clearly a call to Communist revolution, as Tim Noah first observed and Bill Buckley noticed. The poem is rooted in the notion that the ideal of American freedom was a lie from the beginning for many people, and that public ownership of private property was the only hope:
I am the young man, full of strength and hope, Tangled in that ancient endless chain Of profit, power, gain, of grab the land! Of grab the gold! Of grab the ways of satisfying need! Of work the men! Of take the pay! Of owning everything for one's own greed!
Then there's this:
Out of the rack and ruin of our gangster death, The rape and rot of graft, and stealth, and lies, We, the people, must redeem The land, the mines, the plants, the rivers. The mountains and the endless plain-- All, all the stretch of these great green states-- And make America again!
Now I know Kerry is a liberal, but does he really want to cite a man who wanted to abolish private property and loved Stalin? Again, the right-left double standard. If a fascist poet in 1938 had called to remake a pure racial America on the lines of Hitler's Germany, would he now be quoted by any leading politician? But the communists get a pass. Again. And again. And again. - 8:43:16 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY: How long are we going to hear "Let America be America" and Hughes references before someone, other than Bill Buckley, points out exactly what sort of America Hughes was hoping to see? This sounds like it's turning into the official Kerry-Edwards slogan, good enough I guess, assuming you have to borrow, and I guess it's a nice poem and all, but apparently someone forgot to tell someone else that Langston Hughes was not just a poor, black, populist poet, but a Marxist one. The America he was looking for is an interesting one. Guys, you gotta vet the poets you quote.
From "Goodbye Christ" (1932) -- Langston Hughes
Goodbye, Christ Jesus Lord God Jehovah, Beat it on away from here now. Make way for a new guy with no religion at all — A real guy named Marx Communist Lenin Peasant Stalin Worker ME." - More feedback on the Letters Page. - 12:20:16 PM THE FILTHY CRITIC: He's a big lefty who hates the president. But he has a lot more intellectual integrity than Paul Krugman. Check out his evisceration of Michael Moore. Funny how something like this only appears on the web. - 11:00:01 AM THE REPUBLICAN LIE: Finally, a conservative objects to the fact that social liberals are all going to be given the prime speaking spots at the Republican convention. Kate O'Beirne wants to know where the real leaders of today's GOP are: Rick Santorum, Tom DeLay, Bill Frist. She's right. If it's a sign of weakness that Kerry picked Edwards, why is it not a sign of panic that Republicans are showcasing people who have opposed much of Bush's domestic agenda at their convention?
DERBYSHIRE AWARD NOMINEE: "Many of us feel discomfort at confronting this issue. I sure don't like writing about it. Shouldn't we live and let live? But as Dobson points out, history demonstrates that initial appeasement just worsens the eventual ramifications. When the countries of pre-World War II Europe noticed Adolf Hitler's emerging aggression, they said, "It's not my business." But, as we now know, it was their business. How much sorrow might have been prevented had they recognized that burying their head in the sand wouldn't help?" - columnist Shaunti Feldhahn, in the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, comparing gay couples seeking marriage rights with Nazis. - 10:54:04 AM FISKING KERRY: The veep pick was the right one. But did you hear Kerry's speech yesterday? It was so bad, so vacuous, so dumb-liberal it strained credulity. If this is Kerry's message, Bush will continue to be one of the luckiest politicians alive. I fisk away here. - 10:37:33 AM
Tuesday, July 06, 2004 THE ENEMY IN IRAQ: Two new developments. Another horrifying mass murder by the "insurgents," i.e. Jihadists and Baathists. This time, they underlined their message by murdering fourteen mourners at a funeral for a public official that the Jihadists murdered earlier this week. They kill and kill again. This particular incident cannot in any way be attributed to the presence of the Coalition forces. It's designed to terrorize Iraqi civilians into a new dictatorship. You have to believe that most Iraqis can see this for what it is. In fact, I do believe it. After the transfer of sovereignty, you can see the potential contours of the struggle that will now define that country and the region: terrorists versus democrats, Jihadists versus Muslim patriots. Remember this has never happened before. In the police states of most Arab countries, there's no democracy to fight for or against. But now there's a chance that there will be. And so we will get tough Arab democratic leaders (like Allawi) cracking down on terror; and we will also get new vigilante groups targeting the Jihadists. Here's a fascinating quote from a video made by a group of viglantes who are now targeting Zarqawi:
"We swear to Allah that we have started preparing ... to capture [Zarqawi] and his allies or kill them and present them as gift to our people... This is the last warning. If you don't stop, we will do to you what the coalition forces have failed to do." (My italics).
Notice what these people must have absorbed to put the battle in that context: that the coalition did indeed liberate Iraqis from tyranny, that they have been unable to prevent terrorists from exploiting the subsequent power vacuum, but that Iraqis themselves will now do the job. The silver lining of the U.S. failure to pacify Iraq just widened a little. - 10:17:10 PM IT ALL COMES BACK TO IRAN: The news of Iranian officers caught with explosives in Baghdad is also an important turning point. The truth is that the "resistance" to the liberation was always formed around Baathists, Jihadists and Iranian and other foreign meddlers. But until sovereignty was transferred, they could always be portrayed as fighting America, not fighting Iraq. Now, within days of the power transfer, we are seeing the new dynamic. It seems to me that the best reason for voting for Bush this fall is Iran. We know they will fight back soon. We also know that Kerry is closer to the "see-no-evil" French approach to the Iranian mullahs. This is the next phase of the war. It has already started in Iraq.
FISK ON SADDAM'S TRIAL: Reading Robert Fisk's sympathetic treatment of Saddam Hussein's trial is an eye-opener. The language is particularly revealing. Norman Geras guides you through this terror-excusing hack's rhetorical nihilism.
WHAT GOVERNMENT COSTS: When you add up all the taxes, red tape, bureaucracy, subsidies, pork, and entitlements, the cost of government now consumes well over half of national income. At least, that's what Grover Norquist's Americans for Tax Reform outfit argues in this PDF document, released today. That makes the average American someone who essentially works for the government each year until July 7. So congrats. You now to get to keep your own money. Woohoo. But the small print also suggests that, with the explosion of government spending under the big-government Bush Republicans, this number could go much higher in the future. It's perfectly possible that, if John Kerry wins in November and immediately raises taxes, government's take of the people's wealth will have been ratcheted up a whole new permanent notch. That could be George W. Bush's domestic legacy: the man who made the new liberalism possible. - 10:15:31 PM REPUBLICANS VERSUS FEDERALISM: Here's an interesting little nugget from the RNC's attack sheet on John Edwards. One of their points on which Edwards allegedly "doesn't share the priorities of American families" is the following:
Edwards Said States Should Decide Civil Unions Status. "Palmieri said Edwards believes states should decide whether to allow civil unions, a legal status conveying many of the same benefits as marriage, that was first recognized in Vermont during the tenure of Gov. Howard Dean, a 2004 presidential rival." - Raleigh News and Observer.
So it's now Republican policy that states should have no right to regulate the question of even civil unions? Maybe they should just be clear and put in their platform that any liberal states that want to pass laws that might displease the religious right should be denied the right to enact such laws. Why not a constitutional amendment to that effect? Oh, wait ...
BLOGS AND CIVILITY: Why don't I have a comments section? Dan Drezner explains.
QUOTE FOR THE DAY: "[Michael Moore] says that the whole of American foreign policy is determined by the Saudi Arabian royal family. Now, the Bush administration has been to war with two of Saudi Arabia's friends. The Taliban, who they helped to impose in Afghanistan, and the government of Saddam Hussein, which they regarded as their buffer state against the Shia. The actual history is exactly the opposite of what Moore's paranoid suggestions are. He openly says that he believes that the other side of this war, the Islamic jihad, torturers, saboteurs, beheaders and fanatics and murderers are the equivalent to the American Minutemen. So welcome to his contribution to the 4th of July celebration. The man is openly on the other side in this war, and the film shows it in every frame." - Hitch, on CNN, telling it like it is. Actually, I think Moore may be objectively on the side of the Jihadists. But subjectively, he simply loathes American market capitalism more than Islamist fundamentalism. This mindset is structural. It was the same in "Roger and Me." And like all ideologies, it is resistant to any new data. So the threat of Jihadist terrorists using weapons of mass destruction is unimportant to Moore compared with outsourcing or the nefarious Bushes or evil corporate America. Those are his priorities. Nothing changed on September 11 for Moore. He has simply used that tragedy to pursue his ancient objectives. And they are a terrible, cynical distraction from the war on terror. In other words, Moore is guilty of the fundamental charge he has leveled against this president. - 10:13:12 PM OFF WE FUCK, THEN: Some intransitive permutations of a transitive verb. - 4:53:07 PM OPPO RESEARCH: This is what the Republicans have prepared on Edwards. A sign of things to come.
- 4:16:13 PM WONKETTE MEETS DERB: I'm not the only one to notice John Derbyshire's psycho-sexual obsessions. - 3:58:43 PM EMAIL OF THE DAY: "Let's see if I have this right. Kerry needed to pick Edwards because he's "uplifting" and Kerry is not. Edwards' positions are problems, but he's a decent man? How about what's right for the country. No, Andrew, Kerry failed the first test of leadership by simply abdicating it. What Bush did in 2000 was select a man who would add to his ticket and credibility, but stay in the background while Bush took his shot at convincing us he should be president; whereas what Kerry has done is choose someone who will be front-and-center carrying his water for him.
And if, as Saletan says, Edwards is being chosen because he can do what Kerry can't, sell himself, then how on earth is Kerry going to be able to sell his policy positions to a hostile Congress or, heaven forbid, US positions to friend and foe abroad? This pick screams that Kerry knows he's toast. And once the public figures out that John Edwards makes great speeches but has nothing else, Kerry's unique position as the man no one outside of the strictest partisans wants to elect, will be self-evident. The betting here has to be that this won't get figured out until the second week of November. Pathetic and self-absorbed choice, completely ignoring what is best for the country (a sober, experienced and competent Gephardt), and placing this country's national security a distant second in the list of priorities. Frankly, I think this makes the Bush/Cheney point about them being best qualified to fight this war quite well. It's not so much that they don't think anyone else is qualified, just that the Democrats aren't. Today Kerry proved it.
It comes down to this: As good a story-teller as Edwards may be, is that reason enough to put him into a position where he's one accident away from the Oval Office? In a way, Kerry has actually selected a clone of himself in that form is more important than function.
The Democrats delude themselves if they think this will help Kerry pick-up states in the South. Edwards can't reelected in his own state. Kerry has never frightened me in the way Al Gore did. As much as I want to see Bush reelected, I thought I could live with Kerry - until now. This choice is not just bad strategically and tactically, but psychologically insightful. John Kerry does not believe he is good enough to win this race. What more needs to be said?" - more feedback on the Letters Page. - 3:54:00 PM WHY KERRY NEEDS EDWARDS: Chait nails it:
Not having listened to Kerry speak since the primaries, I was surprised how awful and meandering his speech was. Even worse, it was politically tone-deaf. When discussing America's role in the world, he put the emphasis on restoring alliances rather than keeping America safe and strong. He's inviting the Republicans to translate his remarks into, "He won't go to war without permission from France." He also had a riff about investing in education rather than spending the money on prisons. That sounded very much like a belief that prisons come at the expense of education. (In truth, criminals prey mainly on the poor. Keeping criminals off the streets allows poor kids the safety they need to have some chance at getting ahead.) Substance aside, I think Clinton showed pretty clearly that the right political message for Democrats is to be tough on crime. What made Kerry's departure from the Clinton pattern all the more striking is that there was nothing about prisons in the prepared text. It was all ad-libbed. Talk about bad instincts.
Right now, the profound weakness of Kerry's candidacy - the man himself - has been obscured. Edwards is a perfect way both to keep it that way and to sell the positive aspects of the idea of a Kerry presidency (rather than the tedious, uninspiring reality). Again: a very smart pick. - 12:45:41 PM WILL ON THE CHOICE: Saletan makes a very shrewd observation about what Edwards will actually do for Kerry. He'll sell a man who cannot sell himself. Money quote:
So this was the dilemma: Edwards was the best salesman, but Kerry was the best product. If you had to choose one or the other, I thought it was more important to pick the salesman, since the consequences of losing the election were far more serious than the consequences of electing the less qualified Democrat. The logic made sense, but the premise was mistaken. Democrats didn't have to choose. They could get the best product along with the best salesman, if Kerry had the wisdom to pick Edwards.
The primaries did, actually, do the Dems a service. - 12:38:02 PM FOUR NEW PIECES: Now posted to the left. Yes, I clambered out of the hammock. One on the fate of Jack Ryan, one on John Kerry's upward flight, and one on the conflict between federalism and civil rights. I also have a new piece in Time on the parallels between Mel Gibson and Michael Moore (but it's subscriber only). - 12:09:46 PM FISK COMES THROUGH: The Independent's Robert Fisk does his bit for the Baathists by disclosing the identity of the judge who is presiding over Saddam's trial. Now the guy fears for his life. Whatever it takes to prevent democracy in Iraq. Whatever it takes ... (Hat tip: Black Triangle.) - 11:54:25 AM THE RIGHT CHOICE: Well, this is just what I had hoped for - and it's easily the best choice available to Kerry, who now passes his first presidential judgment test. Edwards is uplifting, while Kerry is a downer; he can touch the Democrats' heart, not just their minds and their wallets; he's fresh and youthful in a way that will only contrast sharply with Cheney; he can speak - and we need more in politics who have his kind of rhetorical skill; he's positive, which is important in a rancid political atmosphere. Substantively, I don't like his background among the trial lawyers, nor his protectionism. But I've come to think of him as a decent man, who shied from the easy snarl in the primaries, and who believes in this country's promise in ways that some on the left have lost touch with. He's the anti-bitterness candidate. And his presence will change the dynamic. The trouble with Bush's and Cheney's fundamental position - you cannot trust anyone else to wage this war - is that it must inevitably conjure fear and danger. Americans also like broad grins and happy futures. Edwards will give them plenty. - 11:29:35 AM CHILLING: In the hammock. Back Wednesday.
Saturday, July 03, 2004 TRIB VERSUS TRIB: Clarence Page criticizes his paper's editors for their witch-hunt against Jack Ryan. It won't stop them from doing it again, alas. Money quote:
Excuse me, folks, but when candidates don't even have to have sex to be brought down by a sex scandal, we should be asking ourselves whether we are beginning to ratchet the bar up too high for mere mortals who might have an interest in public service.
Nicely put. - 12:28:31 PM PROTECT THE CONSTITUTION: I'm not as complacent as some about the prospects of the Federal Marriage Amendment. The Republican leadership has swept away all obstacles to a speedy vote on the matter in an election year, pressuring moderate Senators to the brink. Please take a minute of you believe in stopping this kind of use of the Constitution for social policy and email your senator. Here's one site that helps. Here's another. Do what you can.
AND IF YOU'RE TILL PONDERING: From Plato to Ann Landers, from George W. Bush to John Kerry, from Loving vs Virginia to the Goodridge decision, my new book, "Same-Sex Marriage, Pro and Con: A Reader," is the most comprehensive resource available. If you're a student, a journalist, or just a citizen, and want to make up your own mind about the battle over civil marriage for gays, take a look.
Friday, July 02, 2004 PARTY OF GOD, CTD: The fusion of the Republican party with evangelical Christian churches is now well-entrenched, as this latest NYT story reveals. Ralph Reed, of course, was unrepentant in his courting of the Southern Baptists for the Republican party last month. And the president addressed the SBC conference by satellite, while Richard Land launched the voter registration drive called "I Vote Values." "I, for one, believe people of faith have the same rights to participate in the political process as any other citizens," Reed said. "Christians should not be treated as second-class citizens." Of course they shouldn't. Still, it's worth checking out the IVoteValues.com website to see exactly which values the president is endorsing. In the section on homosexuality, the Southern Baptists remind us of what the founding fathers thought of gays:
During the American Revolution, when the Continental Army Lieutenant Enslin was found "attempting to commit sodomy," Commander George Washington issued an order "with abhorrence and detestation." Enslin was to be "drummed out of the camp ... never to return." Thomas Jefferson authorized legislation to penalize sodomy with castration. At the time the Constitution was ratified, the states of New York, North Carolina, South Carolina, Connecticut, Virginia, Rhode Island, Massachusetts and New Jersey each implemented the death penalty fo those who committed sodomy."
Why is the SBC reporting this? There are other sections on the dreaded homos, entitled: "Targeting You ... And Your Children." And: 'Homosexuality Costs You Plenty!" This is what Bush Republicanism is now about - beneath the surface. Worth considering in this campaign. (Hat tip: Roger Abramson).
DIRTY REPUBLICAN TRICKS: A Republican-financed outfit jammed the Democratic phone lines in the New Hampshire primary.
RYAN FIGHTS BACK: And he's absolutely right to. Money quote:
"What benefit has the public now derived from knowing this information? There is no allegation, as you know, of breaking any laws, no allegation of infidelity, no allegation of breaking any marriage vows," he said. He said this sort of intrusion into candidates' personal lives will prevent qualified candidates from entering politics, and said it is "not good for American Democracy." "I can't tell you how many calls I got in the last two weeks from people who said, 'I always thought about maybe going into public service. But not now, not, not after I've seen what's happened to you.' And so this cannot be the right standard now for entering into American politics," he told Stosssel.
I really think the only solution to this is to threaten investigations into the private lives of the editors of the papers who peddle such stuff. Every editor who breaks a story like this should be asked in public exactly the kind of intimate questions Ryan was faced with. What do you like to do in bed? What's the wildest sexual fantasy you have? When did you last have sex with your spouse? Let's see if they like it when the witch-hunt is turned on them.
FIFTEEN POINTS: That's the margin a Kerry-McCain ticket would beat Bush-Cheney. Won't happen, of course. But you can see the huge gulf in American politics by the support for it.
MADONNA: I'm in awe. She's 45 years old. The two hours of astonishingly athletic choreography, dazzling video effects, and crowd-pleasing music would have taxed an 18 year-old. She truly is one of the great performers of our time. Yes, she had some fatuous anti-war and Kabbalist moments. But I'll forgive her anything.
Thursday, July 01, 2004 OFF TO MADONNA: Blogging will be light tonight and tomorrow - I'm off to a Madonna concert in Worcester, Mass. - 1:07:25 PM HE'S A HERETIC! The latest initiative from the theoconservative right: suing Kerry for heresy! You just can't make this stuff up. - 12:51:52 PM KOOP ON REAGAN: Fascinating new details from C. Everett Koop on the Reagan administration and AIDS. He believes Reagan's heart was in the right place - but his advisers were the guilty ones. Money quote:
"Conservatives around him didn't want him to get involved because of the people who had [AIDS]," Koop remembered. "They said, 'Homosexuals, intravenous drug abusers, heterosexuals who are sexually promiscuous, prostitutes -- don't they deserve what they got?' I've always resented that. I think I could have saved a lot more people."
He continues:
As one example, Koop cited his failed attempt to add an AIDS awareness spin to First Lady Nancy Reagan's "Just Say No to Drugs" campaign. Koop saw the First Lady's campaign as a perfect opportunity for President Reagan to address the AIDS crisis. "I contacted him [Reagan] through personal friends and suggested he could accomplish more if he appeared with her and for him to say something like, 'That includes IV drugs like heroin. You're not just saying no to drugs, you're saying no to AIDS,'" Koop said. After asking Koop several well-informed questions regarding AIDS, Reagan took the idea to his domestic policy council the next morning. "It caused an uproar," Koop said. "They said, 'That's lose-lose, you want win-win.' He listened to those who he thought were acting on his best behalf."
Reagan is responsible for not over-ruling these advisors. But whoever those people were in his domestic policy council, I hope they are proud of themselves. - 11:58:30 AM THE WSJ ON RYAN AND KERRY: A very sensible editorial - a nice balance to the witch-hunt of the Chicago Tribune. I should add, in self-flagellatory mode, that my quick post yesterday implying some kind of link between the Trib's actions and the fact that a relative of a Tribune board member lost in the primary was, in retrospect, stupid. There's no reason to believe the Trib was influenced in that way - they endorsed another candidate. If I criticize Michael Moore for innuendo, I should make sure I don't stray into the same thing myself.
DERBYSHIRE AWARD NOMINEE: "Sen. Murphy seems totally oblivious to the implications. "Will you deny them their rights?" she asks. With some 3 percent of the population, gay couples already seem to enjoy a marked advantage over straight ones in the allocation of supposedly superfluous children. But whose rights are being denied depends on how deeply we probe and what questions we ask. Granting gay couples the "right" to have children by definition means giving them the right to have someone else's children, and the question arises whether the original parent or parents ever agreed to part with them. Not necessarily. Governments that kind-heartedly bestow other people's children on homosexual couples also have both the power and the motivation to confiscate those children from their original parents, even when the parents have done nothing to warrant losing them." - Stephen Baskerville, in an article entitled, "Could your kids be given to 'gay' parents?" It would be hard to come up with a more inflammatory title or a more despicable attempt to conflate gay marriage rights with the abuse of children. - 11:47:45 AM